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Beijing's Growth Tools Are Limited
Keywords:
The People's Bank of China's decision to reduce the reserve requirement for deposits at banks by 0.5% is not likely to have much impact, as banks already have enough money to lend. The problem is more a lack of demand for loans as the economy slows. Inflation fears restrict the use of growth tools such as lowering interest rates and the housing bubble limits the use of construction spending to increase growth. Political uncertainty with a leadership transition, and economc uncertainty in Europe also limit options.
China's limited monetary and fiscal policy options in 2011-2012
04/14/2010
Higher inflation and a bubble in property prices limit the use of monetary policy. A lending binge in 2008-2009 during the financial crisis, and resulting bad loans, limits China's spending options in 2011.
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Difficult policy choices for China in 2011-2015
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Beijing Signals a Shift on Economic Policy
New York Times 05/24/2013
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Still Reserved on China's Policy Shift
Wall Street Journal 12/01/2011
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
Loose monetary policy in China in 2010-2011
03/07/2009
Difficulties of making a soft landing after the huge lending boom in China in 2009-2010 continues into 2011. Inflation and other risks from this lending continue. The burden of large local government debt in China and non-performing loans in the banking system. China's local government debt is estimated to be between 27% of GDP to 42% of GDP. Because of the opaqueness of the financial system the exact amount is not clear and estimates vary.
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Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
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China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
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Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
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Reserve ratio policy for China's banks to curb inflation- 2011-2012
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No Chinese Relief for Global Slowdown
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Inflation Prompts a New Lift of Reserves
Wall Street Journal 06/15/2011
Chinese Banks Raise Cash to Cushion Against Bad Debts
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The economy of China in 2010-2012
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Hazards and prospects.
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New York Times 02/13/2010
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China's policy actions to address impact of global financial crisis 2008-2012
08/14/2008
Policy actions taken by China to address the global economic crisis's impact on Chinese growth rate including land policy for farmers and export rebates.
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Trade Losses Rise in China, Threatening Jobs
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Global Trade Posts Sharp Decline
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Tax Cut Spurs 25% Rise in Chinese Auto Sales
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2009
China's Economic Torch Won't Outlast Olympics
BusinessWeek 08/14/2008
New York Times 08/24/2008
China's policy shift to a less export dependent economy.
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U.S. Apparel Retailers Turn Their Gaze Beyond China
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Gadget Giant's Evolution: Make, Then Sell
Wall Street Journal 08/21/2010
Yuan Revaluation for China's Own Sake
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2010
Krugman on economic policy and prospects for China in 2012-2013
09/30/2010
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The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
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New York Times 09/30/2010
Chinese debt: The great hole of China
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A Warning on China Seems Prescient
New York Times 08/24/2015
China's Debt: You'll Grow Out of It
Wall Street Journal 01/25/2012
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'
Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
The U.S., China, and 'Rebalancing' the World Economy
01/07/2010
'Rebalancing' is the idea that China will consumer more US goods and export less to the US, reducing the lopsided trade imbalance between the two countries. China's government continues its focus on exports and infrastructure in 2009-2011. China's banking system focusses on lending to state-owned companies and the system does not have the attitude, incentives or the mechanisms and experience to increase lending to consumers or small business. Experts say rebalancing is doubtful without serious changes in the banking system and government policy which are not likely.
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Economist 09/25/2010
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China's real estate bubble and risks of a hard landing in 2012-2014
01/14/2010
Decline in housing prices in China and the impact on retail sales and the economy.
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Global property markets: Boom and gloom
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China’s Economic Problems Unlike Those Elsewhere
New York Times 05/28/2013
Buyers Dodge Homeowner Limits in China
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
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