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Europe Seeks a Spain Strategy

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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A plan being put together in eurozone financial circles is for Spain to request aid and the European Stability Mechanism fund to provide far less than 100 billion euros approved for aid to Spain. With the request Spain would agree to conditions set by the EU, ECB and the IMF for improving competitiveness, reducing rigidity in labor markets, and controlling spending by regions in Spain. This would lead to the ECB taking action to buy Spanish bonds and lower borrowing costs.

Rescue of Spain's banks with a $125 billion committment from the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF)

02/25/2010

EU finance ministers persuaded Spain to borrow from the EFSF and place the money in a special fund intended to recapitalize its banks. The IMF will provide some oversight over the banks but no conditions or oversight will be imposed on Spain only on its banking system as a compromise. Problems in the banking system arise from a housing bubble in Spain and failing cajas savings banks. Spain has already committed to adhering to fiscal deficit targets on a longer term basis with the EU. This makes it a rescue of the banks more than a bailout of the kind deisgned for Greece, Ireland and Portugal.

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Consulting firms estimated 62 billion euros will be needed to recapitalize Spain's banks. This is similiar to figures of Fitch Ratings and the IMF. The consulting firms of Oliver Wyman and Roland Berger used informaton provided by the Bank of Spain and did not look directly into the books of individual banks because of time constraints. The Spanish government is doing a separate detailed audit using audit firms which will examine the books of the 14 largest banks and report by the end of July. Disagreement between Mr. Alumnia, Spain's representative at the EC and the Spanish government about whether some banks should be closed.

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Spain is a highly decentralized country with the central government in Madrid able to exercize little control on spending by the regions. The eurozone crisis and the higher than expected 8% deficit in Spain for 2011 is changing attitudes in the regions and in Madrid. The clause inserted in the constitution in 2011 with Germany's insistence for a balanced budget gives Madrid power to restrain spending. An agreement was reached with regional governments including Catalonia for new legislation on spending controls. Valencia was downgraded along with Spain in the recent downgrade of Spain's credit rating.

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The consolidation of a number of Spanish savings banks under government direction led to the creation of Bankia, Spain's third largest bank. Efforts to recapitalize these banks which have large accumulated large debt from the real estate boom is part of the Spanish government's effort to tackle the debt crisis facing Spain. Rodrigo Rato, a former finance minister and managing director of the IMF, heads Bankia and the effort to restore confidence in Spain's banking system.

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An account of the key players and the ufolding of critical events in the IPO offering for Bankia, and the unraveling of the bank in the months that followed, as the Spanish regulators and government failed to get a handle on problems and instead put their hope on an improving economy. On May 3, Mario Draghi warned about the problems at Bankia in Barcelona. On May 4, the heads of Spain's largest banks BBVA, Banco Santander and Caixa, told the government it had to takeover Bankia, setting in process the events leading upto the acceptance of $125 billion in EU aid to recapitalize Spain's banking system. Bankia was put together from seven failing cajas savings banks. The problems related to the housing bubble are seen throughout the cajas savings banks.

Grouped Articles

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Spain's Bankia Returns to Profit

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Germany's chancellor Merkel navigates a fine path in Sept. 2012 between Bundesbank opposition to sovereign bonds and ECB president Draghi's efforts to stabilize the euro

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Merkel supports ECB president Draghi's efforts to stabilize the euro in September 2012, but navigates around Bundesbank president Weidmann's opposition to sovereign bond purchases by the ECB by saying that proper eurozone banking supervision arrangements have to be established. Merkel and finance minister Schauble insist that this will require more time beyond the Jan 1, 2013 date in the EU proposal, to be done properly.

Grouped Articles

German Court to Weigh Bond Buying by E.C.B.

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Bonds of Italy, Spain Narrow Gap With U.S., German Yields

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Not Quite Checkmate for the Bundesbank

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The indispensable European

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