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A New Year, the Same Ol' Pessimism
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Adam Parker, chief equity strategist of Morgan Stanley, sees the Standard and Poor's 500 stock index ending 2012 at 1167. Garry Evans, global head of equity strategy at HSBC, sees the S&P 500 stock index ending 2012 at 1190. This is down from the end of 2011 level of 1257. David Kostin, top equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, sees the S&P at 1250 at the end of 2012. Parker, Evans and Kostin, share concerns about the macroeconomic environment and Europe. Parker also sees weakness in bank earnings contributing to this level in the S&P 500 stock index. Parker view global macroeconomic factors determining 50% of the outcome, with weaknesses not only in Europe but also in China. His predictions for S&P earnings per share are at about $100 for 2012 and $103 for 2013.
S&P 500 stock index forecasts for 2012 by equity strategists at Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and HSBC
01/09/2012
S&P 500 stock index forecasts of chief equity strategists at Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and HSBC show the S&P 500 stock index ending 2012 at close to or lower than where it was in the beginning of 2011. Macroeconomic factors now play a much larger role.
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