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OPEC’s Oil Output Strategy Seen Potentially Backfiring
Keywords:
OPEC's loss of pricing power in 2015
06/01/2015
Saudi Arabia acting as a swing producer adjusted oil production to keep prices from falling in the period before 2015. Following the sharp drop in oil prices to below $50 in early 2015, prices steadied to about $65 for Brent crude in June 2015. The Saudi oil minister Naimi says he takes the long view on oil prices, and decides to continue Saudi production at earlier levels in June 2015. In a period of declining oil prices the Saudis and OPEC continue to produce oil at the same levels as before.
Grouped Articles
OPEC’s Pricing Leverage Is Weakening
Wall Street Journal 06/01/2015
OPEC’s Problem: There Is No Minister of Shale
Wall Street Journal 06/03/2015
Wall Street Journal 06/05/2015
OPEC, Keeping Quotas Intact, Adjusts to Oil’s New Normal
New York Times 06/05/2015
As Saudis Keep Pumping, Thirst for Domestic Oil Swells
Wall Street Journal 07/04/2015
U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel
Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015
OPEC supply, oil demand and oil prices 2014-2017
10/15/2014
Grouped Articles
IEA Cuts Outlook for Oil-Demand Growth by 22%
Wall Street Journal 10/15/2014
Refining Saudi Arabia’s Oil Strategy
Wall Street Journal 11/03/2014
OPEC Members Nearing Compromise on Supply Cuts
Wall Street Journal 11/26/2014
Energy Quakes as OPEC Stands Pat
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2014
Iraq Agrees on Kurdistan Oil Deal
Wall Street Journal 12/02/2014
Saudi Arabia Sees Oil Prices Stabilizing Around $60 a Barrel
Wall Street Journal 12/04/2014
Global oil prices after the OPEC production cuts in December 2009.
02/04/2006
The future for global oil prices is for them to remain at these lower levels at about $40 a barrel according to experts.
Grouped Articles
OPEC’s Oil Output Strategy Seen Potentially Backfiring
Wall Street Journal 11/10/2015
Wall Street Journal 12/18/2008
Odd Couple: Commodities, Fundamentals
Wall Street Journal 06/03/2009
Gold Runs Back Toward $1,000 an Ounce
Wall Street Journal 06/03/2009
Reality Check for China's Impact on Crude
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2009
Wall Street Journal 10/14/2009
Saudi oil price strategies in 2014-2016
10/15/2014
Grouped Articles
As Oil Prices Plummet, Saudi Arabia Faces a Test of Strategy
New York Times 10/15/2014
Refining Saudi Arabia’s Oil Strategy
Wall Street Journal 11/03/2014
Saudi Price Cut Upends Oil Market
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2014
Energy Quakes as OPEC Stands Pat
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2014
OPEC’s Weapon of Mass Inaction
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2014
Free Fall in Oil Price Underscores Shift Away From OPEC
New York Times 11/28/2014
2011-2012 oil price increases and production increases by the Saudis, Iraq and Libya to increase the effectiveness of sanctions on Iranian oil
04/26/2006
Grouped Articles
Saudi, U.S., Iraq Step in to Plug Libya Oil Gap
Wall Street Journal 09/11/2013
In Libya, Unrest Brings Oil Industry to Standstill
New York Times 09/12/2013
Exxon Mobil Signs Iraq Deal With PetroChina, Pertamina
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2013
Host of Conflicting Forces Has Saudis on a Tightrope
Wall Street Journal 04/10/2007
Fall in Oil Prices Poses a Problem for Russia, Iraq and Others
New York Times 10/15/2014
As Oil Prices Plummet, Saudi Arabia Faces a Test of Strategy
New York Times 10/15/2014
The effect of sharp oil price declines in 2015 on Saudi Aramco
02/20/2015
Saudi Aramco is seeking price cuts from suppliers as it faces a sharp decline in oil prices.
Grouped Articles
Oil-Drop Pain Spreads to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Behemoth
Wall Street Journal 02/20/2015
As Saudis Keep Pumping, Thirst for Domestic Oil Swells
Wall Street Journal 07/04/2015
U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel
Wall Street Journal 08/23/2015
From Venezuela to Iraq to Russia, Oil Price Drops Raise Fears of Unrest
New York Times 08/24/2015
OPEC’s Oil Output Strategy Seen Potentially Backfiring
Wall Street Journal 11/10/2015
Saudi Arabia, Squeezed by Low Oil Prices, Cuts Spending to Shrink Deficit
New York Times 12/28/2015
OPEC policy and oil prices- 2013-2018
11/30/2013
Grouped Articles
OPEC Rift Emerging Over Iraq Output, Possible Return of Iran
Wall Street Journal 11/30/2013
OPEC, Foreseeing No Glut, Keeps Oil Production Level Steady
New York Times 12/04/2013
Venezuela Could Force Oil Market to Take Stock
Wall Street Journal 02/24/2014
Oil Prices Continue Decline, Pressured by Saudi Action to Defend Market Share
New York Times 10/02/2014
OPEC Members’ Discord Adds to Slide in Oil Prices
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2014
Oil Markets Fly Into a Perfect Storm
Wall Street Journal 10/09/2014
How the decision to not cut OPEC oil production was reached at the November 2014 Vienna meeting
12/04/2014
The decision leads to a drop in oil prices below $70 for Brent crude by Dec. 2014. A decision by Russia and Rosneft not to cut production, along with cuts by Mexico and the OPEC countries including Venezuela, leads to dropping of a Venezuelan proposal for oil production cuts. This turns out to have been a strategic mistake for Russia as the oil price drops accelerated a decline in the value of the ruble, aggravating a situation made difficult by western sanctions limiting capital access on global capital markets, capital flight, and higher inflation. The decision was presented as a Saudi effort to gain market share in the U.S. which had fallen sharply with increased shale oil production. By taking the Venezuelan proposal into consideration the Saudis maintained OPEC unity, while leaving open the possibility of reevaluating the decision in 2015 after observing the movement in oil price and supplies. The move hurts Iran, Russia and Venezuela which face severe economic constraints. It benefits India which faced severe energy import difficulties.
Grouped Articles
Saudi Arabia Sees Oil Prices Stabilizing Around $60 a Barrel
Wall Street Journal 12/04/2014
Oil Prices Plunge With Brent Crude Below $60
Wall Street Journal 12/16/2014
Why Saudis Decided Not to Prop Up Oil
Wall Street Journal 12/22/2014
Saudi Arabia Vows to Ride Out Oil Price Slump
New York Times 12/21/2014
Oil’s Swift Fall Raises Fortunes of U.S. Abroad
New York Times 12/24/2014
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Saudi Arabia and oil prices- 2011-2018
02/04/2006
Grouped Articles
Oil Prices Continue Decline, Pressured by Saudi Action to Defend Market Share
New York Times 10/02/2014
OPEC Members’ Discord Adds to Slide in Oil Prices
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2014
Oil Markets Fly Into a Perfect Storm
Wall Street Journal 10/09/2014
Oil companies: Unsustainable energy
Economist 10/14/2014
Oil prices plunge as production rises, fueling concern in OPEC - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/15/2014
Fall in Oil Prices Poses a Problem for Russia, Iraq and Others
New York Times 10/15/2014
Saudi oil price cuts in November 2014 to increase U.S. market share- with market share decline to 4.6% in August 2014 from 7% in August 2013
11/04/2014
U.S. imports of Saudi oil declined to 894,000 barrels a day from a high of 1.6 million a few months earlier. Saudi price cuts in November 2014 in the U.S. market, while decreasing prices in tight Asian markets, was designed to reverse the drop in market share. NYMEX price of oil dropped below $80 by early Nov. 2014.
Grouped Articles
Saudi Price Cut Upends Oil Market
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2014
Energy Quakes as OPEC Stands Pat
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2014
OPEC’s Weapon of Mass Inaction
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2014
Free Fall in Oil Price Underscores Shift Away From OPEC
New York Times 11/28/2014
Oil Slide Deepens, Ruble Crumbles
Wall Street Journal 12/01/2014
Oil Prices Slip Further After IEA Report
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2014
The Economist and WSJ on shale oil, the Saudis and oil prices in 2015 and beyond
01/13/2015
The Economist points out that shale oil production technology is at the early stages with production costs likely to come down from an average of $57 a barrel. With the relatively small costs to start drilling in shale deposits and extensive new shale deposits in the U.S. and other parts of the world, shale is likely to remain a factor in oil production and prices for a long time. Any impact of Saudi oil price cuts on shale oil production is likely to be temporary, as new advances in the technology and efficiency will make shale oil a serious source of oil supplies. Already some efficient shale oil producers have costs below $35 a barrel in the U.S., according to the CEO of CSX Railroad. CSX has dropped the fuel surcharge to improve the competitiveness of shale transported by rail from the Bakken shale region in N. Dakota.
Grouped Articles
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Exxon Mobil: Shale to the Chief
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2015
U.S. Producers Ready New Oil Wave
Wall Street Journal 03/14/2015
Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015
Saudi price strategy in 2015 and U.S. shale oil drillers
01/10/2015
Grouped Articles
Saudi Arabia’s Cure for Shale Could Entail Shock Therapy
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2015
The new economics of oil: Sheikhs v shale
Economist 01/13/2015
Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2015
New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy
New York Times 01/23/2015
Oil-Drop Pain Spreads to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Behemoth
Wall Street Journal 02/20/2015
Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015
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