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Opening the Box on Tech Stocks' Next Move
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The NASDAQ Internet Index is up 46% in April 2014 over the past year, even though it was down 12% in March-April 2014 as investors grew wary over high price rises for stocks in the "cloud," "big data" and "social" fields. Investors turned to old tech stocks such as Microsoft which were seen as value stocks because of lower price and valuations. Gallagher suggests watching the IPO market for signals of where this market is headed. In the 1st quarter 2014 companies raised $10.6 billion in the U.S., the busiest quarter since 2000. 103 companies submitted initial IPO filings in the same quarter. Venture Capital has invested $29.4 billion in 2013, an increase of 7% from 2012, according to MoneyTree Report. Even though the NASDAQ Composite Index is down 5% over the last 30 days, Gallagher points out that the NASDAQ has witnessed 4 drops of about 10% since 2010.
U.S. Tech stocks 2011-2015
01/26/2008
Stocks of IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Cisco, Texas Instruments and other tech companies in the U.S. that have lagged behind in the recovery in stock market prices in 2011, and have lower price earnings ratios in the neighborhood of 10 compared to the long term price earnings ratio of 16.
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Experts say the lower rate of IPO's in coming years will be a good thing as it will reduce the boom and bust cycles for internet firms of previous years. New technology enables firms to reach breakeven stage in new products at an earlier stage using the investment of founders and angel investors- reducing dependence on venture capital- and creating firms that are more focussed on the long term.
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