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The views of Derek Scissors and other experts on China's economic prospects after 2010.
01/07/2010
The likelihood that the economy will stall without change. The declining effect of large stimulus and fixed investment in producing growth. The interests of state-owned companies in continuing with the current system.
Grouped Articles
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
New York Times 12/18/2011
China's banks: Great Wall Street
Economist 07/10/2010
Banyan: Afloat on a Chinese tide
Economist 09/02/2010
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
Chinese debt: The great hole of China
Economist 10/17/2014
U.S. and China- Trade Wars.
12/30/2009
American action against products from China that are dumped on the U.S. market. The unervalued Chinese currency and subsidized exports.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
Economist 03/31/2010
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
How China Lost Its Mojo: One Town's Story
Wall Street Journal 09/16/2013
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
Bubbles developing in many countries in 2010-2013
01/17/2009
China being the largest bubble developing in mid 2010. The other bubbles developing in Brazil, Canada, India, and Australia.
Grouped Articles
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Mom-and-Pop Investors Bolt Emerging Markets
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
New York Times 08/22/2013
Recognizing Bubbles But Still Cautious About Deflating Them
New York Times 09/10/2014
Canada Grapples With Housing Bubble Risk
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2016
Where Will the Next Financial Bubble Be?
BusinessWeek 05/06/2010
U.S.-China relations 2010-2013
01/13/2009
U.S.-China relations. Policy differences and trade relations are expected to exacerbate in 2010. The role of the U.S. as a supplicant to China in 2009 may lead to frustration and stepping back. US-China relations are tense because of continuing trade pressures and large trade deficits as China continues with its export model. Currency issues also an irritant.
Grouped Articles
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
China Pumps Up the Volume Against Japan
Wall Street Journal 02/08/2014
U.S. and China Mark 30 Years of Diplomatic Ties
New York Times 01/13/2009
U.S.-China relations to face strains, experts say - washingtonpost.com
Washington Post 01/03/2010
U.S., China locked in trade disputes
Washington Post 01/04/2010
China denounces U.S. trade ruling on steel pipes
Washington Post 01/01/2010
Inflation in China 2010-2013
01/19/2008
Rising food and energy prices.
Grouped Articles
China Inflation Rises to a 19-Month High
New York Times 06/11/2010
Wall Street Journal 09/04/2010
China Acts to Slow Rise in Food Prices
New York Times 11/17/2010
Chinaâs Move on Food Prices Seen as Inflation Risk
New York Times 11/17/2010
Beijing Escalates Inflation Battle
Wall Street Journal 11/18/2010
Inflated Risks to Economy in China
Wall Street Journal 11/19/2010
China- Communist party leadership in 2010-2012
01/06/2008
The transition in 2012 to the new leadership of Xi Jinping Li Keqiang.
Grouped Articles
China Previews Rising Leadership
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2011
Xi Comes Out on Top After Bo Verdict
Wall Street Journal 09/22/2013
China's next leader: Xi who must be obeyed
Economist 10/23/2010
The Wonk With the Ear of Chinese President Xi Jinping
Wall Street Journal 06/04/2013
New York Times 04/09/2014
China Promotes a Top Party Official
New York Times 10/18/2010
China wage increases and government policy to promote domestic consumption.
01/05/2008
Wage increases of 20% at Hon Hai and upto 100% at Honda factories in China from wages that were kept low for the export market, are now the trend in China. The government policy is shifting to encourage such wage increases to promote domestic consumption and reduce an overreliance on export markets for growth. This is happening just as trade tensions are increasing with the USA.
Grouped Articles
Beijing Signals a Shift on Economic Policy
New York Times 05/24/2013
Honda's Long-Haul Dilemma in China
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2010
Interview With Japan Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada
Wall Street Journal 09/02/2010
Yuan's Rise Hurts China's Exporters
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
China Will Keep Growing. Just Ask the Soviets.
New York Times 10/24/2014
Adidos and Hotwind? In China, Brands Evoke Foreign Names, Even if They’re Gibberish
New York Times 12/26/2014
China's pharmaceutical companies and export markets.
10/09/2007
Grouped Articles
U.S. Opens the Door to Chinese Pills
Wall Street Journal 10/09/2007
A Prescription for Chinese Health-Care Stocks
Wall Street Journal 06/28/2010
BusinessWeek 11/10/2011
Demographic trends and impact on China and India.
06/30/2006
Grouped Articles
Angry young Indians: What a waste
Economist 05/16/2013
India’s demographic challenge: Wasting time
Economist 05/16/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/30/2010
Business in India: A bumpier but freer road
Economist 10/02/2010
A Debate Arrives With Japan Politician's Baby
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2011
Islam and demography: A waxing crescent
Economist 02/21/2011
China IPO's.
05/24/2006
Ag bank and other Chinese IPO's.
Grouped Articles
Beijing Plans to Loosen Control Over IPO System
Wall Street Journal 11/18/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2010
Agricultural Bank of China Raises $19 Billion in I.P.O.
New York Times 07/06/2010
China Unveils IPO Guidelines Ahead of Expected New-Offering Flood
Wall Street Journal 12/02/2013
Hong Kong IPOs Come Under Fire
Wall Street Journal 05/10/2012
IPO Market Feels Chill From Stock Plunge
Wall Street Journal 08/25/2015
China and pollution of air and water.
05/10/2006
Use of coal-fired plants and more automobiles on Chinese streets and highways are worsening air quality in Chinese cities. Industrialization is taking its toll on air and water quality. 25% of lakes, rivers and streams have water too contaminated to be used for drinking water, according to areport by the China Ministry of Environmental Protection.
Grouped Articles
Pollution Is Radically Changing Childhood in Chinaâs Cities
New York Times 04/22/2013
China Seeks to Calm Anxiety Over Rice
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2013
Cadmium-Tainted Rice Discovered in Southern China
New York Times 05/21/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2013
Air Pollution From Coal Use Cuts Lifespans in China, Study Shows
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2013
Paying Auditors for Honest Appraisals
Wall Street Journal 07/18/2013
Uneven development, the problems of health care in China
12/30/2005
China has made only slow progress in health care, even as industrialization proceeded rapidly.
Grouped Articles
China Sees Challenge On Health System
Wall Street Journal 09/24/2010
Life Expectancy in China Rising Slowly, Despite Economic Surge
New York Times 11/23/2010
Still No Healthy Budget Allocations in China
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2011
China's Workers See Thin Protection In Insurance Plans
Wall Street Journal 12/30/2005
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
China Hospitals Seen Defying Reforms
Wall Street Journal 03/09/2012
China's pharmaceutical market 2010-2016
12/30/2005
Grouped Articles
Looking East, Big Pharma Cuts Prices
BusinessWeek 04/15/2010
China Worries Could Hurt Pharma’s Health
Wall Street Journal 08/24/2015
Chinese Market Offers New Life to Many Drugs
Wall Street Journal 03/30/2016
The Four Ps of Global Business Expansion
Wall Street Journal 11/12/2010
China's Workers See Thin Protection In Insurance Plans
Wall Street Journal 12/30/2005
BusinessWeek 11/10/2011
China's Frugal Consumer
01/04/2010
Grouped Articles
Why the Chinese don’t spend : The New Yorker
New Yorker 01/04/10
China Aims to Transform a Nation of Savers Into Spenders
Wall Street Journal 01/07/10
Gadget Giant's Evolution: Make, Then Sell
Wall Street Journal 08/21/10
U.S. poverty rate reaches 15.1 percent - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/13/11
Wall Street Journal 10/04/11
Shoppers S-t-r-e-t-c-h Their Dollars: Stick to Lists, Shun the Brand Names
Wall Street Journal 10/04/11
The economy of China in 2010-2012
12/30/2009
Hazards and prospects.
Grouped Articles
Three Hurdles for China in the Year of the Tiger
New York Times 12/30/09
Why the Chinese don’t spend : The New Yorker
New Yorker 01/04/10
China Dethrones Germany as Top Goods Exporter
Wall Street Journal 01/06/10
China Aims to Transform a Nation of Savers Into Spenders
Wall Street Journal 01/07/10
China Sees Growth Engine in a Web of Fast Trains
New York Times 02/13/10
BusinessWeek 04/14/10
China's economy after the global economic crisis of 2008.
01/14/2009
Stimulus spending, surge in bank loans.
Grouped Articles
Tax Cut Spurs 25% Rise in Chinese Auto Sales
Wall Street Journal 03/11/09
New York Times 04/03/09
Wall Street Journal 08/25/15
China Bank Airs Concern Over Loans
Wall Street Journal 07/14/09
Wall Street Journal 07/25/09
A New U.S. Dialogue With China
Wall Street Journal 07/27/09
Food prices in China.
01/19/2008
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/04/10
Food Prices Rise as Asia Projects Stall
Wall Street Journal 09/26/10
Cooking Oil's Surge Shows How Inflation Hits Chinese
Wall Street Journal 01/01/11
Global Food-Price Index Hits Record
Wall Street Journal 01/03/11
Wall Street Journal 02/03/11
Drought in Northern China Alarms Leaders
New York Times 02/03/11
China's prime minister Wen Jiabao
01/16/2008
Grouped Articles
Peopleâs Daily Article Appears to Rebuke Wen Jiabao
New York Times 10/27/10
Family of Wen Jiabao Holds a Hidden Fortune in China
New York Times 10/25/12
Wall Street Journal 11/21/12
Lobbying, a Windfall and a Leaderâs Family
New York Times 11/24/12
Another Big Stake in Ping An, Hidden in a Hong Kong Investment
New York Times 11/24/12
Wall Street Journal 01/16/11
China's difficult political-economic choices in the post 2010 period.
01/06/2008
The difficult choices in the new environment- transition to a new leadership, how to change the export model without serious disruptions, how to deal with western demands for balanced global growth, dealing with the inequality and corruption generated in the kind of growth China experienced (by the fiat of the State), opening up freedom of expression to curb corruption and to provide representation for hitherto blocked out voices, transition to freedom of expression and democratic processes without serious disruption to thegrowth needed for employment and improvements in the standard of living across all parts of society and regions, reducing or channelling to constructive ends prevailing nationalistic, anti-western or anti-Japanese sentiment. The new leadership of Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang is expected to be more outward looking than than of Hu Jintao and Wen Biao and comes at atime when China needs to make some difficult choices about future direction.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/01/13
The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
New York Times 07/14/13
Wall Street Journal 07/15/13
How China Lost Its Mojo: One Town's Story
Wall Street Journal 09/16/13
Chinaâs Economy, Back on Track
New York Times 10/04/13
Xia Yeliang: The China Americans Don't See
Wall Street Journal 10/26/13
Changes in China's factories in 2010-2013. Changing manufacturing.
01/05/2008
Conditions at Hon Hai and a strike at Honda are part of a changing picture of worker dissatisfaction with wages and discipline at Chinese factories. The period of low prices and worker discipline of the kind that prevailed for several decades of industrialization appears to be closing. The Chinese government is also having second thoughts as America and Europe are no longer the growing markets they used to be, and as it weighs a policy shift to domestic consumption.
Grouped Articles
China: A Billion Strong but Short on Workers
Wall Street Journal 05/02/13
China Manufacturers Survive by Moving to Asian Neighbors
Wall Street Journal 05/02/13
China Factories Try Karaoke, Speed Dating to Keep Workers
Wall Street Journal 05/03/13
Strains Show in China's Job Market
Wall Street Journal 06/11/13
Wall Street Journal 12/21/11
Unrest May Signal New Phase in China Economy
New York Times 05/29/10
Questions about China's one-child policy.
06/30/2006
The fertility rate is estimated by one the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences to be at most 1.6, having dropped from close to 3 when the policy was introduced in 1980. Does this policy make sense as the population ages ask critics in the Chinese media? The impact of demographics on China's future.
Grouped Articles
The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
New York Times 07/14/13
Washington Post 11/16/13
China to Ease Longtime Policy of 1-Child Limit
New York Times 11/15/13
Wall Street Journal 11/16/13
Calculating Shift to What May Really Be 1.5-Child Policy
Wall Street Journal 11/16/13
Nicholas Eberstadt: China's Coming One-Child Crisis
Wall Street Journal 11/27/13
Road construction in China falling behind pace of automobile use.
06/13/2006
Grouped Articles
Chinese Car Buyers Should Keep On Motoring
Wall Street Journal 12/26/13
Wall Street Journal 10/23/10
China Traffic Jam Could Last Weeks
Wall Street Journal 08/24/10
A Driver Explosion Leaves China No Closer to Finding a Fast Lane
New York Times 12/22/10
Beijing Cracks Down on Car Buyers
Wall Street Journal 12/23/10
For Auto Industry, Questions About Beijingâs Road Ahead
New York Times 12/29/10
China's automaker Geely.
05/17/2006
Grouped Articles
Auto Sales Keep Humming in China
Wall Street Journal 05/09/13
Geely's Li Doubles Down on Volvo
Wall Street Journal 06/06/13
Chinese Car Makers Struggle to Lure Buyers
Wall Street Journal 04/21/14
China's Geely Shouldn't Drive Solo
Wall Street Journal 04/21/14
Subsidies Stoke China's Domestic Car Makers
Wall Street Journal 05/24/14
China’s motor industry: The coming crash
Economist 04/25/15
Shift to fuel efficient engines will reduce oil demand in China.
04/12/2006
The gradual phasing out of polluting and inefficient one cylinder engines called "inkfish" used by poorer people. About 36 million of these types of low tech engines are currently sold.
Grouped Articles
China Has Big Eyes, Little Stomach for Oil
Wall Street Journal 08/27/15
China's Thirst for Oil Could Come Up Short
Wall Street Journal 06/01/10
Wall Street Journal 07/18/10
Obama administration set to raise fuel efficiency standards, but by how much? - The Washington Post
Washington Post 05/13/11
As the Price of Gasoline Takes Off, Oil and Auto Firms Trade Barbs
Wall Street Journal 04/12/06
New Mileage Rules Debated by Carmakers and White House
New York Times 07/03/11
China's healthcare market 2010-2015
12/30/2005
Grouped Articles
The Ka-Ching in China Luring Medical Giants
BusinessWeek 03/04/10
Wall Street Journal 07/27/10
China's Workers See Thin Protection In Insurance Plans
Wall Street Journal 12/30/05
China Carmakers Told to Seek Fuel Efficiency, Not Sales
New York Times 09/04/11
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/12
China Calls for Health System Overhaul
Wall Street Journal 07/24/12
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