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China's Credit Crunch
Keywords:
The approach of the new Jinping-Keqiang administration to tackle the problem of surging credit growth, with poor quality lending in China's shadow banking system leading to problems of hidden debt and unknown quantity of loans in default. The central bank tightens credit in June 2013 sending a signal to lenders including small and medium sized banks and Trust companies in the shadow banking system that the government will let them default- that they are essentally on their own if they do not follow prudent financial practices.
New economic policies of the Jinping-Keqiang administration in China- 2013 -2014
06/24/2013
A shift in policies of the central bank, the People's Bank of China, tightening credit in June 2013 to send a signal to banks to improve the quality of lending. This is part of the effort to control the surge in lending that is leading to hidden debt and large amounts of loans in default in the poorly regulated shadow banking system which poses serious risks to economic growth.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Distress Signs Test Beijing's Resolve
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
As Markets Seesaw, Chinaâs Central Bank Tries to Allay Concern on Tight Credit
New York Times 06/25/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2013
Problems facing the China Bank Regulatory Authority (CBRC) for off-balance sheet lending and shadow banks
06/17/2010
Grouped Articles
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Distress Signs Test Beijing's Resolve
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) and policies in 2011-2015
10/21/2010
The leadership and priorities of Zhou Xiaochuan, who has headed the PBOC, central bank of China, since 2002. He was appointed to a new third five year term in 2013.
Grouped Articles
China’s Economic Problems Unlike Those Elsewhere
New York Times 05/28/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
The IMF and the year to year growth of a country's outstanding Credit to GDP Ratio as a Warning Light Indicator for Country Economies
04/14/2010
The outstanding credit of a country to its GDP ratio and its year to year growth is a warning light indicator is used by the IMF. If the year to year growth in this ratio is over 5 percentage points for a country in a particular year it indicates a warning light. Using this indicator Brazil, China, Turkey are in anticipatory crisis conditions. Use of this indicator would have predicted the crisis in the U.S. in 2008, and the crisis in Ireland, Portugal and Greece, ahead of time so that action could be taken.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
No Ticker Tape Parade for Brazil's Currency Heroes
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2013
Financial Fears Gain Credence as Unrest Shakes Turkey
New York Times 06/05/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China's declining GDP growth in 2012-2015
07/13/2012
Grouped Articles
Economists Trim China Growth Forecasts
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
China Forecasts 7.6% Economic Growth in 2013
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2013
China's Debt crisis
07/29/2010
The debt of local governments estimated at between 27% of GDP by Dragonomics and the China's National Audit Office, to a much larger 42% by Prof. Shih of Northwestern University.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Charlene Chu Is the 'Rock Star' of Chinese Debt Analysis
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
Loose monetary policy in China in 2010-2011
03/07/2009
Difficulties of making a soft landing after the huge lending boom in China in 2009-2010 continues into 2011. Inflation and other risks from this lending continue. The burden of large local government debt in China and non-performing loans in the banking system. China's local government debt is estimated to be between 27% of GDP to 42% of GDP. Because of the opaqueness of the financial system the exact amount is not clear and estimates vary.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Off-balance sheet shadow lending by Chinese banks.
01/12/2010
Even after the efforts to restrain lending in 2010 in China following heightened stimulus lending in 2009, the level of bank lending has exceeded 10.5 trillion yuan and is at the same level as 2009. This includes the lending through trusts and other mechanisms according to Fitch Ratings. This explains the inflationary pressures and property bubble.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
China's banking system in 2010-2015
01/12/2010
The effects of the stimulus spending binge and speculative behaviours of local governments and state owned companies, on the loans made by state owned banks.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Friedman on China and sustainable growth with multiple indicators including education, health care and the environment
01/22/2009
Grouped Articles
Pollution Is Radically Changing Childhood in Chinaâs Cities
New York Times 04/22/2013
China Seeks to Calm Anxiety Over Rice
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
âAn Uncertain Glory,â by Jean Drèze and Amartya Sen
New York Times 09/06/2013
Peterson and Hanushek: The Vital Link of Education and Prosperity
Wall Street Journal 09/11/2013
New York Times 10/22/2013
IMF reports on China's economy
11/15/2011
Grouped Articles
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
I.M.F. Warns China on State Control of Banking
New York Times 11/15/2011
Deconstructing China's Urban Legend
Wall Street Journal 01/18/2012
World Bank Predicts Slower Growth and Urges Precautions
New York Times 01/17/2012
China GDP growth forecasts for 2013-2015
05/14/2013
Grouped Articles
Economists Trim China Growth Forecasts
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
China Forecasts 7.6% Economic Growth in 2013
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2013
China's search for a new model for growth with multiple indicators and not focussed only on GDP
10/02/2012
Grouped Articles
Economists Trim China Growth Forecasts
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
U.S. Stocks Shrug at China's Woes
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
China Forecasts 7.6% Economic Growth in 2013
Wall Street Journal 12/27/2013
Stiglitz and Sen's report point to need for looking at multiple indicators of growth, including education, health care and environment.
12/30/2005
Be skeptical of touting GDP growth numbers. China which has done this has learnt from this experience as it shifts to trying to assess the costs of environmental degradation in headlong industrialization. The U.S. and the shift to bigger houses and bigger cars, which later fed a collapse of housing and the auto industry show a different angle of this obsession with GDP numbers that can work constructively or destructively if not understood and managed properly. Air quality and pollution is a major problem in China and affects the quality of life.
Grouped Articles
Pollution Is Radically Changing Childhood in Chinaâs Cities
New York Times 04/22/2013
China Seeks to Calm Anxiety Over Rice
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2013
Japan Is a Model Not a Cautionary Tale
New York Times 06/09/2013
Anger Spills Onto Brazil's Streets
Wall Street Journal 06/18/2013
Brazil's north-east: Catching up in a hurry
Economist 05/21/2011
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
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