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IMF warning for corporate debt in emerging markets increasing from $4 trillion in 2004 to $18 trillion in 2014

09/29/2015

The IMF singles out China and Turkey for large increases in corporate debt since 2007. Concentrated holdings by American mutual funds of emerging market debt securities is seen by the IMF in 2015 as creating potential systemic instability.

Grouped Articles

I.M.F. Cautions on Concentrated Positions in U.S. Mutual Funds

New York Times 09/29/2015

Emerging-Market Debt: How Big a Threat Is It?

Wall Street Journal 02/16/2016

Simple facts about China in 2015

09/23/2015

China's per person GNP is about one fourth the U.S. on a purchasing parity basis which covers the cheaper price of goods and services in developing countries. But this does not reflect the wealth distribution which is highly skewed geographically to regions on the coast and around cities such as Beijing and Shanghai, and in the population with wealth concentrated with the people in the top 20% of the population. As a result most people in China make only a small fraction of what Americans make. Wealth and incomes are also skewed in the U.S. since 2000 but not as much as in China. This is why China as a whole may not have arrived at middle income status. The other characteristics of China are the huge focus on infrastructure building through state run companies and banks, use of a large portion of the world's commodity resources, which is now winding down as China shifts to a more consumer driven economy. The boom years of growth are now behind China, and China faces further hurdles to growth in the next decade with the deb to GDP ratio estimated at about 270%. The Communist Party of China sees itself as the only way for China to continue the path to modernization and growth.

Grouped Articles

7 simple questions and answers to understand China and the U.S. - The Washington Post

Washington Post 09/23/2015

VW CEO Martin Winterkorn and the emissions testing investigation by the EPA in 2015-2016

09/22/2015

By 2007 Winterkorn was head of research and development at VW. He is known to be meticulous about the cars VW shipped, subjecting them to rigorous inspection. The software placed in VW vehicles that reduces the emissions for testing even as the vehicles continue to release much higher level of pollutants into the air, was installed between 2009 and 2015, according to the reports.

Grouped Articles

Volkswagen’s CEO survived a corporate coup. Can he survive an emissions scandal? - The Washington Post

Washington Post 09/22/2015

Volkswagen Scandal Pressures CEO

Wall Street Journal 09/23/2015

Volkswagen Says 11 Million Cars Worldwide Are Affected in Diesel Deception

New York Times 09/22/2015

Volkswagen’s Chief in the Vortex of the Storm

New York Times 09/22/2015

Volkswagen CEO Resigns as Car Maker Races to Stem Emissions Scandal

Wall Street Journal 09/24/2015

Volkswagen C.E.O. Martin Winterkorn Resigns Amid Emissions Scandal

New York Times 09/23/2015

The story of how the migrants at Budapest's Keleti station spontaneously started the march to the Austrian border September 1-4, 2015

09/11/2015

WSJ's reporters Thomas, Bradley and Geiger tell this exceptional story of a change posted on the internet site of Germany's agency tackling asylum applications that it was no longer enforcing Dublin protocols (requiring applications to be handled at the country of first entry), and how it emboldened refugees at Keleti station Budapest to begin a march of thousands on highways to the Austrian border. The events of these days in early September 2015 led to German chancellor Merkel's later statements about the "fundamental right to asylum for the politically persecuted knowing no upper limit." It had not started that way, events and the courage of the refugees led to Germany responding in a way that could not have been imagined with "Wilkommen refugees" signs at entry points.

Grouped Articles

Obscure German Tweet Helped Spur Migrant March From Hungary

Wall Street Journal 09/11/2015

Austria Takes Role of Distribution Center for Germany-Bound Migrants

New York Times 09/21/2015

Angela Merkel Is Motivated By Decency, Not Politics

Wall Street Journal 12/21/2015

Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann Quits as Migrant Crisis Roils European Politics

Wall Street Journal 05/13/2016

Merkel Accepts Responsibility for Party’s Losses in Berlin Election

The New York Times 09/19/2016

The Night Germany Lost Control | ZEIT ONLINE

ZEIT ONLINE 08/30/2016

Brazil's repeated boom-bust cycles since 1973, and lost decades

08/28/2015

Brazil, Russia, Australia, Canada, are caught up in the commodities bust with dependence on commodities exports. Brazil faces a lost decade because in adddition to the sharp drop in commodities prices, it also has to tackle large debt and capital outflows, a credit card binge of households cutting into consumer spending, and problems with manufacturing from the period of overvalued currency. A serious long term problem as bottlenecks to growth come from a weak educational system and infrastructure that were not tackled in the boom years. The social safety net and the currency are supported by the foreign currency reserves fund of $397 billion, a lesson learned from the 1997 financial crisis.

Grouped Articles

How Brazil’s China-Driven Commodities Boom Went Bust

Wall Street Journal 08/28/2015

Gloom on Brazil Finances Deepens

Wall Street Journal 12/17/2015

Australia Finds Something Else to Export to China

Wall Street Journal 03/03/2016

Dilma Rousseff’s Former Supporters in Brazil Express Disillusionment

New York Times 04/16/2016

Fight to Impeach Brazil’s Leader Tears at Fabric of Daily Life

New York Times 04/15/2016

Globalization: Capitalism Should Be Nicer | ZEIT ONLINE

ZEIT ONLINE 07/29/2016

Kenneth Rogoff on the financial crisis in China with debt exceeding 270% of GDP, shadow banking, real estate bubble and unsustainable local government finances

08/24/2015

Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard, is an expert on financial and debt crises, with the most extensive quantitative study of debt crises of 66 countries with Carmen Reinhart. The research is published in the book, "This Time Is Different." He discusses the debt crisis in China with the NYT's Andrew Ross Sorkin, saying China is not immune to the problems from an alarming buildup of debt. He says the reason China was seen as impervious to debt problems is because of the high savings rate of 30%, the millions of migrants moving to cities for manufacturing work, and government control of markets. Actually he sees China as a really good example of "This Time Is Different," the notion that somehow it can't happen here. The result is along delay before an event and the sudden speed of the implosion once it hits. The effects Rogoff sees are the risks to commodity producing countries such as Russia, Brazil, and other countries dependent on exports. He says China's large foreign exchange reserves offers a way for it to manage the debt crisis.

Grouped Articles

A Warning on China Seems Prescient

New York Times 08/24/2015

China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog warns

The Telegraph 09/19/2016

Will Trump herald a US economic boom?

The Guardian 12/07/2016

China’s Economy Grows 6.9%, but Warning Signs Persist

The New York Times 04/17/2017

Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989

WSJ 05/24/2017

In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust

WSJ 05/24/2017

Gender imbalance in India, China and Russia- proportion of men and women in the population

08/19/2015

The number of men in the population for every 100 women is about 107 in China and India. In Russia the figure is close to 90.

Grouped Articles

See where women outnumber men around the world (and why) - The Washington Post

Washington Post 08/19/2015

Asia Struggles for a Solution to Its ‘Missing Women’ Problem

Wall Street Journal 11/27/2015

The NYT's survey of opinion in 2015 on the decision to drop the atomic bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki

08/05/2015

The survey has a range of opinions and there is no consensus on whether the bomb should or should not have been dropped. U.S. and Japanese casualties estimated as high as 400,000 for an all out invasion of Japan was one reason given when Harry Truman made the decision to drop the bomb on Japan.

Grouped Articles

On 70th Anniversary of Nagasaki Bombing, Atomic Debate Yields Little Consensus

New York Times 08/08/2015

Remembering Hiroshima, and How It Changed the World

New York Times 08/07/2015

At Hiroshima’s 70th Anniversary, Japan Again Mourns Dawn of Atomic Age

New York Times 08/06/2015

Hiroshima Atomic Bomb Survivors Pass Their Stories to a New Generation

New York Times 08/05/2015

World Must Prevent the Future Use of Nuclear Weapons

Wall Street Journal 08/15/2015

Obama to Be First Sitting President to Visit Hiroshima

New York Times 05/10/2016


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