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China's Growth Risks
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Concern about slowing growth in China with rising inflation. The problem of opaqueness of the financial system and of banks that are both listed companies and run by the government, and how this could accelerate a slowdown at some point with accumulated problems in the financial system. A sense that China's growth model has reached a limit, and whether there will be a soft landing.
China's Boao Forum for economic policy
04/17/2011
Views of experts on China and the global economy at the Boao Forum in China.
Grouped Articles
China Fund Chief Highlights Caution on Global Economy
Wall Street Journal 04/17/2011
China's Wealth-Fund Chief Warns on Global Growth
Wall Street Journal 04/18/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/25/2011
Global crisis calls for G-20 growth pact - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/11/2011
Wall Street Journal 09/26/2011
China Turns Predominantly Urban
Wall Street Journal 01/18/2012
Growing Risks for the Chinese Economy going into 2010-2014
01/14/2010
One is a concern that China may like Japan in the 1980's is getting into a property and asset price bubble after aperiod of rapid industrialization and shifting of rural population to the cities. The risks of an overheating economy were growing with a 22% jump in a broad measure of money supply in March 2010.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
Economist 01/14/2010
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Fear Pervades China's Stocks As Market's Gains Disappear
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2010
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
The views of Derek Scissors and other experts on China's economic prospects after 2010.
01/07/2010
The likelihood that the economy will stall without change. The declining effect of large stimulus and fixed investment in producing growth. The interests of state-owned companies in continuing with the current system.
Grouped Articles
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
New York Times 12/18/2011
China's banks: Great Wall Street
Economist 07/10/2010
Banyan: Afloat on a Chinese tide
Economist 09/02/2010
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
Chinese debt: The great hole of China
Economist 10/17/2014
2010 high Inflation and asset price bubbles in in India and China, and low or no inflation in Europe, Japan and the USA.
01/14/2010
Wide divergence in conditions and the prospects of tightening credit in Asia affecting export prospects of the USA which depends on exports for half the growth generated in 2009 and early 2010 according to Commerce Department figures.
Grouped Articles
Japanese Economic Data Give Abe a Lift
Wall Street Journal 06/10/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
India's Central Banker Lobbies Fed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2013
Staying Away from Indian Bonds
Wall Street Journal 12/18/2013
Corrosive Inflation Eats at Developing World
Wall Street Journal 02/11/2014
Japan and China: Edging closer
Economist 10/06/2014
Reserve ratio policy for China's banks to curb inflation- 2011-2012
05/13/2011
Grouped Articles
Chinese Banks' Divided Capital
Wall Street Journal 10/31/2013
China Lifts Banks' Reserve Ratio
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/25/2011
No Chinese Relief for Global Slowdown
Wall Street Journal 06/08/2011
Inflation Prompts a New Lift of Reserves
Wall Street Journal 06/15/2011
Chinese Banks Raise Cash to Cushion Against Bad Debts
Wall Street Journal 09/28/2011
China's foreign exchange reserves and problems with inflation
05/09/2006
A recent IMF study points out that China's $3 trillion foreign exchange reserves are twice what China needs for traditional purposes such as supporting the economy in a financial crisis. According to China's central bank governor these reserves are making it difficult to control inflation. Experts also say this makes little sense for a developing country with low percapita incomes. Most of this money is invested in U.S. Treasury securities and is not put to productive uses.
Grouped Articles
China’s Economic Problems Unlike Those Elsewhere
New York Times 05/28/2013
China Keeps On Gobbling Up Treasurys
Wall Street Journal 07/16/2013
China Inflation Rises to a 19-Month High
New York Times 06/11/2010
A Top Manager Resigns from Foreign Exchange Agency
New York Times 01/28/2014
Wall Street Journal 08/25/2015
China’s Forex Reserves Fall by Record $93.9 Billion on Yuan Intervention
Wall Street Journal 09/08/2015
The economy of China in 2010-2012
12/30/2009
Hazards and prospects.
Grouped Articles
Three Hurdles for China in the Year of the Tiger
New York Times 12/30/2009
Why the Chinese don’t spend : The New Yorker
New Yorker 01/04/2010
China Dethrones Germany as Top Goods Exporter
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2010
China Aims to Transform a Nation of Savers Into Spenders
Wall Street Journal 01/07/2010
China Sees Growth Engine in a Web of Fast Trains
New York Times 02/13/2010
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
China- inflation, the currency, and economic mismanagement, the situation in 2010-2012
01/07/2010
Efforts to strengthen the currency are being resisted by export interests. Inflation is hurting consumers who are limited to earning 2.75% interest on savings, with the interest rate spread designed to help banks earn their way through bad loans made during the stimulus lending binge. A massive reallocation of resources away from consumers and towards lending to state-owned companies which create overcapacity in industries and engage in real estate speculation. Far from rebalancing the world economy this will affect internal growth in China.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
China Inflation Rises to a 19-Month High
New York Times 06/11/2010
Wall Street Journal 09/04/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
World Bank Deletes Critical Passage on China
Wall Street Journal 07/05/2015
New York Times 01/20/2011
Loose monetary policy in China in 2010-2011
03/07/2009
Difficulties of making a soft landing after the huge lending boom in China in 2009-2010 continues into 2011. Inflation and other risks from this lending continue. The burden of large local government debt in China and non-performing loans in the banking system. China's local government debt is estimated to be between 27% of GDP to 42% of GDP. Because of the opaqueness of the financial system the exact amount is not clear and estimates vary.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Inflation in China 2010-2013
01/19/2008
Rising food and energy prices.
Grouped Articles
China Inflation Rises to a 19-Month High
New York Times 06/11/2010
Wall Street Journal 09/04/2010
China Acts to Slow Rise in Food Prices
New York Times 11/17/2010
Chinaâs Move on Food Prices Seen as Inflation Risk
New York Times 11/17/2010
Beijing Escalates Inflation Battle
Wall Street Journal 11/18/2010
Inflated Risks to Economy in China
Wall Street Journal 11/19/2010
The health of China's economy June 2011- the opaqueness of the financial system and the risk of China not making a soft landing
05/25/2011
Asset price bubbles, loose monetary policy and inflation in China. Slowing growth and risks of a hard landing. The opaqueness of the financial system with the state, banking, industrial and real estate sectors intertwined making it difficult to get a true measure of risks building up.
Linked Articles
The Great Property Bubble of China May Be Popping
Wall Street Journal 06/09/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/25/2011
The risks to the Chinese economy of accumulated problems in the financial system
05/25/2011
A Wall Street Journal editorial that draws attention to the opaqueness of the financial system and its accummulated problems. It raises questions about how this will come out. Other expert observers have raised these questions.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/25/2011
Beijing's Financial Day of Reckoning Is Near
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2011
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