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Overheard: Ruble in the Rubble

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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By May 2015 the Russsian ruble had recovered to 50 to the dollar from the low of 80 to the dollar in 2014. In August 2015 the ruble declined to 70 to the dollar as oil prices dropped below $40 per barrel. GDP growth showed a decline of 4.6% for the economy in the 2nd quarter of 2015. The ruble has lost close to 50% of its value in 2015 compared to the prior year.

Russian ruble volatility in Dec 2014 and Jan. 2015

12/16/2014

Capital controls are ruled out as this could lead to more capital flight. Russian central bank reduces intervention to preserve foreign currency reserves.

Grouped Articles

Ruble Strengthens After Central Bank Acts

Wall Street Journal 12/18/2014

Russia Introduces Measures to Calm Economic Jitters

New York Times 12/17/2014

Ruble Crisis Is Testing Russia's Resources

New York Times 12/17/2014

Putin’s Bubble Bursts

New York Times 12/18/2014

As Ruble Falters, Russia Forces Exporters to Reduce Foreign Currency

New York Times 12/23/2014

As the Ruble Swoons, Russians Desperately Shop

New York Times 12/16/2014

Russia's effort to prevent the ruble from collapsing in December 2014

12/15/2014

Russia raises interest rates by 6.5% to 17% on December 15, 2014, as the price of Brent crude drops below $60. Emerging markets see money outflows in anticipation of the the U.S. Federal Reserve raising rates in 2015, adding to pressure on the ruble. Western sanctions imposed after Russian intervention in Ukraine has reduced access to financial markets for Russian businesses that borrowed in U.S. dollars and have large payments due in 2015. The large increase in interest rates pushes Russia into a recession in 2015.

Grouped Articles

Russia Moves to Help Lift Sinking Ruble

Wall Street Journal 12/16/2014

Oil Prices Plunge With Brent Crude Below $60

Wall Street Journal 12/16/2014

Ruble Strengthens After Central Bank Acts

Wall Street Journal 12/18/2014

Russia Introduces Measures to Calm Economic Jitters

New York Times 12/17/2014

Putin’s Bubble Bursts

New York Times 12/18/2014

Interest Rate Raised to 17% in Russia

New York Times 12/15/2014

The pressure on the Russian ruble in 2014-2015

10/10/2014

Weak economic conditions, capital outflows and demand from the corporate sector to repay debt, add to the pressures on the ruble in 2014.

Grouped Articles

Russian Companies Clamor for Dollars to Repay Debt

Wall Street Journal 10/10/2014

Russian Ruble Fall to Fresh Lows

Wall Street Journal 10/10/2014

Inflation-Racked Russia Considering Price Controls

Wall Street Journal 10/10/2014

Ruble Slide Worries Wealthy Russians

Wall Street Journal 10/11/2014

Global Oil Glut Sends Prices Plunging

Wall Street Journal 10/15/2014

The Run on the Ruble

Wall Street Journal 11/03/2014

The Bank of Russia and the decision to float the ruble in Nov. 2014

11/19/2014

With Russia's dollar currency reserves dropping to $421 billion, less than enough to cover 6 months of imports, the Bank of Russia had no option but to let the ruble float freely, say experts. The ruble was at 46 to the dollar by mid-Nov. 2014. Experts say it would have to fall to 50 to the dollar to risk financial stability.

Grouped Articles

Bank of Russia Chief Defends Ruble Float

Wall Street Journal 11/19/2014

Oil Slide Deepens, Ruble Crumbles

Wall Street Journal 12/01/2014

The Ruble of Discontent

Wall Street Journal 12/02/2014

Ruble Strengthens After Central Bank Acts

Wall Street Journal 12/18/2014

Ruble’s Fall Tests Governor of Russia’s Central Bank

New York Times 02/09/2015

Changing Course, Russia Will Sell Rubles Instead of Buying

New York Times 05/14/2015

Elvira Nabiullina, head of Russia's central bank, and efforts to use the decline in the ruble to reduce Russia's overdependence on imports

03/12/2013

Nabiullina is one of the liberal economists who see the period following the devaluation of the ruble in 1998 as generating higher economic growth because it lowered the cost for industry and agriculture. She sees the crisis as a way to get Russians to use less imports and promote import substitution for a healthier economy.

Grouped Articles

Putin Pledges Stimulus for Russian Economy

Wall Street Journal 06/21/2013

Russia Is Facing Stagflation, Central Banker Says

Wall Street Journal 01/17/2014

Russia Says It Has Weathered the Worst of the Economic Storm

Wall Street Journal 04/03/2014

Ruble’s Fall Tests Governor of Russia’s Central Bank

New York Times 02/09/2015

Russia, Brazil Mistakes Show How Inflation Can Still Arise

Wall Street Journal 05/03/2015

Changing Course, Russia Will Sell Rubles Instead of Buying

New York Times 05/14/2015

Russia's GDP growth 2015-2016

08/25/2015

Grouped Articles

Overheard: Ruble in the Rubble

Wall Street Journal 08/25/2015

Putin’s self-destructing economy - The Washington Post

Washington Post 01/18/2016

Severstal and the Russian steel industry- surging profits and growth with the decline in the ruble 2014-2015

06/16/2015

The steel industry and the chemicals industry are bright spots in the Russian economy, helping Russia weather the economc downturn in 2014-2015. Costs denominated in rubles have fallen much further, increasing profits and helping Severstal expand.

Grouped Articles

Upsides for Steel Industry in a Russian Downturn, Despite Sanctions

New York Times 06/16/2015

Overheard: Ruble in the Rubble

Wall Street Journal 08/25/2015

Russia and Turkey Show Oil Prices Aren’t Everything

Wall Street Journal 01/25/2016

U.S. Sanctions Give Russian Economy an Unintended Boost

WSJ 10/16/2018

Winners and losers in emerging markets in 2015 with lower oil prices- Turkey and India are winners, China a beneficiary, Russia, Venezuela and Brazil are losers

01/18/2015

The economic prospects of emerging market countries have changed significantly since 2013. In Turkey political problems and a high current account deficit led to a slump in the lira and high interest rate policies by early 2014. In India the Congress party government let the economy drift in 2013 with no action taken. The newly elected Modi adminstration in 2014 and now lower oil prices are giving a major boost to economic growth in India. China with huge oil imports is also a beneficiary as it tackles problems from the boom years and growth slows to below 7%.

Grouped Articles

Turkey’s economy: Saved by the well

Economist 01/18/2015

Monetary policy in India: The cycle turns

Economist 01/18/2015

Oil Prices Slump as Inventories Rise Near 80-Year Highs

Wall Street Journal 02/05/2015

India Growth Rate Set to Rival China

Wall Street Journal 02/10/2015

Turkish Officials Seen Stoking Crisis as Lira Hits Record Low

Wall Street Journal 03/05/2015

A Windfall for China as Commodity Prices Plunge

Wall Street Journal 03/16/2015


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