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It's Not Just the Currency
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This New York Times editorial after the Senate passed a bill in October 2011 calling for action on the misaligned Chinese currency, points to ways a misaligned currrency is damaging for China. It cites the Peterson Institute for International Economics estimate that this is costing China $240 billion a year. This is a result of accumulating huge dollar reserves that have a declining value against the renminbi. Higher import prices lead to higher inflation. And low interest rates on savings, to the point that they are lower than the inflation rate, hurt the vast majority of Chinese and reduce domestic consumption. And perversely this leads to money pouring into speculative uses such as real estate, creating unsustainable bubbles in housing. The Times editorial says China is not generating jobs from this strategy, as the export strategy is relying on use of advanced technology in manufacturing and not creating many jobs. It cites a statistic showing employment has increased by only 1 percent a year from 2004 even with GDP growth above 10%. China is beginning to realize the cost of this strategy, and is planning a shift in its five year economic plan. But this rebalancing has many obstacles. The current system dominated by state run companies, banks, local and federal government, is biassed in favor of the old export led strategy, and experts are pessimistic about the possibilities for change. The Times suggests China may be falling back on the export led strategy as the global economy is slowing. The whole system would have to change after three decades of this kind of development, and would require new leadership and major changes.
American public opinion on China, jobs and U.S.-China trade.
09/25/2010
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US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
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Wall Street Journal 10/02/2010
China Pumps Up the Volume Against Japan
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Xi Gives America Inc. a Reality Check
Wall Street Journal 09/22/2015
After Michigan Loss, Hillary Clinton Sharpens Message on Jobs and Trade
New York Times 03/09/2016
Campaign Season’s Anti-China Tone Is Likely to Cloud Meeting With Obama
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China wage increases and government policy to promote domestic consumption.
01/05/2008
Wage increases of 20% at Hon Hai and upto 100% at Honda factories in China from wages that were kept low for the export market, are now the trend in China. The government policy is shifting to encourage such wage increases to promote domestic consumption and reduce an overreliance on export markets for growth. This is happening just as trade tensions are increasing with the USA.
Grouped Articles
Beijing Signals a Shift on Economic Policy
New York Times 05/24/2013
Honda's Long-Haul Dilemma in China
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2010
Interview With Japan Foreign Minister Katsuya Okada
Wall Street Journal 09/02/2010
Yuan's Rise Hurts China's Exporters
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
China Will Keep Growing. Just Ask the Soviets.
New York Times 10/24/2014
Adidos and Hotwind? In China, Brands Evoke Foreign Names, Even if They’re Gibberish
New York Times 12/26/2014
China- E.U. trade and economic relations
06/21/2011
Grouped Articles
Wen Renews Chinese Vow to Buy European Bonds
Wall Street Journal 06/29/2011
New York Times 10/15/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2012
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
China's Vanishing Trade Imbalance
New York Times 05/01/2012
China Names Its New Foreign Policy Team
New York Times 03/16/2013
China's Trade Balance
03/10/2011
Every $1 increase in oil prices reduces China's trade deficit by $1.9 billion, according to one estimate. China had a trade deficit in February 2011. This reduces the pressures on the yuan. See the IMF forecast on China's shrinking trade surplus in 2011-2014.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
China Logs Surprise Trade Deficit
Wall Street Journal 03/10/2011
China’s $3 trillion dilemma: What to do with all that cash? - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/19/2011
No Appreciation for the Rising Yuan
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2011
Pressure Grows on China to Spur Domestic Consumption
Wall Street Journal 08/07/2011
Tallying the Toll of U.S.-China Trade
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
Robert Lighthizer and other experts call for trade and globalization practices that work for the U.S.
01/06/2010
The failure of the establishment of both parties in the USA to take action in the face of the loss of 5.6 million jobs in the last decade, with $4.3 trillion in trade imbalances. An issue which resonates with voters in the US and could lead to a fundamental realignent of American attitudes to globalization and free trade. The feeling that the free-trade deck is stacked against the USA by Asian countries. China's efforts to keep the yuan dollar exchange rate at levels that favor exports. China's accumulation of over $3 trillion in dollar reserves that are parked mostly in Treasury's that keep U.S. interests low. Distortons in the global economy from the failure to rebalance the world economy hurts China and the U.S.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
New York Times 09/30/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2010
The Engine That Pulled Us Out of Recession
Wall Street Journal 03/19/2015
What’s Our Duty to the People Globalization Leaves Behind?
New York Times 01/26/2016
The U.S., China, and 'Rebalancing' the World Economy
01/07/2010
'Rebalancing' is the idea that China will consumer more US goods and export less to the US, reducing the lopsided trade imbalance between the two countries. China's government continues its focus on exports and infrastructure in 2009-2011. China's banking system focusses on lending to state-owned companies and the system does not have the attitude, incentives or the mechanisms and experience to increase lending to consumers or small business. Experts say rebalancing is doubtful without serious changes in the banking system and government policy which are not likely.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
New York Times 12/18/2011
Economist 03/31/2010
Fixing a Perception Gap for the Underappreciated G-20
Wall Street Journal 08/27/2013
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
Adidos and Hotwind? In China, Brands Evoke Foreign Names, Even if They’re Gibberish
New York Times 12/26/2014
Chinese views of the U.S. and the appreciation of the yuan.
10/08/2010
Grouped Articles
Brawny Yuan Stands Apart from the Crowd
Wall Street Journal 12/10/2013
Falling Yuan Curbs Cash Entering China
Wall Street Journal 03/20/2014
Why China Shifted Its Strategy for the Yuan, and How It Backfired
Wall Street Journal 01/10/2016
Chinese Official: Bets Against Yuan Are ‘Ridiculous and Impossible’
Wall Street Journal 01/12/2016
Confused by China’s Yuan? It’s Intentional
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2016
The U.S. Will Lose a China Trade War
Wall Street Journal 10/08/2010
Expert opinion on the appreciation of the yuan.
03/29/2010
One view from Yale University is that an appreciation of China's currency will not have alarge impact on American jobs, which is the opposite of what is generally thought.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
Wall Street Journal 03/29/2010
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
The Long View of Changes in Chinaâs Currency
New York Times 09/21/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
China's Dangerous Overvaluation
Wall Street Journal 02/26/2014
Changes in China's export driven economy
11/08/2007
China's policymakers are shifting the economy from a manufacturer of low cost goods by increasing worker protections, wages and environmental controls towards more innovation and technology added product which are made respecting workers and the environment. Inflation and the stronger yuan are speeding up this shift.
Grouped Articles
China Manufacturers Survive by Moving to Asian Neighbors
Wall Street Journal 05/02/2013
China Factories Try Karaoke, Speed Dating to Keep Workers
Wall Street Journal 05/03/2013
Wall Street Journal 05/29/2010
How China Lost Its Mojo: One Town's Story
Wall Street Journal 09/16/2013
Robots May Revolutionize China's Electronics Manufacturing
Wall Street Journal 09/24/2013
Yuan's Rise Hurts China's Exporters
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2014
Apple iPhone manufacturing in China, and the U.S. trade deficit
07/01/2010
How much of the iPhone is manufactured in China? 3.6% by China's Hon Hai, but this does not account for South Korean and Japanese suppliers using manufacturing bases in China. German suppliers also have Chinese factories. Production costs at Hon Hai itself are rock bottom, as a result the other parts would be too expensive if not manufactured in China. Reliable statistics would include the value of all suppliers who build i-phone parts in China and take into account the impact on the US of manufacturing jobs that would otherwise be available in the US.
Grouped Articles
Andy Grove: How America Can Create Jobs
BusinessWeek 07/01/2010
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2010
Apple Says App Store Sales Rose 50% in 2014
Wall Street Journal 01/09/2015
U.S. Car-Making Boom? Not for Auto-Industry Workers
Wall Street Journal 03/24/2015
Apple Services Shut Down in China in Startling About-Face
New York Times 04/21/2016
China and the EU- Trade and Investment
01/07/2011
Grouped Articles
China Divides European Union in Fight Over Tariffs
New York Times 05/28/2013
China Gives Nod to Foreign Firms
Wall Street Journal 01/07/2011
No Appreciation for the Rising Yuan
Wall Street Journal 06/21/2011
Tallying the Toll of U.S.-China Trade
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
New York Times 10/15/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2012
China- German trade and economic relations
06/29/2011
Grouped Articles
Germany’s Merkel Offers Limited Support for Hong Kong Protesters
Wall Street Journal 10/11/2014
Wen Renews Chinese Vow to Buy European Bonds
Wall Street Journal 06/29/2011
New York Times 10/15/2011
Wall Street Journal 02/14/2012
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
China's Vanishing Trade Imbalance
New York Times 05/01/2012
Currency issues and U.S.-China trade.
01/23/2009
Trade between the USA and China and currency issues. Obama administration's efforts to address currency issues and fair trade issues with other countries.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
The Long View of Changes in Chinaâs Currency
New York Times 09/21/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
Obama Promotes Benefits of Trade Deals to Workers and Smaller Businesses
New York Times 02/26/2015
2012 U.S. presidential candidate Mitt Romney's position on trade with China and the misalignment of its currency
09/25/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
Romney: China must respect the free-trade system - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/14/2011
New York Times 10/15/2011
Play of the Week: The Business of America Is....;Job Cuts?
Wall Street Journal 12/24/2011
Romney Ekes Past Santorum to Win Iowa
Wall Street Journal 01/04/2012
U.S. and China- Trade Wars.
12/30/2009
American action against products from China that are dumped on the U.S. market. The unervalued Chinese currency and subsidized exports.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
Economist 03/31/2010
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
How China Lost Its Mojo: One Town's Story
Wall Street Journal 09/16/2013
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
US-China trade relations: Speak less softly, carry a stick
Economist 09/25/2010
Euro-Dollar and Yuan -Dollar Exchange Rates and Economic growth worldwide- 2009-2013
12/06/2006
Grouped Articles
Europe Is Giving Global Economy A Surprise Boost Amid U.S. Lull - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 12/06/2006
As Dollar Weakens, Paulson Faces Challenge of Tempering Its Decline - WSJ.com
Wall Street Journal 12/09/2006
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2008
Geithner Hints at Harder Line on China Trade
New York Times 01/23/2009
China Rejects Currency Manipulation Charge
New York Times 01/25/2009
Wall Street Journal 01/26/2009
Frankly Speaking on the great recession, the dollar and trade deficits 2009-2012
10/14/2009
Peter Morici of the University of Maryland and others express their view in 2009 on what needs to happen. The dollar Morici says needs to be devalued 40-50% against the yuan. He says that while China talks about an alternative reserve currency, it is part of the problem. And the crisis was caused by the U.S. demand that was inflated by the cheap yuan and then collapsed, says Morici.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
Cheaper Chinese Currency Has Global Impact
Wall Street Journal 08/12/2015
China Takes a Smoother Path to Currency Devaluation
Wall Street Journal 11/25/2015
Peter Morici: Behind the Dollar's Dog Days
BusinessWeek 10/15/2009
Progress on the appreciation of China's currency, the yuan, in 2010-2013
05/17/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/04/2011
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
Brawny Yuan Stands Apart from the Crowd
Wall Street Journal 12/10/2013
The Long View of Changes in Chinaâs Currency
New York Times 09/21/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
U.S. Strains Mount After China Devalues Yuan
Wall Street Journal 08/12/2015
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