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The Economy’s Hidden Problem: We’re Out of Big Ideas

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The broken link between economic growth and jobs in the U.S. during the recoveries of the last 2 decades

02/14/2013

Grouped Articles

Growth isn’t enough to help the middle class - The Washington Post

Washington Post 02/14/2013

'Secular Stagnation' May Be for Real

Wall Street Journal 08/27/2014

Hillary Got It Right About Growth

Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015

Robust Jobs Report Spurs Fed Watch

WSJ 08/05/2016

The Economy’s Hidden Problem: We’re Out of Big Ideas

WSJ 12/06/2016

Fed Raises Rates for First Time in 2016, Anticipates 3 Increases in 2017

WSJ 12/14/2016

The global economy in 2015-2016- slowing growth in China, Brazil, Russia and Turkey, as growth picks up in the U.S. and India, and Europe emerges from the eurozone debt crisis

11/29/2015

High debt to GDP ratios in China, Brazil and Turkey lead to slowing growth. India is the exception in emerging markets as foreign investment increases and GDP growth is above 7%, with a boost from halving of oil prices. Europe sees the need for more quantitative easing, and the U.S. makes a slow recovery. Russia may see an improvement after a large devaluation of the ruble. Argentina's prospects are seen as improving with a change in government. Canada sees a change from the drift in the last years of the Harper government and the hollowing out of the industrial sector, with the election of Justin Trudeau. Overall the situation in 2015-2016 is a marked improvement compared to ten years earlier in 2005, as debt issues are tackled seriously in Europe and the U.S. and governance in the private sector improves.

Grouped Articles

Tensions With Russia Add to a Chill in Turkey’s Economy

New York Times 11/29/2015

China Unveils Economic Blueprint for 2016

Wall Street Journal 12/22/2015

Oil Prices at $30 Bend Nations, But Which Ones Could Break?

Wall Street Journal 01/13/2016

Putin’s self-destructing economy - The Washington Post

Washington Post 01/18/2016

Russian Economy Stumbles as Stocks and Oil Prices Fall

New York Times 01/21/2016

Emerging-Market Debt: How Big a Threat Is It?

Wall Street Journal 02/16/2016

Length of U.S. economic expansions 1950-2015, and the forecast for the current expansion beginning in 2009

04/21/2014

Robert Hall, a Stanford economist who heads the NBER committee that studies industrial production, income, employment, retail sales, for turning points in the economy says the current economic expansion shows clear path ahead with increasing corporate earnings. Based on past experience adverse unpredictable shocks happen that end the expansion. Because of how slow this expansion is taking place and Yellen's sense of slack in the economy providing room for employment and incomes to grow, the current expansion has still a lot of life left in it. The Fed forecast is for 90 months into 2016, and the CBO forecast is for 102 months into 2017. Some of the growth in incomes and employment takes place in the late stage as happened in the Reagan expansion in the 1982-90 period.

Grouped Articles

Sluggish Economic Recovery Proves Resilient

Wall Street Journal 04/21/2014

'Secular Stagnation' May Be for Real

Wall Street Journal 08/27/2014

Hillary Got It Right About Growth

Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015

Obama’s Trickle-Up Economics

The New York Times 09/16/2016

The Economy’s Hidden Problem: We’re Out of Big Ideas

WSJ 12/06/2016

A Trump Economic Boom? The Fed May Stand in the Way

The New York Times 12/13/2016

Structural solutions for U.S. jobs growth and economic growth- 2011-2020

01/04/2010

Michael Spence and other experts discuss longer term solutions to the high unemployment facing the U.S.

Grouped Articles

Uncertainty Is the Enemy of Recovery

Wall Street Journal 04/28/2013

Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal

New York Times 01/28/2014

Bayer: Pressure on Prices Has Bad Side Effects

Wall Street Journal 02/07/2012

The world economy: Wealth without workers, workers without wealth

Economist 10/06/2014

Why the Old Jobs Aren't Coming Back

Wall Street Journal 06/24/2011

Middle-Aged Job Hunters Struggle in Weak Recovery

Wall Street Journal 07/30/2011

U.S. Federal Reserve chairwoman Yellen on extreme inequality in the U.S. and how it reduces the economic mobility that aids recovery

10/16/2014

The Fed chairman tells a Boston Fed conference on inequality that it is fair to ask whether equal opportunity on which Americans place importance is not a part of core American values.

Grouped Articles

Fed’s Yellen Says Extreme Inequality Could Be Un-American

Wall Street Journal 10/17/2014

Janet Yellen Warns of Inequality Threat

New York Times 10/17/2014

How Quantitative Easing Contributed to the Nation's Inequality Problem

New York Times 10/22/2014

Yellen Goes on Road to Investigate Health of the Jobs Market

New York Times 10/16/2014

Yellen’s First Year at Fed: A Remarkably Steady Course

New York Times 12/22/2014

Income Inequality Is Costing the U.S. on Social Issues

New York Times 04/28/2015

New York Mayor Bloomberg on reviving the U.S. economy

09/26/2011

Bloomberg says its time Obama and the Republicans stop promising a free lunch, or something for nothing. He suggests a two step answer to the economic problems facing the U.S. - let the Bush tax cuts expire for all income groups, and passage on an up or down vote of the Simpson-Bowles deficit reduction plan for $4 trillion in savings. This would give U.S. businesses the confidence to invest instead of holding back because of the uncertainty, and lead to higher economic growth and lower unemployment.

Grouped Articles

Why we need a third party - The Washington Post

Washington Post 09/26/2011

Wall Street Meets Reality

New York Times 12/27/2011

Federal Budgets and Class Warfare

Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012

Why I'm Optimistic About Cutting the Deficit

Wall Street Journal 03/29/2012

President Obama Should Seize the High Ground

New York Times 05/26/2012

Dana Milbank: Jeb Bush’s heresy - The Washington Post

Washington Post 06/13/2012

Demographics, economic growth and the U.S. stock market- 2011-2020

06/04/2011

Grouped Articles

'Secular Stagnation' May Be for Real

Wall Street Journal 08/27/2014

The Bullish Case for the U.S. Economy

Wall Street Journal 06/04/2011

Once Bit, Rich Shy From Risk of Stocks

Wall Street Journal 08/15/2011

Last Straw or Time to Buy?

Wall Street Journal 08/19/2011

A Standard, and Poor, Way of Investing

Wall Street Journal 01/21/2012

Overheard

Wall Street Journal 03/18/2012

The puzzle of continuing U.S. job gains in 2014-2015 with tepid wage growth, low productivity, and low economic growth

03/06/2015

Weak business investment, low productivity, slack in the labor market, and more low paying jobs are some of the reasons explaining the puzzle of job gains in 2014-2015 with small wage gains.

Grouped Articles

Sluggish Productivity Hampers Wage Gains

Wall Street Journal 03/07/2015

After a Bounce, Wage Growth Slumps to 0.1%

New York Times 03/06/2015

The New Jobs Report Shows Janet Yellen’s Quandary in a Nutshell

New York Times 03/06/2015

Slowing Job Growth Tests Economy

Wall Street Journal 04/04/2015

U.S. Economic Growth Nearly Stalls Out

Wall Street Journal 04/29/2015

The Mystery of Declining Productivity Growth

Wall Street Journal 05/15/2015

Krugman on how the stronger dollar and the weaker euro will hurt U.S. export competitiveness and growth in 2015-2016

03/13/2015

Europe will export some of its problems to the U.S. in 2015-2016, as the euro goes to parity with the dollar and makes European products more competitive with U.S. products in global markets. This will hurt U.S. growth. Yet it is important for the U.S. that Europe get out of its deflationary trap, and as for exchange rates and flows of capital this is how the global economy works with little that the U.S. can do about it, says Krugman. He believes many Federal Reserve governors were clueless about the impact of this on the U.S. growth in their March meeting as they pushed for higher rates, merely assuming that the situation it will turn out positively for the U.S. Krugman says that with growth in wages sluggish and low inflation the Federal Reserve needs to be very careful as it considers raising interest rates.

Grouped Articles

Strength Is Weakness

New York Times 03/13/2015

Weaker Euro Ripples Around World

Wall Street Journal 03/13/2015

Strong Dollar Stands in Manufacturing Sector’s Way

Wall Street Journal 03/16/2015

Torrent of Cash Exits Eurozone

Wall Street Journal 03/23/2015

U.S. Trade Gap Widens on Surging Imports

Wall Street Journal 05/06/2015

A Pause That Distresses

The New York Times 06/06/2016


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