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Fed Darkens Its Outlook but Plans No Changes
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Liquidity Trap in Japan and the U.S.
03/17/2008
With the demand curve for money horizontal further increases in the money supply do little to lower interest rates, or as in the current situation where the interest rates in the US are virtually at zero so that further increases in the money supply do little to stimulate the economy. As unemployment is growing and the financial sector weak, Bernanke and the Fed see other ways in which quantitative easing helps a recovery. Here Chritopher Woods compares today's situation in America to that of postbubble Japan. He says America is already in a liquidity trap. And the regulatory forbearance to cleanup the banking mess is similiar to that in postbubble Japan when it took the government years to get up the will and strength to straighten out the mess including breaking up the banks that are too big to fail.
Grouped Articles
Is the U.S. Economy Turning Japanese?
Wall Street Journal 10/27/2009
Economist 10/15/2009
Economist 12/30/2009
Fed’s Bullard Raises Policy Concerns
Wall Street Journal 07/29/2010
Opinions Are Split on Fed Policy Move
Wall Street Journal 11/01/2010
Ben S. Bernanke - What the Fed did and why: supporting the recovery and sustaining price stability
Washington Post 11/04/2010
Raghuram Rajan on the risks to the U.S. economy and society before the 2008 financial crisis
01/02/2009
Is Bernanke making the same mistake made by Greenspan by keeping interest rates too low for too long. Would a stronger safety net in the US ease pressures on the US Federal Reserve to do excessive monetary easing and instead allow the Fed to let a more natural rise in employment take place? He isn't ideological and joins John Taylor, George W Bush's economic advisor, and Allan Meltzer of Carnegie-Mellon, in questioning Bernanke's excessive monetary easing. In 2005, Rajan was prescient in questioning the Greenspan Fed's policies and the risks from excessive leveraging in the financial system at the Jackson Hole conference.
Grouped Articles
Mr. Rajan Was Unpopular (But Prescient) at Greenspan Party
Wall Street Journal 01/02/2009
Interest Rates: The Zero Percent Solution
BusinessWeek 08/25/2010
BusinessWeek 11/04/2010
The Case Against the Bernanke-Obama Financial Rescue
New York Times 05/16/2014
Charting the Economic Fault Lines
BusinessWeek 02/10/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/05/2011
U.S. Fed chairman Bernanke at Jackson Hole and his news conference and Q&A- 2011
04/27/2011
The Fed reaches out to get its views out to the American public by having regular press conferences. Negotiations for consensus and communication with markets under Fed chairman Bernanke.
Grouped Articles
Yellen's Challenge: Corralling Fed's Many Voices
Wall Street Journal 11/12/2013
Wall Street Journal 04/27/2011
The Chairman Makes History, but Little News
Wall Street Journal 04/28/2011
Wall Street Journal 04/28/2011
Be Careful Wishing for the Fedâs End
New York Times 04/30/2011
Why a Fed Rate Hike May Be Delayed
BusinessWeek 04/28/2011
The U.S. stock markets in 2010-2015 and the greater influence of macroeconomic forces.
09/24/2010
Declining influence of company earnings and the stock picking art, as stocks move in lockstep with each other, and the macroeconomic forces surrounding the US economy.
Grouped Articles
Active Fund Managers Who Earn Their Keep - Barrons.com
Unknown 04/12/2013
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Stockmarkets: Don’t worry, be happy
Economist 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/18/2013
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2013
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2014
Why high unemployment in the U.S. is expected for 2010-2014
06/06/2009
Structural problems like a mismatch of skills between maufacturing and construction sectors worst hit since 2008 and growing sectors like healthcare is one problem. Geographic factors and difficulty selling homes in states like Michigan is another. The tighter credit from a return of banking sector losses from bad home equity loans that is expected in late 2010 will keep the recovery from taking hold keeping unemployment high. The economic uncertainty following repeated budget battles between political parties also affects business investment.
Grouped Articles
90 Million Americans Not Working
Wall Street Journal 10/23/2013
Hiring Slowdown Blurs Growth View
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
Confronting Old Problem May Require a New Deal
New York Times 01/28/2014
More Men in Prime Working Ages Don't Have Jobs
Wall Street Journal 02/06/2014
New York Times 04/05/2012
Hiring Is Strong and Jobless Rate Declines to 6.1%
New York Times 07/03/2014
Lawrence Lindsey on how Bernanke's Fed has boxed itself in with no choice but to keep interest rates low and no clear exit strategy
01/04/2010
Economist Lindsey says Fed chairman Bernanke has to keep interest rates low for the U.S. government to be able to cope with the increase in borrowing costs that normal interest rates would bring. The normalized interest rate - the rate at which the U.S. government was able to borrow for the last three decades- is about 5.7%. At that rate the U.S. government would add $800 billion to borrowing costs for 2021, says Lindsey. The U.S. now borrows at about 2.5%
Grouped Articles
Once Again, the Fed Shies Away From the Exit Door
Wall Street Journal 07/11/2013
Wanted: A Boring Leader for the Fed
New York Times 08/20/2013
Reflections by America’s Buddha of Banking
New York Times 01/16/2014
Wall Street Journal 06/15/2011
Fed Darkens Its Outlook but Plans No Changes
Wall Street Journal 06/23/2011
The Deficit Is Worse Than We Think
Wall Street Journal 06/28/2011
U.S. Fed chairman Bernanke's and Fed governor's assessment of the economy in 2011-2012
01/04/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/07/2011
Fed Darkens Its Outlook but Plans No Changes
Wall Street Journal 06/23/2011
The Federal Reserve's Toolbox is Emptying
Wall Street Journal 07/13/2011
Bernanke to Markets: Stay Tuned
Wall Street Journal 08/26/2011
Key Passages From Bernanke’s Jackson Hole Remarks
Wall Street Journal 08/26/2011
Wall Street Journal 09/28/2011
Growing Risks for the U.S. Economy in 2010-2012.
01/04/2010
Risks of another hit from losses on home equity loans to bank balance sheets in latter part of 2010. The situation with local and state governments in the USA cutting back significantly. The situation in Europe and an overheating Chinese economy.
Grouped Articles
The Home-Equity Hurt Ahead for Banks
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Beware a Bernanke-Fueled Market Bubble
BusinessWeek 05/13/2010
Don't Rule Out a Double Dip Recession
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
BusinessWeek 06/03/2010
Wall Street Journal 06/12/2010
U.S. economy- 2011-2013
02/03/2011
The U.S. economy upswing after quantitiative easing (QE II) steps taken by the Federal Reserve.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/28/2013
Uncertainty Is the Enemy of Recovery
Wall Street Journal 04/28/2013
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2013
In Surprise, Fed Decides to Maintain Pace of Stimulus
New York Times 09/18/2013
That 2014 Growth Breakout? Not Looking Likely
Wall Street Journal 03/02/2014
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