World News Insights
1-3 Minute Gist
Search, personalize, or simply browse. Follow the world around you from gist and context to insights.
Who we are | Our Credo | Ways of using Lyrarc | FAQ | Send Feedback | First Letter From the Editor
Sign up. It's free and easy to use
Create an account
to personalize your feed of articles and topics.
All Topics Article
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
China's future and the experience of Japan and Mexico
05/29/2010
China devotes 3% of GDP to education compared to 5% in developed countries. The underinvestment in education and human capital can lead to stagnation in per capita incomes. This happened in Mexico. The inability to deal with bad loans in the banking system can lead to slowing economic growth. This happened in Japan. The bulldozing of schools of migrant workers reflects a failure to address balanced growth and a breakdown in assigning the right priorities.
Grouped Articles
Mexico and China look to trade away old rivalry - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/18/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
New York Times 07/14/2013
Unrest May Signal New Phase in China Economy
New York Times 05/29/2010
Moody's "red flags" for companies in China
07/12/2011
Grouped Articles
Moody's Raises Some 'Red Flags' in China
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2011
In China, Ups and Downs of Profits
Wall Street Journal 07/31/2012
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
Build transfer transactions accounting for 40% of the 67% growth in China's local government debt for 2010-2013
05/19/2014
The rapid growth of build transfer transactions which are not properly regulated and now account for 16% of local government debt from 10% in 2010. The conncection between local government debt, shadow banking and housing construction in China.
Grouped Articles
China's Debt Risks Come to Fore in Housing Project
Wall Street Journal 05/19/2014
Chinese debt: The great hole of China
Economist 10/17/2014
China’s Shadow-Banking Boom Is Over
Wall Street Journal 12/24/2014
Debt That Once Boosted Its Cities Now Burdens China
Wall Street Journal 01/28/2015
Economist 07/04/2015
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China's debt situation in 2014 with total debt to GDP of 250%, and the risks to the economy
10/17/2014
Grouped Articles
Chinese debt: The great hole of China
Economist 10/17/2014
The End of China’s Economic Miracle?
Wall Street Journal 11/24/2014
China Lowers Growth Target to About 7%
Wall Street Journal 03/05/2015
China’s Stock-Market Boom Won’t Erase Bad Debts
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2015
China’s Economy Not Immune to Market Sickness
Wall Street Journal 06/30/2015
Devaluation Hints at China’s Rising Distress Over Economy
New York Times 08/12/2015
Fitch Ratings analyst Charlene Chu's analysis of China's shadow banking and unreported private debt
08/01/2010
CHina's private debt is over twice China's GDP according to Fitch Ratings analyst Charlene Chu
Grouped Articles
Charlene Chu Is the 'Rock Star' of Chinese Debt Analysis
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
China's Credit Levels Echo U.S. Crisis
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2013
Heard on the Street: Shadow Boxing With Risk at Chinese Banks
Wall Street Journal 09/22/2013
China Think Tank Offers Reform Wish List
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2013
Chinaâs Real Estate Boom and Conflicting Policy
New York Times 08/01/2010
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
China's Debt crisis
07/29/2010
The debt of local governments estimated at between 27% of GDP by Dragonomics and the China's National Audit Office, to a much larger 42% by Prof. Shih of Northwestern University.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Charlene Chu Is the 'Rock Star' of Chinese Debt Analysis
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
Warnings from the IMF and the Bank for International Settlements in 2016 as China's debt to GDP ratio exceeds 255%
09/21/2016
Grouped Articles
China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog warns
The Telegraph 09/19/2016
China’s Banks Are Hiding More Than $2 Trillion in Loans
WSJ 12/07/2016
China’s Economy Grows 6.9%, but Warning Signs Persist
The New York Times 04/17/2017
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
Loose monetary policy in China in 2010-2011
03/07/2009
Difficulties of making a soft landing after the huge lending boom in China in 2009-2010 continues into 2011. Inflation and other risks from this lending continue. The burden of large local government debt in China and non-performing loans in the banking system. China's local government debt is estimated to be between 27% of GDP to 42% of GDP. Because of the opaqueness of the financial system the exact amount is not clear and estimates vary.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Moody's downgrade of China's credit rating in May 2019 as debt to GDP remains over 250%
05/24/2017
Grouped Articles
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
China’s Downgrade: It’s Not Just About the Government
WSJ 05/24/2017
China, debt, credit ratings and borrowing costs
01/06/2014
Grouped Articles
China Five-Year Government-Bond Yield Hits 16-Year High
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2014
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
China's local government debt restructuring in 2015-2016
05/20/2015
Grouped Articles
China’s Jiangsu Sells First Provincial Bonds Under New Program
Wall Street Journal 05/20/2015
China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog warns
The Telegraph 09/19/2016
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
Kenneth Rogoff on the financial crisis in China with debt exceeding 270% of GDP, shadow banking, real estate bubble and unsustainable local government finances
08/24/2015
Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard, is an expert on financial and debt crises, with the most extensive quantitative study of debt crises of 66 countries with Carmen Reinhart. The research is published in the book, "This Time Is Different." He discusses the debt crisis in China with the NYT's Andrew Ross Sorkin, saying China is not immune to the problems from an alarming buildup of debt. He says the reason China was seen as impervious to debt problems is because of the high savings rate of 30%, the millions of migrants moving to cities for manufacturing work, and government control of markets. Actually he sees China as a really good example of "This Time Is Different," the notion that somehow it can't happen here. The result is along delay before an event and the sudden speed of the implosion once it hits. The effects Rogoff sees are the risks to commodity producing countries such as Russia, Brazil, and other countries dependent on exports. He says China's large foreign exchange reserves offers a way for it to manage the debt crisis.
Grouped Articles
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog warns
The Telegraph 09/19/2016
Will Trump herald a US economic boom?
The Guardian 12/07/2016
China’s Economy Grows 6.9%, but Warning Signs Persist
The New York Times 04/17/2017
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
China's local government debt poses a risk for the economy
06/17/2010
China's local government debt is estimated to be in the range of 27% to 42% of GDP. Loans by banks to local government financing vehicles face high risk of default.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
China's Credit Levels Echo U.S. Crisis
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2013
China Think Tank Offers Reform Wish List
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2013
China's big problem in 2015- 8000 local government financing vehicles running up debt even when about half of borrowing goes to rollover old loans
01/28/2015
As the debt is run up it takes more units of borrowing to create one unit of investment. Over 4 units of borrowing in 2015 compared to less than 2 units of borowing before 2007, is what it now takes to create one unit of investment, according to JP Morgan. Where this adds to the glut in building or if its just a pet project or dream of city mayors the productivity of the investment is much lower, with additional risks in borrowing. And the collateral to support it of land sales is now increasingly unreliable with developers making cuts as property markets are slowing. The central government fearing slowing growth is pushing problems down the road, say experts. The IMF estimates that local government debt will reach 56% of GDP by 2019. The danger is that this will depress China's growth to below 5-6% in coming years witht a lot of the new borrowing simply going to rollover old loans, a situation Japan faced in the 1990's when the expression zombie loans was coined. This has implications for major manufacturing exporters Germany, Japan, the U.S., and for commodity exporters Australia, Canada, Brazil, S. Africa, Chile, which may look to India, Indonesia and other developing countries for exports.
Grouped Articles
Debt That Once Boosted Its Cities Now Burdens China
Wall Street Journal 01/28/2015
China’s First-Quarter Growth Slowest in Six Years at 7%
Wall Street Journal 04/15/2015
A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China facing full-blown banking crisis, world's top financial watchdog warns
The Telegraph 09/19/2016
China’s Economy Grows 6.9%, but Warning Signs Persist
The New York Times 04/17/2017
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
China's credit ratings downgrade for rising debt in 2017 and the echoes of Japan in the 1980's
05/25/2017
Linked Articles
Moody’s Cuts Its China Rating for the First Time Since 1989
WSJ 05/24/2017
In Downgraded China, Echoes of Japan’s Boom and Bust
WSJ 05/24/2017
We took a different way to help millions around the world build educated informed mindsets that affects and shapes their lives. For a future that is open, global and digital, with everyone having access to high quality information. We believe in the renewal of America, renewal of Europe, the renewal of India, the rest of Asia, Latin America and Africa. The renewal of our supply chains, health, education, infrastructure, as we rebuild our countries after the pandemic. Literacy and knowledge we believe cannot thrive and grow in a world of web bots, web crawlers, or AI. This requires human curiosity, human learning, and human imagination. We take as inspiration the saying- “One has to be free, and as broad as sky. One has to have a mind that is crystal clear, only then can truth shine in it.” Every contribution whether big or small is precious- in this crisis and ahead.
Support Lyrarc from as small as $1
Terms and Conditions | Copyright Policy | Privacy Policy | Contact Us