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Europe’s Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China

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The yuan has risen 14.5% against the yuan in the last 4 months, according to the Chinese Commerce ministry. Loosening the Chinese currency's peg to the dollar will increase the value of the renminbi even further. And with further declines in the euro expected this would seriously affect Chinese exporters to Europe. This also makes European goods more competitive than American goods in the Chinese market putting the Obama's administration's goal of doubling exports further at risk. The Shanghai stock index declined by 5.1% on Monday May 17, 2010, reflecting these concerns. The Chinese government continues to intervene in currency markets and the renminbi is now at 6.827 renminbi to the dollar.

The U.S. Treasury's view on currency values for Japan's yen and China's renminbi 2013-2016

05/17/2010

The U.S. Treasury says Japan should use monetary policy for promoting economic growth and not for gaining an advantage in international markets.

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An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember

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Expert opinion on the appreciation of the yuan.

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One view from Yale University is that an appreciation of China's currency will not have alarge impact on American jobs, which is the opposite of what is generally thought.

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The Long View of Changes in China’s Currency

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An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember

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China's Dangerous Overvaluation

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Global trade issues in 2010.

01/14/2009

The currency issues for the strong yen and the reluctance of China to revalue its currency.

Grouped Articles

The Obama-Romney Tariff

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Americans Sour on Trade

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Yuan Revaluation for China's Own Sake

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Roubini on China, currency issues, and domestic consumption in China.

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By letting the yuan China can shift the benefits to households, who will have more purchasing power, and reverse the shift that has taken place in the last 10 years, with domestic consumption making up about 36% of GDP- down by about 10 points from ten years earlier. State owned companies gained at the expense of households, as did infrastructure spending, but it is leading to misallocation of investments and hurting households. As a result China will hit a growth wall in the next 2-3 years, says Roubini.

Grouped Articles

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How policy and mood is shifting in China, Japan and Europe for exchange rates between currencies. The desire to be less dependent on exports and increase domestic demand in these countries just as thrifty consumers in the US make earlier policies obsolete.

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Hazards and prospects.

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Can China Cool Its Economy?

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