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Not Enough Inflation
Keywords:
Krugman points out that the U.S. Federal Reserve's forecasts in March 2012 show the U.S. will experience low inflation and high unemployment for many years. These forecasts are in sharp contrast to the expectations in the equity markets based on an uptick for a couple of months of unemployment numbers. The Fed's own statements suggest the improvement in hiring may be temporary and a response to the overreaction in hiring in 2009-2010 to the financial crisis, and not a lasting improvement. The Fed pointed out that the long term unemployed are at about 40% of the total unemployed and the share of the population that is working in March 2012 has barely budged from 58% in 2009.
Declining U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate for 2010-2016 and its implications for unemployment and economic growth
06/06/2009
Grouped Articles
Job Growth Eases Fears About Effect of Closing
New York Times 11/08/2013
Candid Criticism for Fed That Wasnât on the Agenda
New York Times 11/08/2013
Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
Takeaways From the Monthly Jobs Report
Wall Street Journal 04/05/2014
Why high unemployment in the U.S. is expected for 2010-2014
06/06/2009
Structural problems like a mismatch of skills between maufacturing and construction sectors worst hit since 2008 and growing sectors like healthcare is one problem. Geographic factors and difficulty selling homes in states like Michigan is another. The tighter credit from a return of banking sector losses from bad home equity loans that is expected in late 2010 will keep the recovery from taking hold keeping unemployment high. The economic uncertainty following repeated budget battles between political parties also affects business investment.
Grouped Articles
90 Million Americans Not Working
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2013
Hiring Slowdown Blurs Growth View
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
Hiring Is Strong and Jobless Rate Declines to 6.1%
New York Times 07/03/2014
Danger of increasing numbers of permanently unemployed workers in the U.S.
04/30/2009
The serious problem of the large proportion of long term unemployed in the total number of unemployed persons in the U.S., with the figure higher than 40% in 2012. More than any downturn in the postwar period the present situation presents the danger of increasing numers of permanently unemployed workers. Retraining become a big issue as some industries like autos are permanently downsized, and others like healthcare and renewable energy which are growing will require retraining.
Grouped Articles
Jamie Dimon’s harried JPMorgan Chase pushes campaign for worker training - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/03/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
It's Still Bad for the Long Term Unemployed
New York Times 04/04/2014
Yellen’s Not on Team Krueger When it Comes to Inflation and the Unemployed
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2014
Falling Unemployment Doesn't Rate for Fed
Wall Street Journal 07/05/2014
Elevated Level of Part-Time Employment: Post-Recession Norm?
Wall Street Journal 11/13/2014
The problem of declining wages and rising inflation in the U.S. - 2011-2012
01/01/2010
Grouped Articles
OECD report cites rising income inequality - The Washington Post
Washington Post 12/06/2011
Recovery Has Created Far More Low-Wage Jobs Than Better-Paid Ones
New York Times 04/27/2014
Job Growth Fails to Help Paychecks of Workers
New York Times 01/09/2015
Hiring Booms, but Soft Wages Linger
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2015
Sluggish Productivity Hampers Wage Gains
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2015
U.A.W. Contract With Fiat Chrysler Would Give 2nd-Tier Workers Big Raise
New York Times 09/18/2015
The probabilities of another round of quantitative easing or QE III in the U.S.
06/02/2011
Probabilities for a QE 3 in June 2011 are low, with inflation expected over the next 5 years at 2.8%, as suggested by TIPS. The Fed's thinking as reflected in comments by presidents of Fed regional banks is that there will be growth, even if it is "frustratingly slow at times." The Fed could act if a deflationary trend sets in. The extraordinary amount of liquidity- with about $2 trillion of bond purchases by the Fed since the 2008 crisis -acts as a counter weight to the housing slump, and to weak data for jobs and manufacturing.
Grouped Articles
Fed Holds Steady as Economy Slows
Wall Street Journal 06/02/2011
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
The Folly of Economic Short-Termism
Wall Street Journal 08/11/2011
New York Times 08/25/2011
Wall Street Journal 08/31/2011
Divisions at Federal Reserve Led to Rate Compromise
New York Times 08/30/2011
U.S. Consumer Price Index and the Fed
04/05/2011
CPI, Core CPI, trimmed CPI, Owners' equivalent rent and other measures of inflation
Grouped Articles
Inflation Below Fed Target for 22nd Month in a Row
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2014
Risk of Deflation Feeds Global Fears
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2014
Slow Rise in Consumer Prices May Stymie the Fed
New York Times 01/16/2015
Inflation Could Freeze the Fed in Place
Wall Street Journal 01/19/2015
Dollar Will Keep Jabbing at the Fed
Wall Street Journal 03/25/2015
Housing Bubble Continues to Haunt Fed
Wall Street Journal 04/05/2011
U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS)
08/15/2011
TIP return for the last 12 months in August 2011 was 12%.
Grouped Articles
Inflation Below Fed Target for 22nd Month in a Row
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2014
Inflation Shields Pay Rich Returns
Wall Street Journal 08/15/2011
The Bond Bubble and the Case for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2011
Better Ways to Fight Inflation
Wall Street Journal 10/22/2011
Wall Street Journal 11/16/2011
Wall Street Journal 11/16/2011
Allan Meltzer's program for the economy and advice to the Fed and policymakers in 2011-2012
08/11/2011
Allan Meltzer on the dangers of a loose monetary policy and the need for an early exit strategy.
Grouped Articles
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bhidé and Phelps: Central Banking Needs Rethinking
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
The Folly of Economic Short-Termism
Wall Street Journal 08/11/2011
This Time, Maybe the U.S. Is Japan
Wall Street Journal 08/13/2011
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 08/13/2011
From World War II, Economic Lessons for Today
New York Times 08/13/2011
How the 1937 Pullback under FDR affects current economic policy under Bernanke and Yellen
01/27/2009
Economic policies under FDR in the 1930's. The Fed's Bernanke is acutely aware of the 1937 pullback and its lessons. This will influence current policy.
Grouped Articles
Tomorrow's Recession Recovery Is Today's History Lesson
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2009
Fed's Yellen Defends Low Rates
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2014
Recognizing Bubbles But Still Cautious About Deflating Them
New York Times 09/10/2014
Janet Yellen Isn’t Going to Raise Interest Rates Until She’s Good and Ready
New York Times 03/18/2015
Policy Makers Seek to Learn From 1937's Stalled Comeback
Wall Street Journal 08/24/2009
How the Fed Can Avoid the Next Bubble
Wall Street Journal 10/06/2009
Philadelphia Federal Reserve bank president Charles Plosser and other expert criticism of Fed chairman Bernanke's monetary policy.
01/04/2010
Plosser says the Fed cannot create jobs or retrain a workforce. In the short term the Fed can act against disinflation, says Plosser, but in the long term Fed policy such as the one being pursued by Bernanke can backfire and lead to more instability in the economy. The Dallas Fed President, Richard Fisher, expresses similiar views.
Grouped Articles
Martin Feldstein: The Federal Reserve's Policy Dead End
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2013
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bhidé and Phelps: Central Banking Needs Rethinking
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
Bravo for Bernanke and the QE Era
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
Wall Street Journal 01/18/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/09/2011
The U.S. Federal Reserve's exit strategy from a loose monetary policy - 2011-2015
05/18/2011
Grouped Articles
Fed Officials Try to Set the Market at Ease
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
FX HORIZONS: The Fed’s Risky Codependency with Markets
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bhidé and Phelps: Central Banking Needs Rethinking
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2013
Why high unemployment and the high percentage of the long term unemployed is determining U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate policy in 2012-2014
01/27/2009
With 40% of the unemployed in the U.S. shown as long term unemployed, mismatch in skills and other structural problems with unemployment, the U.S. Federal Reserve policies of Fed chairman Bernanke are geared to addressing this problem.
Grouped Articles
Stimulus and the Depression: The Untold Story
Wall Street Journal 09/26/2011
Fed Officials Try to Set the Market at Ease
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
FX HORIZONS: The Fed’s Risky Codependency with Markets
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2013
Economy May Be Getting Its Wings Clipped
Wall Street Journal 07/30/2013
U.S. Federal Reserve Bank policy emerging from the September 2011 FOMC meeting
09/07/2011
The Fed's policy according to Neil Irwin of the Washington Post, is to move in the direction of reducing the composition of its bond portfolio rather than printing new money for new bond purchases. That policy of printing money for bond purchases came under criticism from Republican presidential candidates and there were three dissenters at the last FOMC meeting. Mindful of this the Fed is now considering a policy called a "switch," of buying more long term bonds and reducing the short term bonds in its portfolio. This would reduce long term interest rates. The impact on the housing market of past and current moves is limited by the fact that the mortgage markets are not functioning properly, as a large proportion of homeowners are under water (owe more than their house is worth). The Fed's effort come under its mandate to keep unemployment in check in addition to inflation.
Grouped Articles
‘Fragile Five’ Is the Latest Club of Emerging Nations in Turmoil
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
Fed considers buying more long-term Treasury bonds to lower mortgage rates - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/07/2011
Bernanke Takes On a Balancing Act
Wall Street Journal 09/07/2011
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2011
Parsing the Fed: How the Statement Changed
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2011
What senior executives of financial firms are doing with their own investments and what their firms are telling the public
08/23/2011
For senior executives interviewed in this survey investing is all about capital preservation. One executive has moved all his funds to U.S. government bonds and cash, another executive has given up the 60% stock 40% bond allocation recommended by financial firm advisors and moved his savings to cash and high investment grade bonds. These executives witnessed the 2008 crash and are not taking any chances. Financial advisors of these firms continue to tell the public to stay in it for the long term. Who bears the greater risk if things go wrong? The middle aged investor risks losing the bulk of his 401 (K) as he nears retirement. Investor portfolios of the middle class in America risk further losses after losses in the 2008 crisis.
Grouped Articles
How Wall Street Invests Its Money in Hard Times
Wall Street Journal 08/23/2011
Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
Why a Legendary Market Skeptic Is Upbeat About Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/10/2011
Beware the Registered Investment Adviser
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
Where to Put Your Money in 2012
Wall Street Journal 01/05/2012
A New Year, the Same Ol' Pessimism
Wall Street Journal 01/09/2012
A Federal Reserve sponsored bull market in the U.S.
09/24/2009
With quantitative easing (QE), the Fed creating money to buy Treasury bonds at a fast pace, and with inflation "exceptionally low" in the Fed's words, there is considerable liquidity to support the surge in stocks. But this could change quickly. Investors would benefit from caution.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Wall Street Journal 05/11/2013
Stockmarkets: Don’t worry, be happy
Economist 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 05/29/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
An About-Face for the Stock Market’s 5-Year Return
New York Times 02/15/2014
Corporate insiders and the U.S. stock market 2011-2013
03/05/2012
Grouped Articles
The Inside Track on the Market Rally
Wall Street Journal 03/05/2012
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
New York Times 03/26/2012
Goldman Sachs: We Like Stocks, Just Not This Year
Wall Street Journal 04/02/2012
Two Pros Weigh In on U.S. Stocks: Ben Inker's Bearish View
Wall Street Journal 04/02/2012
S.&P. 500 Dips After Fed Signals No New Stimulus
New York Times 04/04/2012
Equity holdings of U.S. high net worth investors
08/19/2011
High net worth investors in the U.S. are keeping only a small share of their holdings in the stock market.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/19/2011
A New Year, the Same Ol' Pessimism
Wall Street Journal 01/09/2012
A Standard, and Poor, Way of Investing
Wall Street Journal 01/21/2012
Goldman Sachs: We Like Stocks, Just Not This Year
Wall Street Journal 04/02/2012
Two Pros Weigh In on U.S. Stocks: Ben Inker's Bearish View
Wall Street Journal 04/02/2012
S.&P. 500 Dips After Fed Signals No New Stimulus
New York Times 04/04/2012
The "Melt Up" U.S. stock market rally of late 2009 and its prospects.
06/06/2009
Farzad of BW says economic fundamentals don't justify the rally so it could fizzle out at any time in 2010 or 2011.
Grouped Articles
Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
Wall Street's Clearance Sale Leaves Few Bargains
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2009
Behind the Great Stock Rally of 2009
BusinessWeek 11/24/2009
Beware the Crisis around the corner
Financial Times 01/04/2010
New York Times 01/04/2010
U.S. Data Offer an Uncertain Compass
Wall Street Journal 01/04/2010
The changing U.S. stock market in 2010 and beyond.
07/12/2010
Grouped Articles
Small Investors Flee Stocks, Changing Market Dynamics
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Small Investors Flee Stock Market Even as Companies Recover
New York Times 08/21/2010
'Macro' Forces in Market Confound Stock Pickers
Wall Street Journal 09/24/2010
Stocks Face Dark Side of Gridlock in Capital
Wall Street Journal 11/01/2010
Wall Street Journal 11/11/2010
U.S. stock market 2010-2014
07/12/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Some Stock Bulls Tread Lightly Into 2014
Wall Street Journal 11/22/2013
Small Investors Flee Stocks, Changing Market Dynamics
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2013
Four Reasons Why Nasdaq 4000 Differs From Tech Bubble
Wall Street Journal 11/26/2013
U.S. stock, commodities and currency markets in mid 2011
07/12/2010
Grouped Articles
Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
Small Investors Flee Stocks, Changing Market Dynamics
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Dismal Science Takes Dim View of Dow 'Record'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2013
Stock Bulls Look Past Rough Patch
Wall Street Journal 05/23/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/02/2011
Could Japanâs Debt Lead to a Crisis?
New York Times 05/26/2011
U.S. Tech stocks 2011-2015
01/26/2008
Stocks of IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco, Texas Instruments and other tech companies in the U.S. that have lagged behind in the recovery in stock market prices in 2011, and have lower price earnings ratios in the neighborhood of 10 compared to the long term price earnings ratio of 16.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2013
Four Reasons Why Nasdaq 4000 Differs From Tech Bubble
Wall Street Journal 11/26/2013
Margin Cloud Casts Shadow Over Cisco
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2014
The employment to population ratio for U.S. unemployment- 2011-2014
06/06/2009
The serious problem of the large number of long term unemployed persons in the U.S., very different from under any previous recession.
Grouped Articles
90 Million Americans Not Working
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2013
Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
Wall Street Journal 04/05/2014
Hiring Rises, but Number of Jobless Stays High
New York Times 04/04/2014
U-6, the rate that reflects unemployment and part-time workers in the U.S. at 14.7% in Sept 2012
04/05/2012
Grouped Articles
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
The incredible shrinking labor force - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/05/2012
It's Still Bad for the Long Term Unemployed
New York Times 04/04/2014
'Real Unemployment' Rate Points in the Wrong Direction
New York Times 04/04/2014
In Tepid Wage Growth, a Potent Sign of a Still-Fragile Economy
New York Times 05/05/2014
The long-term unemployed in the U.S.
06/06/2009
Grouped Articles
New York Times 04/05/2012
It's Still Bad for the Long Term Unemployed
New York Times 04/04/2014
Yellen’s Not on Team Krueger When it Comes to Inflation and the Unemployed
Wall Street Journal 04/16/2014
Stuck at Unemployed: When A Layoff Becomes a Lifestyle
Washington Post 06/06/2009
Elevated Level of Part-Time Employment: Post-Recession Norm?
Wall Street Journal 11/13/2014
When the Jobless Become the Unemployable
New York Times 12/02/2010
John Taylor on U.S. Federal Reserve policies and booms and busts in the U.S. economy and no clear exit strategy
01/27/2009
Taylor points out that the dual mandate for maintaining unemployment and inflation goals has led to discretionary policies that have hurt the economy by leading to booms and busts. He calls for a single mandate on inflation goals. Taylor provides advice on the Romney Plan.
Grouped Articles
Martin Feldstein: The Federal Reserve's Policy Dead End
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2013
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bhidé and Phelps: Central Banking Needs Rethinking
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
Sluggish Economic Recovery Proves Resilient
Wall Street Journal 04/21/2014
The Dangers of an Interventionist Fed
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012
S.&P. 500 Dips After Fed Signals No New Stimulus
New York Times 04/04/2012
Expert opinion on stagflation in the U.S. in 2011-2012
05/24/2011
High inflation and high unemployment in mid 2011. The effects of the Fed's quantitiative easing on emerging markets with the capital inflows into these countries and higher inflation. Other effects of zero interest rates being the lack of interbank lending.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2011
Hiring in U.S. Slowed in May With 54,000 Jobs Added
New York Times 06/03/2011
Wall Street Journal 06/07/2011
Where Rents Go, Will Inflation Follow?
BusinessWeek 06/09/2011
Inflation Jump Undercuts Growth Prospects
Wall Street Journal 08/17/2011
Commodities Boom View Doesn't Budge
Wall Street Journal 08/17/2011
Inflation in the U.S.- 2010-2012
11/18/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/18/2010
Wall Street Journal 02/05/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/18/2011
Inflation inflicting pain, as wages fail to keep pace with price hikes - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/05/2011
Wall Street Journal 04/26/2011
Whoa Baby, Prices Are Jumping for Diapers, Other Family Basics
Wall Street Journal 04/26/2011
Alan Blinder on the economy and Federal Reserve policy- 2011-2013
10/25/2010
Grouped Articles
Fed Officials Try to Set the Market at Ease
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2010
Tom Keene Talks to Alan Blinder
BusinessWeek 10/28/2010
Wall Street Journal 08/17/2011
Wall Street Journal 09/28/2011
Bernanke's Imprint on Fed Not Easily Erased
Wall Street Journal 01/30/2012
Expert opinion on Federal Reserve policy in 2011-2013
08/12/2010
The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee voted in August 2011 to keep exceptionally low rates till 2013, with three fed governors dissenting. The high market volatility in August 2011 and the Fed's decision to let the government and Congress shoulder more of the responsibility for the economy. The limited capabilities of the Fed after QE II.
Grouped Articles
Martin Feldstein: The Federal Reserve's Policy Dead End
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2013
How QE 2 Could Drift Off Course
Wall Street Journal 08/12/2010
Yellen Says Restraining the Fed’s Oversight Would Be a ‘Grave Mistake’
New York Times 07/16/2014
Fed to Markets: Fly Solo, for Now
Wall Street Journal 08/10/2011
Wall Street Journal 08/26/2011
Wall Street Journal 08/31/2011
Low interest rates and Fed policy in 2010-2012
10/02/2010
Grouped Articles
New York Times 10/16/2014
Enough With the Low Interest Rates!
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/26/2010
Opinions Are Split on Fed Policy Move
Wall Street Journal 11/01/2010
Ben S. Bernanke - What the Fed did and why: supporting the recovery and sustaining price stability
Washington Post 11/04/2010
The risks of the Federal Reserve's reinflation policy in 2010-2014
10/11/2010
A rise in commodities prices is one serious risk, leaving consumers drowning in the reinflation.
Grouped Articles
Inflation Below Fed Target for 22nd Month in a Row
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2014
Risk of Deflation Feeds Global Fears
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2014
Fed Must Consider the World and All U.S. Employment
Wall Street Journal 04/09/2015
Fed's Reflation Bet Could Hit Consumers Before It Helps
Wall Street Journal 10/11/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/26/2010
The U.S. Federal Reserve's policy and actions in 2012-2016
06/15/2011
Grouped Articles
A Hawkish Signal Bernanke Didn't Send
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
FX HORIZONS: The Fed’s Risky Codependency with Markets
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2013
In Surprise, Fed Decides to Maintain Pace of Stimulus
New York Times 09/18/2013
U.S. Federal Reserve's policy and actions in 2010-2013
08/27/2010
Grouped Articles
Fed Officials Try to Set the Market at Ease
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2013
In Surprise, Fed Decides to Maintain Pace of Stimulus
New York Times 09/18/2013
Economists See Nominee as Slightly More Dovish Bernanke
Wall Street Journal 10/10/2013
Yellenâs Path From Liberal Theorist to Fed Voice for Jobs
New York Times 10/09/2013
The Yellen Fed? Precise and Predictable
New York Times 10/09/2013
Contrarians Grantham, Rodriguez, Schiff, Arends, Granville, Roubini and others- 2010-2012
01/24/2008
U.S. stock market investing and contrarians. Skepticism about the stock market rallies of 2010-2012, and the greater influence of macroeconomic forces, which include oil prices volatility with international tensions, the eurozone financial crisis, and continuing fall in housing prices. Changes in fiscal policies and tax policies resulting in withdrawal of government support are other uncertainties.
Grouped Articles
Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
The Doomsayers Who Got It Right
Wall Street Journal 01/02/2009
Why I Don't Believe In This Santa Rally
Wall Street Journal 12/29/2010
Beware a Bernanke-Fueled Market Bubble
BusinessWeek 05/13/2010
Wall Street's Clearance Sale Leaves Few Bargains
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2009
Charlie Rose Talks to Nouriel Roubini
BusinessWeek 05/13/2010
"Dow 36,000" - Glassman, Zweig, and others comment on the U.S. stock market
02/12/2011
Risk, volatility, and prospects for the U.S. stock market in 2010-2012.
Grouped Articles
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
Shiller Metric Carries Warning for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 03/24/2014
Why I Was Wrong About 'Dow 36,000'
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
When Your 401(k) Doesn't Deliver What You Expected
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
How Now, 36,000 Dow? The Ominous Undertone of Rallies
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2011
Retiring Boomers Find 401(k) Plans Fall Short
Wall Street Journal 02/19/2011
Aging, Retirement and 401(K)'s in America- 2010-2016
03/30/2010
The situation confronting the baby boom generation as it retires in the U.S. The stock market boom-bust cycles of 2000-2002 and 2006-2008 have hurt the 401(K) retirement accounts of most Americans. High unemployment and the housing crisis with many home owners under water has only worsened the situation. The difficult situation for seniors earning little interest on their savings. The problem of outliving ones savings for seniors with their money invested in bonds in a low interest rate environment. The median savings of Americans of close to $10,000 with only 10% of Americans having saved about $1 million by age 65. Longevity today means Americans are likely to live to age 85.
Grouped Articles
Big 401(k) Mistakes … and How You Can Avoid Them
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2013
Why Many Retirees Could Outlive a $1 Million Nest Egg
New York Times 06/08/2013
Suddenly, Retiree Nest Eggs Look More Fragile
New York Times 06/15/2013
Low Interest Rates Are Squeezing Seniors
Wall Street Journal 03/30/2010
Chuck Schwab Is Worried About Small Investors. Should We Worry Too?
BusinessWeek 05/27/2010
An About-Face for the Stock Market’s 5-Year Return
New York Times 02/15/2014
Demographics, economic growth and the U.S. stock market- 2011-2020
06/04/2011
Grouped Articles
'Secular Stagnation' May Be for Real
Wall Street Journal 08/27/2014
The Bullish Case for the U.S. Economy
Wall Street Journal 06/04/2011
Once Bit, Rich Shy From Risk of Stocks
Wall Street Journal 08/15/2011
Wall Street Journal 08/19/2011
A Standard, and Poor, Way of Investing
Wall Street Journal 01/21/2012
Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012
Skepticism about the strength of the U.S. fourth quarter 2010 stock market rally.
07/12/2010
Underlying weaknesses include high cyclically adjusted price to earnings ratios, high corporate debt, consumer debt that has declined only slightly from the peak levels of 2008, low dividend yields, and other factors.
Grouped Articles
Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
Small Investors Flee Stocks, Changing Market Dynamics
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Why I Don't Believe In This Santa Rally
Wall Street Journal 12/29/2010
As Euphoria Abounds, Some Warning Signs
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2010
The American economy: Proceed with caution
Economist 01/01/2011
Steven Pearlstein - When it comes to investing, Facebook is not for the masses
Washington Post 01/04/2011
The Bernanke Federal Reserve and the U.S. Stock Market
01/02/2009
The Fed's support of the U.S. stock market with the $600 billion quantitative easing.
Grouped Articles
A Hawkish Signal Bernanke Didn't Send
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
FX HORIZONS: The Fed’s Risky Codependency with Markets
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2013
In Surprise, Fed Decides to Maintain Pace of Stimulus
New York Times 09/18/2013
Bull Market Five Years On: Still Celebrating
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2014
The Fed Places Stock in the Bull Market
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2011
The U.S. stock markets in 2010-2015 and the greater influence of macroeconomic forces.
09/24/2010
Declining influence of company earnings and the stock picking art, as stocks move in lockstep with each other, and the macroeconomic forces surrounding the US economy.
Grouped Articles
Active Fund Managers Who Earn Their Keep - Barrons.com
Unknown 04/12/2013
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Stockmarkets: Don’t worry, be happy
Economist 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2014
U.S. stock market volatility 2011-2014
08/08/2011
Grouped Articles
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
An About-Face for the Stock Market’s 5-Year Return
New York Times 02/15/2014
Bull Market Five Years On: Still Celebrating
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2014
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2014
Opening the Box on Tech Stocks' Next Move
Wall Street Journal 04/10/2014
Stock-Market Jitters Put Investors at Ease
Wall Street Journal 04/14/2014
U.S. stock, commodity and currency markets in 2012-2014
03/18/2012
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Stockmarkets: Don’t worry, be happy
Economist 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2013
Four Reasons Why Nasdaq 4000 Differs From Tech Bubble
Wall Street Journal 11/26/2013
The U.S. Labor Department jobs and unemployment report for March 2012 and U.S. Federal Reserve policy
04/05/2012
Linked Articles
An Easier Jobs Report for the Fed
Wall Street Journal 04/07/2012
New York Times 04/05/2012
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