World News Insights
1-3 Minute Gist
Search, personalize, or simply browse. Follow the world around you from gist and context to insights.
Who we are | Our Credo | Ways of using Lyrarc | FAQ | Send Feedback | First Letter From the Editor
Sign up. It's free and easy to use
Create an account
to personalize your feed of articles and topics.
All Topics Article
Why I Was Wrong About 'Dow 36,000'
Keywords:
Glassman cites Ronald Reagan who once said economists are people who look at things in practice and then see if they can prove this in theory. He co-authored a book on "Dow 36,000" in 1999. What happened and why? He correctly says the Dow is up to 12,000- and this only after Fed chairman Bernanke's $600 billion quanitative easing on top of low to zero interest rate policies after the 2008 crisis- in the 12 years since. So what happened? Glassman says what he did not account for is the huge decline in the prospects for the U.S. economy, with Congressional Budget Office estimates of 2% growth over the next 70 years, compared to the 3.5% growth in the first 50 years of the 20th century. A lot goes go into this, including the debt buildup, the lack of investment in human capital and K-12 education. The other is the huge volatility in stock returns, and the "discontinuous" risks stemming from things like the home price crash, terrorist 9/11 attack and other such developments. He says he is tired of telling investors to hold on in the face of such huge volatility and uncertainty. He advises a cautious strategy, a pull back from stocks to reduce the downside on returns and a smaller allocation to stocks.
"Dow 36,000" - Glassman, Zweig, and others comment on the U.S. stock market
02/12/2011
Risk, volatility, and prospects for the U.S. stock market in 2010-2012.
Grouped Articles
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
Shiller Metric Carries Warning for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 03/24/2014
Why I Was Wrong About 'Dow 36,000'
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
When Your 401(k) Doesn't Deliver What You Expected
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
How Now, 36,000 Dow? The Ominous Undertone of Rallies
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2011
Retiring Boomers Find 401(k) Plans Fall Short
Wall Street Journal 02/19/2011
Insiders in the world of finance, IPO related activity, and middle class investors in the USA
01/04/2011
Insider efforts to profit from the highest valuations that can be created for tech companies. The hype creates tech bubbles in stock markets and eventually losses for middle class investors.
Grouped Articles
Search for the 'Next Big Thing' leads to Soaring Valuations
New York Times 01/21/2014
Finance and economics: What's wrong with finance
Economist 05/09/2015
Steven Pearlstein - When it comes to investing, Facebook is not for the masses
Washington Post 01/04/2011
Twitter as Tech Bubble Barometer
Wall Street Journal 02/10/2011
New York Times 02/13/2011
Why I Was Wrong About 'Dow 36,000'
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
The changing U.S. stock market in 2010 and beyond.
07/12/2010
Grouped Articles
Small Investors Flee Stocks, Changing Market Dynamics
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Small Investors Flee Stock Market Even as Companies Recover
New York Times 08/21/2010
'Macro' Forces in Market Confound Stock Pickers
Wall Street Journal 09/24/2010
Stocks Face Dark Side of Gridlock in Capital
Wall Street Journal 11/01/2010
Wall Street Journal 11/11/2010
U.S. stock market 2010-2014
07/12/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Some Stock Bulls Tread Lightly Into 2014
Wall Street Journal 11/22/2013
Small Investors Flee Stocks, Changing Market Dynamics
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2010
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2013
Four Reasons Why Nasdaq 4000 Differs From Tech Bubble
Wall Street Journal 11/26/2013
India's stock market- 2010-2014
08/19/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/11/2013
Emerging Stocks' Emerging Problems
Wall Street Journal 08/23/2013
Indian Shares Advance to a Record
Wall Street Journal 10/31/2013
For Indian Stocks, the Answer Is Blowing in the Political Wind
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2013
Test Your Smarts on Apple, Yellen, India
Wall Street Journal 01/07/2015
India May Double Individual Cap for IPOs
Wall Street Journal 08/19/2010
The U.S. stock markets in 2010-2015 and the greater influence of macroeconomic forces.
09/24/2010
Declining influence of company earnings and the stock picking art, as stocks move in lockstep with each other, and the macroeconomic forces surrounding the US economy.
Grouped Articles
Active Fund Managers Who Earn Their Keep - Barrons.com
Unknown 04/12/2013
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Stockmarkets: Don’t worry, be happy
Economist 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2014
Anticipating problems in the Global Economy and Stock markets- 2007-2012
01/04/2007
What problems could be anticipated in the global economy and stock markets, USA, Europe and Asia?
Grouped Articles
E.U. Predicts Anemic Growth and High Unemployment in 2014
New York Times 11/05/2013
Economist 01/04/2007
Beware the Crisis around the corner
Financial Times 01/04/2010
Beware a Bernanke-Fueled Market Bubble
BusinessWeek 05/13/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Debt, Bank Troubles Leave U.S. Trailing in Job Growth
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2010
The "Melt Up" U.S. stock market rally of late 2009 and its prospects.
06/06/2009
Farzad of BW says economic fundamentals don't justify the rally so it could fizzle out at any time in 2010 or 2011.
Grouped Articles
Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
Wall Street Journal 09/03/2011
Wall Street's Clearance Sale Leaves Few Bargains
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2009
Behind the Great Stock Rally of 2009
BusinessWeek 11/24/2009
Beware the Crisis around the corner
Financial Times 01/04/2010
New York Times 01/04/2010
U.S. Data Offer an Uncertain Compass
Wall Street Journal 01/04/2010
Extreme volatility for currency and stock market values in Brazil- 2009-2014
01/22/2009
An 80% rise in the Bovespa index for 2009 right on the heels of a global financial crisis, and a 35% rise in the value of the Brazilian real, are signs of the wild swings that are now taking place in the global economy.
Grouped Articles
QE2-Inspired Stock Rally May Soon Disappear
Wall Street Journal 08/08/2011
Wall Street Journal 09/13/2011
Latin America Boom Starts to Fade
Wall Street Journal 05/30/2013
No Ticker Tape Parade for Brazil's Currency Heroes
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2013
Brazil Real Has Further to Fall
Wall Street Journal 08/16/2013
Brazil's Currency Slides to New Low
Wall Street Journal 08/19/2013
Dow 36,000 and the serious dent in 401 (K) accounts in the U.S.
02/19/2011
How theories such as Glassman's about increasing gains on the stock market wiped out large portons of 401 (K) accounts in the U.S. Glassman explains why he was wrong and advises caution.
Linked Articles
Retiring Boomers Find 401(k) Plans Fall Short
Wall Street Journal 02/19/2011
Why I Was Wrong About 'Dow 36,000'
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2011
We took a different way to help millions around the world build educated informed mindsets that affects and shapes their lives. For a future that is open, global and digital, with everyone having access to high quality information. We believe in the renewal of America, renewal of Europe, the renewal of India, the rest of Asia, Latin America and Africa. The renewal of our supply chains, health, education, infrastructure, as we rebuild our countries after the pandemic. Literacy and knowledge we believe cannot thrive and grow in a world of web bots, web crawlers, or AI. This requires human curiosity, human learning, and human imagination. We take as inspiration the saying- “One has to be free, and as broad as sky. One has to have a mind that is crystal clear, only then can truth shine in it.” Every contribution whether big or small is precious- in this crisis and ahead.
Support Lyrarc from as small as $1
Terms and Conditions | Copyright Policy | Privacy Policy | Contact Us