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Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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The benchmark price of U.S. crude oil dropped to $31.41 a barrel on January 11, 2016, as oil prices continued to drop sharply following a slowdown in China, appreciation in the U.S. dollar and no cuts in production from Saudi Arabia. Analysts expect a crisis for energy producers that is deeper than ones in 1986, and five plunges in oil price all the way back to 1970. With the oil prices at $30 and expected to drop below $30, the companies that took on a lot of debt have no choice but to keep up production. In the process many may find themselves in bankruptcy. Private equity with capital of $100 billion is likely to come in at this point to buy cheap assets without the debt, say analysts. U.S. banks energy portfolios are small, with Wells Fargo energy exposure only 2% for oil and gas loans in the third quarter of 2015, or about $17 billion. Loans that are rated "sub-standard. doubtful or loss," are projected at 15% of loans to energy producers, about $34.2 billion, in a biannaual review by banking regulators. The unusual aspect of this energy price slump is that production is not declining with falling prices- oil production in the U.S. was estimated by the government at 9.2 million barrels a day in Jan 2016- 1% higher than at the beginning of 2015 when prices were over $40 a barrel.

Oil prices decline to nearly $30 a barrel in January 2016

01/12/2016

Grouped Articles

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

Weak Oil Prices Curbing Production

Wall Street Journal 04/13/2016

How American Shale Drillers Flipped OPEC’s Script

WSJ 05/24/2017

Continuing decline in oil prices at the end of 2015, with likely continued decline in 2016

12/07/2015

Grouped Articles

As Oil Keeps Falling, Nobody Is Blinking

Wall Street Journal 12/07/2015

Energy Sector Rout Intensifies on Mild Weather, OPEC

Wall Street Journal 12/08/2015

Oil Prices Plunge 5% After OPEC Stands Pat

New York Times 12/07/2015

The Oil-Price Rout: Blink and You Won’t Miss It

Wall Street Journal 12/12/2015

The Global Battle for Oil Market Share

Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

Winners and losers in emerging markets in 2015 with lower oil prices- Turkey and India are winners, China a beneficiary, Russia, Venezuela and Brazil are losers

01/18/2015

The economic prospects of emerging market countries have changed significantly since 2013. In Turkey political problems and a high current account deficit led to a slump in the lira and high interest rate policies by early 2014. In India the Congress party government let the economy drift in 2013 with no action taken. The newly elected Modi adminstration in 2014 and now lower oil prices are giving a major boost to economic growth in India. China with huge oil imports is also a beneficiary as it tackles problems from the boom years and growth slows to below 7%.

Grouped Articles

Turkey’s economy: Saved by the well

Economist 01/18/2015

Monetary policy in India: The cycle turns

Economist 01/18/2015

Oil Prices Slump as Inventories Rise Near 80-Year Highs

Wall Street Journal 02/05/2015

India Growth Rate Set to Rival China

Wall Street Journal 02/10/2015

Turkish Officials Seen Stoking Crisis as Lira Hits Record Low

Wall Street Journal 03/05/2015

A Windfall for China as Commodity Prices Plunge

Wall Street Journal 03/16/2015

U.S. gasoline prices at the pump below $2.00 and the drop in Nymex, Brent crude oil prices in fourth quarter 2014

11/01/2014

Grouped Articles

Gas is about to fall below $3 a gallon for first time since 2010 - The Washington Post

Washington Post 11/01/2014

Strong Dollar Adds to Pressures on Oil

Wall Street Journal 11/01/2014

Refining Saudi Arabia’s Oil Strategy

Wall Street Journal 11/03/2014

Oil Slide Deepens, Ruble Crumbles

Wall Street Journal 12/01/2014

Oil Prices Slip Further After IEA Report

Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014

Americans Getting Pumped for the Holidays

Wall Street Journal 12/23/2014

Effect of continuing decline in oil prices by Dec. 2015 on the bond and stock prices of energy companies and companies with large debt

12/07/2015

Grouped Articles

Energy Sector Rout Intensifies on Mild Weather, OPEC

Wall Street Journal 12/08/2015

Oil Prices Plunge 5% After OPEC Stands Pat

New York Times 12/07/2015

The Oil-Price Rout: Blink and You Won’t Miss It

Wall Street Journal 12/12/2015

The Global Battle for Oil Market Share

Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

OPEC's loss of pricing power in 2015

06/01/2015

Saudi Arabia acting as a swing producer adjusted oil production to keep prices from falling in the period before 2015. Following the sharp drop in oil prices to below $50 in early 2015, prices steadied to about $65 for Brent crude in June 2015. The Saudi oil minister Naimi says he takes the long view on oil prices, and decides to continue Saudi production at earlier levels in June 2015. In a period of declining oil prices the Saudis and OPEC continue to produce oil at the same levels as before.

Grouped Articles

OPEC’s Pricing Leverage Is Weakening

Wall Street Journal 06/01/2015

OPEC’s Problem: There Is No Minister of Shale

Wall Street Journal 06/03/2015

OPEC Keeps Output Unchanged

Wall Street Journal 06/05/2015

OPEC, Keeping Quotas Intact, Adjusts to Oil’s New Normal

New York Times 06/05/2015

As Saudis Keep Pumping, Thirst for Domestic Oil Swells

Wall Street Journal 07/04/2015

U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015

Effects of lower oil prices in 2015- (3) the effect on the airlines industry

12/10/2014

Grouped Articles

Slide in Fuel Costs Lifts Profits for Airlines, but Fares Won’t Fall

New York Times 12/10/2014

Oil Prices Slip Further After IEA Report

Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014

Oil Prices Tumble to Fresh Lows

Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015

Big Trouble in Store for Oil

Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015

Falling Oil Prices, a Boon to Airlines, Pose a Challenge for Airbus and Boeing

New York Times 01/13/2015

Oil Markets: Use Your Illusion

Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015

Economic growth in the Texas Dallas-Fort Worth region following the 2015-2016 decline in oil prices

06/20/2015

Grouped Articles

Dallas-Fort Worth Keeps Texas Engine Revving

Wall Street Journal 06/20/2015

Oil Prices Plunge 5% After OPEC Stands Pat

New York Times 12/07/2015

The Global Battle for Oil Market Share

Wall Street Journal 12/16/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

$15 Oil? It’s Already Here, in Canada

Wall Street Journal 01/15/2016

Funds Blackstone Group, Franklin Resources, Oaktree Capital, and the losses from collapse in oil prices in 2015

08/04/2015

Grouped Articles

Oil-and-Gas Debt Deals Sting Investors

Wall Street Journal 08/04/2015

U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

Blackstone Gains From Banks’ Financial-Crisis Pain

Wall Street Journal 01/22/2016

The effect of low oil prices in 2015- (7) the effect on the banking industry

01/11/2015

Grouped Articles

As Oil Prices Fall, Banks Serving the Energy Industry Brace for a Jolt

New York Times 01/11/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

The effects of lower oil prices- (7) effect on oil producing states in the U.S. (Texas, Louisiana, Alaska, N. Dakota)

01/13/2015

Grouped Articles

Oil States’ Budgets Face Crude Awakening

Wall Street Journal 01/13/2015

Crude-Oil Price Collapse Takes Toll on Williston

Wall Street Journal 03/13/2015

Oil Boom Swells North Dakota Town; What Now?

Wall Street Journal 03/18/2015

Oil Markets: Use Your Illusion

Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

The impact of the slump in oil prices to $35 and other pressures in Dec. 2015 on sovereign wealth funds

12/23/2015

Grouped Articles

The Trouble With Sovereign-Wealth Funds

Wall Street Journal 12/23/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

The impact of lower oil prices in 2014-2015 on Mexico's plans to open its oil industry to foreign investment

12/06/2014

Grouped Articles

Mexico Mulls Curtailing Energy Bids Amid Falling Prices

Wall Street Journal 12/06/2014

Oil Prices Slip Further After IEA Report

Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014

Oil Prices Tumble to Fresh Lows

Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015

Mexico’s economy was supposed to soar. It’s starting to flop. - The Washington Post

Washington Post 08/08/2015

U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015

Mexico Strains to Lure World’s Oil Giants

Wall Street Journal 09/30/2015

The effect of lower oil prices on Turkey's economy- lowering the current account deficit to 5% in 2015 from 7.9% in 2013

01/18/2015

With 6% of GDP going to oil imports the lower oil prices in 2015 helps to lower the current account deficit. The lower oil price and more capital inflows boosts growth as Turkey is dependent on capital inflows. Higher interest rates hurt growth during the emerging markets crisis in early 2014 and a drop in the value of the lira.

Grouped Articles

Turkey’s economy: Saved by the well

Economist 01/18/2015

Turkish Officials Seen Stoking Crisis as Lira Hits Record Low

Wall Street Journal 03/05/2015

Iran’s Nuclear Deal Could Open Oil Flood

Wall Street Journal 03/17/2015

U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015

Oil Plunge Sparks Bankruptcy Concerns

Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016

Turkish economy contracts amid instability | Business | DW.COM | 12.12.2016

DW.COM 12/12/2016

The effects of lower oil prices in 2015 - (4) the effect on African countries

12/12/2014

Oil exporting countries in West Africa such as Nigeria, Ghana and Angola lose oil revenues, oil importing countries in East Africa such as Tanzania, Kenya, Mozambique and South Africa benefit with lower oil import bills.

Grouped Articles

Fall in Oil Prices Threatens Africa’s Economic Growth

Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014

Oil Prices Tumble to Fresh Lows

Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015

Big Trouble in Store for Oil

Wall Street Journal 01/06/2015

Dollar’s Rise Stings Africa

Wall Street Journal 03/25/2015

Businesses Seek Out New African Frontiers

Wall Street Journal 04/01/2015

Africa and commodity prices: No longer the kiss of death

Economist 04/30/2015


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