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Ben Bernanke's '70s Show
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Alan Meltzer is a respected voice on US Federal Reserve policies since the time Paul Volcker was Fed chairman He says the Bernanke Fed is making some serious policy mistakes. The first is concentrating on near term events, such as business response to Obama administration policies, over which it has little influence, while neglecting the long term consequences of its policies. The second is its effort to tackle unemployment by interpreting its mandate as a dual mandate of tackling both unemployment and inflation. By tackling one at a time, he says, the Fed is likely to fail totally. The US is unlikely to not feel the inflation that is going on around the world. By ignoring the changes in money supply growth the Fed is making another mistake. His advice is for the Fed to increase interest rates it controls to 1%, to signal that it is aware of inflation risks. Second, the Fed should annonce a specific, detailed plan explaining how it will reduce $900 billon of the $1 trillion banks continue to hold in excess of the legally required reserves. Third, the Fed should end QE II, the most recent round of treasury bond purchases. Meltzer says if the Fed waited for two more months in Nov 2010, it would have found that a double dip recession was not about to occcur and it could have held off from pursuing QE II. Meltzer emphasizes that slow growth and unemployment is not a monetary problem, because of the ample liquidity already in the financial system. Uncertainty about government policy and the future direction has been clarified by the election which will help put the economy back on track. Philadelphia Fed chairman expresses similiar views in other articles and an interview with O'Grady of WSJ.
Allan Meltzer's action plan for the economy includes reversing the excessive monetary easing starting now in October 2009 so that it can be done gradually and not hurt the economy through sudden contraction later on.
10/01/2009
Allan Melzer was co-founder an co-chairman of the Shadow Open Market Committee for over two decades, advisor to Presidents Kennedy and Reagan, and one of the foremost experts on the Federal Reserve System. He calls for the U.S. Federal Reserve to adopt an early exit strategy from loose monetary policies.
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Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
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Bhidé and Phelps: Central Banking Needs Rethinking
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
Preventing the Next Financial Crisis
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2009
Is the U.S. Economy Turning Japanese?
Wall Street Journal 10/27/2009
Economist 10/15/2009
Jobs Now, Deficit Reduction Later
BusinessWeek 10/29/2009
Philadelphia Federal Reserve bank president Charles Plosser and other expert criticism of Fed chairman Bernanke's monetary policy.
01/04/2010
Plosser says the Fed cannot create jobs or retrain a workforce. In the short term the Fed can act against disinflation, says Plosser, but in the long term Fed policy such as the one being pursued by Bernanke can backfire and lead to more instability in the economy. The Dallas Fed President, Richard Fisher, expresses similiar views.
Grouped Articles
Martin Feldstein: The Federal Reserve's Policy Dead End
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2013
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Bhidé and Phelps: Central Banking Needs Rethinking
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
Bravo for Bernanke and the QE Era
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
Wall Street Journal 01/18/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/09/2011
The risks of the Federal Reserve's reinflation policy in 2010-2014
10/11/2010
A rise in commodities prices is one serious risk, leaving consumers drowning in the reinflation.
Grouped Articles
Inflation Below Fed Target for 22nd Month in a Row
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2014
Risk of Deflation Feeds Global Fears
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2014
Fed Must Consider the World and All U.S. Employment
Wall Street Journal 04/09/2015
Fed's Reflation Bet Could Hit Consumers Before It Helps
Wall Street Journal 10/11/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/26/2010
A delicate balancing act for the Federal Reserve to withdraw support that puts a dark cloud over the economy..
10/01/2009
Incrementally withdrawing support where and when possible will be a tough act for the Fed, after the Fed has committed $1 trillion so far as support to debt securtization markets that breathe life into the USA economy. Shiller says these markets are dead, we are stuck, and no one knows what will happen if they are hobbled for corporate real estate, mortgages, auto loans.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2013
Fed Must Consider the World and All U.S. Employment
Wall Street Journal 04/09/2015
How the Fed Can Avoid the Next Bubble
Wall Street Journal 10/06/2009
Paralysis in the Debt Markets Is Deepening the Credit Drought
New York Times 10/07/2009
New Order: No Money, No Problem
Wall Street Journal 10/07/2009
Fed Frets About Commercial Real Estate
Wall Street Journal 10/07/2009
Raghuram Rajan on the risks to the U.S. economy and society before the 2008 financial crisis
01/02/2009
Is Bernanke making the same mistake made by Greenspan by keeping interest rates too low for too long. Would a stronger safety net in the US ease pressures on the US Federal Reserve to do excessive monetary easing and instead allow the Fed to let a more natural rise in employment take place? He isn't ideological and joins John Taylor, George W Bush's economic advisor, and Allan Meltzer of Carnegie-Mellon, in questioning Bernanke's excessive monetary easing. In 2005, Rajan was prescient in questioning the Greenspan Fed's policies and the risks from excessive leveraging in the financial system at the Jackson Hole conference.
Grouped Articles
Mr. Rajan Was Unpopular (But Prescient) at Greenspan Party
Wall Street Journal 01/02/2009
Interest Rates: The Zero Percent Solution
BusinessWeek 08/25/2010
BusinessWeek 11/04/2010
The Case Against the Bernanke-Obama Financial Rescue
New York Times 05/16/2014
Charting the Economic Fault Lines
BusinessWeek 02/10/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/05/2011
The Federal Reserve's monetary infusion and inflation risks.
03/20/2009
The anxiety over the Fed's monetary infusion and the increase in rates on the 10 year Treasury and in the corporate bond markets. The actual risks as manufacturing capacity utilization drops to 68% in May 2009, and as auto manufacturing continues to take a big hit in 2009.
Grouped Articles
Inflation Below Fed Target for 22nd Month in a Row
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2014
Risk of Deflation Feeds Global Fears
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2014
Dollar Will Keep Jabbing at the Fed
Wall Street Journal 03/25/2015
Fed Must Consider the World and All U.S. Employment
Wall Street Journal 04/09/2015
The Fed’s Inflation Problem Just Got Worse
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2016
Best Check on Inflation: Broken Banks
Wall Street Journal 03/20/2009
Inflation in the U.S.- 2010-2012
11/18/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 11/18/2010
Wall Street Journal 02/05/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/18/2011
Inflation inflicting pain, as wages fail to keep pace with price hikes - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/05/2011
Wall Street Journal 04/26/2011
Whoa Baby, Prices Are Jumping for Diapers, Other Family Basics
Wall Street Journal 04/26/2011
Drawbacks of the US Federal Reserve's move on Nov 3, 2010, to buy $600 billion of Treasury securities (QE II).
08/12/2010
Grouped Articles
How QE 2 Could Drift Off Course
Wall Street Journal 08/12/2010
Overheard: Pension Pain From the Fed
Wall Street Journal 11/03/2010
Captain Ben Charts a Treacherous Course
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2010
Fedâs More Aggressive Move May Not Go Far Enough
New York Times 11/03/2010
Bernanke Seems to Fear Fate of Japan, Not Greece
New York Times 11/05/2010
Central Bank Treads Into Once-Taboo Realm
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2010
Allan Meltzer's criticism of the U.S. Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy
02/05/2011
Hoenig and Meltzer point to the Fed's focus on short-termism.
Linked Articles
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 08/13/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/05/2011
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