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Why Many Retirees Could Outlive a $1 Million Nest Egg
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The bleak situation for Americans facing retirement as most people age 65 are likely to outlive their savings. The median financial net worth of an American household is $10,890, according to work done by Edward Wolff, an economics professor at New York University. This estimate is based on 2010 Federal Reserve data updated for the movement in market indexes. Even the ten percent of Americans who have saved $1 million will have difficulty as a 2% withdrawal rate would provide only $20,000 to supplement Social Security income. Earlier generations of Americans could depend on income from bonds. In today's low interest rate environment, the benchmark 10 year Treasury note is at 2.2% in 2013, bonds will provide only a fraction of the income generated in earlier periods. Stock markets are volatile and pose additional risks for seniors in retirement.
Aging, Retirement and 401(K)'s in America- 2010-2016
03/30/2010
The situation confronting the baby boom generation as it retires in the U.S. The stock market boom-bust cycles of 2000-2002 and 2006-2008 have hurt the 401(K) retirement accounts of most Americans. High unemployment and the housing crisis with many home owners under water has only worsened the situation. The difficult situation for seniors earning little interest on their savings. The problem of outliving ones savings for seniors with their money invested in bonds in a low interest rate environment. The median savings of Americans of close to $10,000 with only 10% of Americans having saved about $1 million by age 65. Longevity today means Americans are likely to live to age 85.
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Points to consider are the market conditions when entering retirement, the lower income on bonds, inflation, unforeseen or hidden expenses, and life expectancy. A lower P/E 10 ratio for the market is considered better than a higher P/E ratio- the current P/E 10 ratio reflecting past 10 years of earnings is about 23 according to Shiller.
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A U.S. Senate report shows a huge $6.6 trillion deficit in retirement savings in 2013, which comes to about $57,000 per American household. Only a small part of the population benefits from the gains on the stock market- most have suffered from the losses suffered following the 2008 financial crisis, depletion in savings from periods of unemployment, lower paying jobs, little or no interest on savings accounts, and additional stress from rising student debt and medical costs.
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Savings habits of younger Americans after the economic crisis of 2008-2009
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For many the experiences of parents postponing retirement because of low savings, or facing unemployment and foreclosure, are leading to debt reduction and lower credit card use. Younger workers in the U.S. in 2012-2013 are also contributing more to 401 (K) plans. Vanguard says the median annual contribution to 401 (K) and retirement savings accounts is 9%, including a 3% employer contribution. Vanguard says this is too low and is recommending Americans contribute annually 12-15%.
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Vanguard Group says the current median contributions to 401 (K) and savings accounts in 9%, including an employer contribution of 3%. This is too low and Vanguard is recommending a 12-15% annual contribution.
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Why even a $1 million in retirement savings is not enough in a low interest environment
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Grouped Articles
Why Many Retirees Could Outlive a $1 Million Nest Egg
New York Times 06/08/2013
The Case for Dividend Funds in Retirement
Wall Street Journal 04/15/2014
The Five Big Lies of Retirement Planning
Unknown 04/17/2014
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