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Fed Ties Rates to Joblessness
Keywords:
U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Bernanke, says the Fed will keep interest rates low till unemployment reaches 6.5%, as long as inflation remains at about 2%. If unemployment reaches 6.5%, and this is because more people are dropping out of the labor market, he will take this into account. If unemployment stays high the Fed indicated in its statement that it would tolerate a higher inflation of 2.5%, as long as the longer term outlook was for inflation to be at 2%. Bernanke said this doesn't mean monetary policy is on autopilot, because the Fed will watch conditions carefully and will leave room for flexibility- keeping an eye out for new asset bubbles that could develop, and monitoring labor market conditions and inflationary pressures and inflation expectations. If inflation falls well below 2%, or unemployment rate falls mainly because of people dropping out of the labor market, the Fed may continue to keep interest rates low. This policy was announced as U.S. fiscal cliff deficit negotiations continued in Dec. 2012 with one scenario being considered by both political parties being going over the Jan. 1 deadline before coming to an agreement. Bernanke pointed to this, saying "this is a major risk factor right now." The Fed's activist policy in economic policy has given financial markets and business a measure of stability not provided by government and Congress. Fed policy is to buy $40 billion of mortgage securities, and $45 billion of long term Treasury securities for each month in 2013. It will fund the purchases by adding reserves to the banking system, which is to say that it will print money to buy more bonds. This is a major decision by the Fed in that the Fed has shied away from unemployment targets in the past. Bernanke described this action as a new"automatic stabilizer" in the U.S. financial system- if unemployment rises investors know this pushes the Fed's interest rate increases further down the road and would drive interest rates down, if unemployment drops sooner than expected, investors anticipating Fed's rate increases would drive long term interest rates up, to keep stable growth.
U.S. Federal Reserve's 6.5% unemployment target with 2% inflation announced by Bernanke in Dec. 2012
01/27/2009
The U.S. Fed's chairman Bernanke says the Fed will keep rates low till unemployment reaches 6.5% citing "the tremendous waste in human potential" of high unemplyment rates. As long as inflation remains subdued at 2% the Fed will continue its current policy of low rates. In 2013 the Fed will continue bond buying at the rate of $85 billion a month. If unemployment drops to 6.5%, but this is because more people are dropping out of the labor market the Fed will take this into account, says Bernanke. The Fed will also keep an eye out for asset bubbles in the economy.
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Fed chairman Bernanke and New York Fed president Geithner ignore warnings in 2006 about the housing bubble
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Shares Rise on Wall Street and in Europe
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Central bank governors Ben Bernanke, Mario Draghi, Stanley Fischer, Mervyn King and the MIT Economics Department
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The serious problem of the large number of long term unemployed persons in the U.S., very different from under any previous recession.
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More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
Wall Street Journal 04/05/2014
Hiring Rises, but Number of Jobless Stays High
New York Times 04/04/2014
The performance of socially conscious economies of Europe and the U.S. economy compared.
01/11/2010
Why Europe compares favorably with the US economy in areas like unemployment when looking at the 24-54 working age group, technology adoption, economic growth when you factor out population growth in the USA, and with higher taxes offset by social benefits for large segments of society.
Grouped Articles
New York Times 04/13/2013
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
Growth isn’t enough to help the middle class - The Washington Post
Washington Post 02/14/2013
New York Times 01/11/2010
New York Times 02/09/2010
Comparative Advantage and American Jobs
Wall Street Journal 01/26/2011
Unemployment in the U.S. for 4th quarter 2012
12/07/2012
Grouped Articles
Unemployment rate drops to 7.7% as economy shrugs off Hurricane Sandy - The Washington Post
Washington Post 12/07/2012
Wall Street Journal 12/08/2012
The Case of the Missing Workers
Wall Street Journal 12/07/2012
Wall Street Journal 12/13/2012
Wall Street Journal 01/05/2013
Hiring Spreads, but Only 14 Cities Top Prerecession Level
Wall Street Journal 03/31/2013
The impact of unemployment in the U.S. on middle aged people- 2011-2013
04/13/2009
Grouped Articles
Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
Longer Unemployment for Those 45 and Older
New York Times 04/13/2009
For Middle-Aged Job Seekers, a Long Road Back
Wall Street Journal 06/23/2012
Mortimer Zuckerman: Those Jobless Numbers Are Even Worse Than They Look
Wall Street Journal 09/07/2012
Wall Street Journal 12/13/2012
Chicago Fed president Evan's "7-3 plan" and U.S. Fed chairman Bernanke's announcement to keep interest rates low till unemployment reaches 6.5%
12/13/2012
Linked Articles
A Fed Bank President's Idea Comes to Life
Wall Street Journal 12/13/2012
Wall Street Journal 12/13/2012
U.S. Fed chairman Bernanke's activist interest rate policies to tackle high unemployment and central bankers from MIT
12/12/2012
A pragmatic activist focus in economic thinking shaped at the MIT economics department in Cambridge, Masachusetts. The ECB's Mario Draghi, Bank of England's Mervyn King, and Bernanke shaped their thinking at MIT. Draghi and Bernanke had the same PhD. advisor- Stanley Fischer. Factors calling for a pragmatic approach include the lack of political agreement on th deficit, the housing and foreclosure crisis effects, higher inequality and unemployment effects on the middle class, the effects of the globalized economy on working class manufacturing jobs, people dropping out of the labor foce, and lower inflation, which called for a larger focus on unemployment. Bernanke emphasized the "enormous waste in human potential and productive resources of the economy" throughout 2009-2012. Draghi emphasized the abnormal nature of excessive borrowing interest rates for Italy and Spain during the ECB's bond buying efforts in 2011-2012. Both efforts had a stabilizing effect on the economies of the U.S. and Europe during a period of political discord about future policy.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/13/2012
MIT Forged Activist Views of Central Bank Role and Cinched Central Bankers' Ties
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2012
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