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Russian Economy Stumbles as Stocks and Oil Prices Fall

New York Times Original article ›

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Alexei Kudrin and other experts see the potential for a deep political and economic crisis in Russia 2011-2015

01/25/2008

Fears expressed by Kudrin and other experts at a Moscow conference about the impact of a recession in the eurozone and Greece's exit from the euro. Kudrin was a key figure in Russia anticipating and setting aside reserves in the sovereign fund to meet the adverse effects of the 2008 global financial crisis. The views expressed were that Russia's economy is shaky and could be seriously affected if European banks reduce their loans. Earlier he strongly opposed increases in military spending in a disagreement with prime minister Medvedev because of concerns about financial stability.

Grouped Articles

Ex-Aide to Medvedev and Putin Out at Kremlin

New York Times 05/08/2013

Putin Pledges Stimulus for Russian Economy

Wall Street Journal 06/21/2013

Russia's Growth Pace Continues to Weaken

Wall Street Journal 08/11/2013

Russia Looks to Borrow to Plug Funding Gap

Wall Street Journal 09/19/2013

Russia Is Facing Stagflation, Central Banker Says

Wall Street Journal 01/17/2014

Russia Prepared to Let Ruble Slide

Wall Street Journal 01/30/2014

Russia's finance minister, Alexei Kudrin, and Russia's finances

01/25/2008

Kudrin on higher military spending of 3% of Russia's GDP, exceeding the amount spent on education. He sees this as endangering Russia's finances. Kudrin's focus on building the Russian Stabilization Fund helped Russia weather the 2008 global financial crisis. He is one of the St Petersburg officials who helped bring Putin to the Presidency. A slowing economy and a decline in oil prices would have an impact on the Russian economy. Analysts say Russia needs an oil price of $120 to support the current level of spending.

Grouped Articles

Putin Pledges Stimulus for Russian Economy

Wall Street Journal 06/21/2013

Russia Looks to Borrow to Plug Funding Gap

Wall Street Journal 09/19/2013

Russia Prepared to Let Ruble Slide

Wall Street Journal 01/30/2014

Red Alert on Russia Is Premature

Wall Street Journal 02/03/2014

Russia's Power Play Hits Economic Weak Spot

Wall Street Journal 03/04/2014

Russia Economy Worsens Even Before Sanctions Hit

New York Times 04/16/2014

The global economy in 2015-2016- slowing growth in China, Brazil, Russia and Turkey, as growth picks up in the U.S. and India, and Europe emerges from the eurozone debt crisis

11/29/2015

High debt to GDP ratios in China, Brazil and Turkey lead to slowing growth. India is the exception in emerging markets as foreign investment increases and GDP growth is above 7%, with a boost from halving of oil prices. Europe sees the need for more quantitative easing, and the U.S. makes a slow recovery. Russia may see an improvement after a large devaluation of the ruble. Argentina's prospects are seen as improving with a change in government. Canada sees a change from the drift in the last years of the Harper government and the hollowing out of the industrial sector, with the election of Justin Trudeau. Overall the situation in 2015-2016 is a marked improvement compared to ten years earlier in 2005, as debt issues are tackled seriously in Europe and the U.S. and governance in the private sector improves.

Grouped Articles

Tensions With Russia Add to a Chill in Turkey’s Economy

New York Times 11/29/2015

China Unveils Economic Blueprint for 2016

Wall Street Journal 12/22/2015

Oil Prices at $30 Bend Nations, But Which Ones Could Break?

Wall Street Journal 01/13/2016

Putin’s self-destructing economy - The Washington Post

Washington Post 01/18/2016

Russian Economy Stumbles as Stocks and Oil Prices Fall

New York Times 01/21/2016

Emerging-Market Debt: How Big a Threat Is It?

Wall Street Journal 02/16/2016

Faces in Russia during the economic crisis of 2014-2016- Anatoly Artamonov, governor of the Russia's Kaluga region, and plants of Severstal

03/17/2015

This account of life in the Kaluga region, a provincial city 110 miles south of Moscow, shows how Russia is coping with the 50% drop in the value of the ruble and the drop in oil prices below $50. Anatoly Karmanov, the able and energetic Russian who once ran a collective in the Brezhnev era, says its stupidity to have to hide that he talks to business people in other parts of the world to attract investment. VW plans to continue investment in the country, Continental AG is continuing production based on replacement demand for tires. The auto industry which provides about half of the output in Kaluga is hit hard, with the Association of European Business estimate of about 39% drop in production in Feb. 2015 compared to Feb. 2014. Only about 40% of production cost is from local parts at assembly factories, the rest is imported parts at the new ruble exchange rate, leading to a jump in prices and slumping demand.

Grouped Articles

How Looming Recession Is Unsettling One of Russia’s Boom Cities

Wall Street Journal 03/17/2015

Changing Course, Russia Will Sell Rubles Instead of Buying

New York Times 05/14/2015

Upsides for Steel Industry in a Russian Downturn, Despite Sanctions

New York Times 06/16/2015

U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015

The path to penury

Economist 08/24/2015

As Oil Keeps Falling, Nobody Is Blinking

Wall Street Journal 12/07/2015


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