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Saudi Arabia, Squeezed by Low Oil Prices, Cuts Spending to Shrink Deficit

New York Times Original article ›

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The Saudi government announced sharp cuts in spending and subsidies to cut the deficit in 2016. The deficit in 2015 was about $98 billion or 367 billion riyals , according to Al Arabiya Saudi news channel. In 2016 the budget is designed to cut the deficit to $87 billion or 326 billion riyals. The 2016 budget is for 840 billion riyals, compared to 975 billion riyals in 2015. Saudi Arabia's foreign exchange reserves of $640 billion could be exhausted at this rate by 2020, experts say. Actions being taken by the government include increasing the price of some grades of gasoline sold domestically by 50%, as subsidies are being cut. The drop in oil prices to about $35-$40 is hurting Russia, Saudis and Venezuela. The Saudis have increased defense spending for conflicts in Yemen, and in other areas, as they oppose Iran and Russia in the Iraq- Syria conflict.

How the Saudis are coping with lower oil prices and revenues- cutting gasoline subsidies and other spending to reduce budget deficits in 2016

12/28/2015

Gasoline prices for some grades of gasoline sold in Saudi gas stations will increase by 50% as the Saudi Finance Ministry copes with dropping oil revenues. The 2016 budget shows adeficit of $87 billion compared to $98 billion in 2015. At this rate Saudi Arabia would exhaust its foreign exchange reserves of $640 billion by 2020. Saudi Arabia has a rapidly growing population which will increase budget pressures and local oil demand. Its defense spending to counter Iran and Russia in the Syria-Iraq conflict and in Yemen also affect spending. Lower oil prices are partly a result of the geopolitical conflict in the region and rivalry betweeen Iran backed by Russia and Sunnis led by the Saudi and Emirates, as well as technology in shale oil production. This comes at a good time for China as it slows, India as it increases its growth rate, and the U.S. and Eurozone as their economies recover from a deep recession, Japan as it improves its economy from low or no growth. For Russia it is seen as away to shift away from imports to domestic industry. For the Saudis an opportuntiy to cut subsidies and improve the productivity of spending.

Grouped Articles

Saudi Arabia, Squeezed by Low Oil Prices, Cuts Spending to Shrink Deficit

New York Times 12/28/2015

Oil Prices at $30 Bend Nations, But Which Ones Could Break?

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Saudi Arabia Keeps Pumping Oil, Despite Financial and Political Risks

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Oil-Price Poker: Why the Saudis Won’t Fold ‘Em

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Young Saudis See Cushy Jobs Vanish Along With Nation’s Oil Wealth

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OPEC's loss of pricing power in 2015

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Saudi Arabia acting as a swing producer adjusted oil production to keep prices from falling in the period before 2015. Following the sharp drop in oil prices to below $50 in early 2015, prices steadied to about $65 for Brent crude in June 2015. The Saudi oil minister Naimi says he takes the long view on oil prices, and decides to continue Saudi production at earlier levels in June 2015. In a period of declining oil prices the Saudis and OPEC continue to produce oil at the same levels as before.

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OPEC’s Problem: There Is No Minister of Shale

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OPEC Keeps Output Unchanged

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OPEC, Keeping Quotas Intact, Adjusts to Oil’s New Normal

New York Times 06/05/2015

As Saudis Keep Pumping, Thirst for Domestic Oil Swells

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U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

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The effect of sharp oil price declines in 2015 on Saudi Aramco

02/20/2015

Saudi Aramco is seeking price cuts from suppliers as it faces a sharp decline in oil prices.

Grouped Articles

Oil-Drop Pain Spreads to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Behemoth

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As Saudis Keep Pumping, Thirst for Domestic Oil Swells

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U.S. Oil Prices Hit Fresh Six-Year Low, Dipping Below $40 a Barrel

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From Venezuela to Iraq to Russia, Oil Price Drops Raise Fears of Unrest

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OPEC’s Oil Output Strategy Seen Potentially Backfiring

Wall Street Journal 11/10/2015

Saudi Arabia, Squeezed by Low Oil Prices, Cuts Spending to Shrink Deficit

New York Times 12/28/2015

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Grouped Articles

As Oil Prices Plummet, Saudi Arabia Faces a Test of Strategy

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Refining Saudi Arabia’s Oil Strategy

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Saudi Price Cut Upends Oil Market

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Energy Quakes as OPEC Stands Pat

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OPEC’s Weapon of Mass Inaction

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Free Fall in Oil Price Underscores Shift Away From OPEC

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Saudi price strategy in 2015 and U.S. shale oil drillers

01/10/2015

Grouped Articles

Saudi Arabia’s Cure for Shale Could Entail Shock Therapy

Wall Street Journal 01/10/2015

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Back to the Future? Oil Replays 1980s Bust

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New King in Saudi Arabia Unlikely to Alter Oil Policy

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Oil-Drop Pain Spreads to Saudi Arabia’s Energy Behemoth

Wall Street Journal 02/20/2015

Shale-Oil Producers Ready to Raise Output

Wall Street Journal 05/14/2015


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