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The New Jobs Report Shows Janet Yellen’s Quandary in a Nutshell

New York Times Original article ›

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Blanchflower and Posen call for the U.S. Federal Reserve to use wage growth as the best indicator of unemployment, after the misleading 288,000 jobs report of April 2014

06/06/2009

A renewed focus on the partcipation rate as the unemployment rate declines to 6.3% in April 2014. As this only counts people looking for work and many Americans have dropped out of the labor market because jobs they seek do not exist, the unemployment rate in this situation is misleading. Blanchford and Posen have written a paper on this and say the flat wage rate in March and April 2014 with no improvement in the participation rate provides a true picture of the large slack in the economy.

Grouped Articles

In Tepid Wage Growth, a Potent Sign of a Still-Fragile Economy

New York Times 05/05/2014

Job Growth Gathers Strength

Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014

Little Agreement on Reasons for Declining Labor-Force Participation

Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014

Positive Jobs Report Shows Economic Fault Lines

Wall Street Journal 05/05/2014

Jobs Data May Be Icing on America's Birthday Cake

Wall Street Journal 07/03/2014

Hiring Is Strong and Jobless Rate Declines to 6.1%

New York Times 07/03/2014

Faces of men who are unemployed or in part time work in the U.S. as one sixth of men 25-54 lack jobs in 2014

02/07/2012

The sharp decline in inflation adjusted wages for less skilled workers since 2000 and lack of decent paying jobs has led to many men too discouraged to look for work, and dependent on a spouse's income or government benefits. This is unlike any other post 1950's economic recovery in the U.S.

Grouped Articles

More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs

Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014

Bayer: Pressure on Prices Has Bad Side Effects

Wall Street Journal 02/07/2012

The White Underclass

New York Times 02/08/2012

Hiring Rises, but Number of Jobless Stays High

New York Times 04/04/2014

Recovery Has Created Far More Low-Wage Jobs Than Better-Paid Ones

New York Times 04/27/2014

A part-timer boom, or blip? - The Washington Post

Washington Post 07/16/2014

Lower unemployment in the U.S. in 2015 with weak wage gains, low productivity growth and low GDP growth

03/06/2015

Productivity growth in the U.S. since 2009 is about 1.3% according to the Labor Department, with slack in the labor market not reflected in the 5.5% unemployment rate in Feb. 2015, resulting in tepid wage gains. GDP growth for the same period is an average of about 2% with businesses not increasing capital spending as they did in previous expansions.

Grouped Articles

Sluggish Productivity Hampers Wage Gains

Wall Street Journal 03/07/2015

After a Bounce, Wage Growth Slumps to 0.1%

New York Times 03/06/2015

The New Jobs Report Shows Janet Yellen’s Quandary in a Nutshell

New York Times 03/06/2015

Slowing Job Growth Tests Economy

Wall Street Journal 04/04/2015

Oil Layoffs Hit 100,000 and Counting

Wall Street Journal 04/15/2015

U.S. Economic Growth Nearly Stalls Out

Wall Street Journal 04/29/2015

The U.S. unemployment picture September 2014- Underemployment U-6 at 11.8%, unemployment at 5.9%, and labor participation rate at 62.7%

10/04/2014

9.3 millon workers looking for fulltime work and decline in the labor participation rate reflected the true condition of labor market in the U.S., with wages dropping a penny, in September 2014. The unemployment rate dropped to 5.9% but failed to capture the true condition of the labor market for a number of reasons, including people too discouraged to look for work and people working part time when they would prefer working full time.

Grouped Articles

Job Growth Rebounds, but Wages Lag

Wall Street Journal 10/04/2014

Recipients of Jobless Benefits Down Sharply

Wall Street Journal 12/26/2014

Labor-Market Dropouts Stay on the Sidelines

Wall Street Journal 12/29/2014

Sluggish Productivity Hampers Wage Gains

Wall Street Journal 03/07/2015

The New Jobs Report Shows Janet Yellen’s Quandary in a Nutshell

New York Times 03/06/2015

Elizabeth Warren’s claim that the bottom 90 percent got ‘zero percent’ of wage growth after Reagan - The Washington Post

Washington Post 10/23/2015

Productivity gains in the U.S. 2011-2015

10/20/2011

Grouped Articles

U.S. Productivity Growth Has Taken a Dive

Wall Street Journal 02/04/2014

Sluggish Productivity Hampers Wage Gains

Wall Street Journal 03/07/2015

The New Jobs Report Shows Janet Yellen’s Quandary in a Nutshell

New York Times 03/06/2015

The Mystery of Declining Productivity Growth

Wall Street Journal 05/15/2015

The Big Meh

New York Times 05/25/2015

Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan Can’t Agree Why the Economy’s Productivity Has Slumped

Wall Street Journal 06/16/2015

U.S. Federal Reserve chairwoman Janet Yellen's thinking on unemployment and expected Fed policy in 2014-2015

01/23/2014

Grouped Articles

Don’t Expect Job Data Alone to Persuade Fed on Rates

New York Times 01/23/2014

A Fed Policy Maker, Changing His Mind, Urges More Stimulus

New York Times 01/27/2014

Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal

New York Times 01/28/2014

More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs

Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014

Jobs and the Fed

Wall Street Journal 02/08/2014

Fed's Yellen Sets Course for Steady Bond-Buy Cuts

Wall Street Journal 02/12/2014


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