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The Financial Sector Keeps Shrinking
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The U.S. financial sector is facing a future in which there will be lower revenues and a smaller number of jobs. A low interest rate environment does not help the banks. According to analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, net revenue for the six largest U.S. banks will decline by 3.7% in the second quarter of 2011. As a result financial stocks in the U.S. have trailed the broader market in the last 9 of 11 months. The ratio of the price of the S&P 500 financials index to the S&P 500 stock index is less than 0.16. The only time it was less than 0.16 in the last two decades is during the January-April 2009 period when banks were facing a major financial crisis. Bank of America's stock was at a two year low on June 6. Tighter regulation, state and federal investigations, and higher capital requirements from the Fed, will affect revenues and jobs.
The U.S. banking and financial sector in 2011-2012
06/08/2011
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Institute of International Finance Survey of Loan Officers from Emerging Market Countries- 2011-2012
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The Institute of International Finance has developed a new survey of senior lending officers of 45 emerging market banks. This survey will be issued quarterly and will show bank lending patterns in emerging market countries of Europe, Asia, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East. A similiar survey is conducted by the central banks in the U.S. and Europe.
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