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Number of the Week: Volatile August for Stocks
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The month of August 2011 ranks as the 10th worst month for U.S. stocks in 75 years. Or to put it another way of the last 900 months, the month of August 2011 ranks the 10th worst month in terms of volatiltiy. The average up and down movement each day in August was 1.%. In August the Dow Jones Industrial Averages were down 529 points, or a drop of 4.4%. This is not what worries investors as much- as their are months like May 2010 which had a 7.9% drop. The impact on investors is in the increased uncertainty that this creates about how an investment will perform in the future.
Contrarians Grantham, Rodriguez, Schiff, Arends, Granville, Roubini and others- 2010-2012
01/24/2008
U.S. stock market investing and contrarians. Skepticism about the stock market rallies of 2010-2012, and the greater influence of macroeconomic forces, which include oil prices volatility with international tensions, the eurozone financial crisis, and continuing fall in housing prices. Changes in fiscal policies and tax policies resulting in withdrawal of government support are other uncertainties.
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For senior executives interviewed in this survey investing is all about capital preservation. One executive has moved all his funds to U.S. government bonds and cash, another executive has given up the 60% stock 40% bond allocation recommended by financial firm advisors and moved his savings to cash and high investment grade bonds. These executives witnessed the 2008 crash and are not taking any chances. Financial advisors of these firms continue to tell the public to stay in it for the long term. Who bears the greater risk if things go wrong? The middle aged investor risks losing the bulk of his 401 (K) as he nears retirement. Investor portfolios of the middle class in America risk further losses after losses in the 2008 crisis.
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