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Dollar’s Rise Stings Africa

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The appreciation of the U.S. dollar and depreciating currencies in Africa in 2015 makes it costlier to import manufactured goods to African countries. Quality Supermarkets in Kampala, Uganda, struggles to fill its shelves with imported packaged foods and manufactured goods. The lack of financing for $30 million in crude supplies leads to the closure of a refinery in Lusaka, Zambia, and long lines at gas stations. The Zambian currency kwacha has depreciated by 17% against the U.S. dollar in 2015. Uganda's currency the shilling, Angola's currency the kwanza, and Nigeria's currency the Naira, all depreciated in 2015. This means larger trade deficits to finance consumer imports or upgrade infrastructure. In Uganda this means delays in upgrades to power lines and transformers. In oil producing countries such as Angola and Nigeria, and oil producers at the early stage such as Uganda and Ghana, there is a double whammy with lower oil prices leading to lower revenues to finance costlier imports. This is likely to slow growth in Africa from about 5% in recent years to 3.7%, according to Capital Economics forecast. Countries in Africa that import oil will see lower import bill for oil, but that benefit eroded by a depreciating currency. South Africa sees benefit of lower oil prices offset by lower revenues from commodity exports of iron ore, and the higher cost of imports with a depreciating currency.

The impact of a stronger U.S. dollar on Africa- the situation in Uganda, Zambia, Nigeria, S. Africa, and other countries with depreciating currencies

03/25/2015

The lack of $30 million in dollar funds leads to closing of a refinery and long lines in Lusaka,, Zambia. A large supermarket in Kampala, Uganda, has empty shelves for imported products as it becomes costlier to import with a depreciating currency. Flights on a Portugal run airline into Angola now cost more. Infrastructure improvements are being delayed because of the extra cost. Throughout Africa one can see the impact of an appreciating U.S. dollar.

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