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Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
This report in the WSJ points to Democrats having won consistently 18 states plus District of Columbia adding upto 242 Electoral College votes in every election since 1992. Democrats need 28 more to cross the needed 270 votes. Republicans consistently having 13 states with 102 electoral College votes. Demographic changes in recent years have shifted to where Hillary Clinton may not need to devote resources to Colorado and Virginia because of a more favorable position there. Carrying Pennsylvania with these 2 states would put Clinton over the 270 required. Vice Presidential candidate for Clinton, Senator Keane is from Virginia and is popular in the state. Pennsylvania has a long history favoring Democrats. North Carolina has also seen demographic changes favoring Democrats. The Clinton campaign is focussing ads on these states as well as the swing states of Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire, as well as Georgia, Arizona and Utah which are becoming competitive for Democrats. By keeping up the effort in Georgia, Arizona and Utah, Clinton hopes to make Trump divert resources there. Other two swing states are Ohio and Florida, but this WSJ report says Clinton has to win only one of the four swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina to go over 270 and Trump needs all four. Of the 20 media markets Clinton or her super PACs have focussed their ads on 16 are in these 4 states. The Clinton campaign is looking at several alternative routes to 270 Electoral College votes, which gives it more flexibility to plan the campaign.
The situation for key states in September 2016 for crossing the 270 Electoral College votes needed for Democrats and Republicans
08/24/2016
Key states are Colorado and Virginia. Republican states Utah, Georgia, and Arizona are up for grabs. Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Florida are states both parties are trying to win. Pennsylvania has a history of voting Democratic. Senator Keane, Democratic Vice Presidential candidate is from Virginia and is popular there. Demographic shifts are improving for Democrats in North Carolina.
Grouped Articles
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
Democratic Dream of Two Blue Coasts? Clinton Is in Striking Distance
The New York Times 08/25/2016
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
Republicans Rode Waves of Populism Until They Crashed the Party
WSJ 10/26/2016
Obama, Hillary Clinton and the U.S. presidential election of 2016
01/26/2008
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Hillary Clinton Tacks Right of Obama on Foreign Policy
Wall Street Journal 03/22/2014
Hillary Clinton, for Richer or Poorer
Wall Street Journal 06/29/2014
Calculated Risks: Hillary Rodham Clinton’s ‘Hard Choices’
New York Times 06/20/2014
A Rift in Worldviews Is Exposed as Clinton Faults Obama on Policy
New York Times 08/11/2014
Hillary Clinton, Barbed and Bellicose
New York Times 08/11/2014
New York Times 08/11/2014
Hillary Clinton's ad campaign plans for the Fall 2016 presidential election
03/22/2016
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Hillary Clinton’s Backers Prepare General Election Ad Blitz
New York Times 03/22/2016
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
U.S. president Obama's endorsement of Hillary Clinton for president in 2016, with his popularity at 51% similar to Reagan
06/10/2016
At a similar point in the last year of his presidency, Reagan's popularity was 51% when he endorsed and campaigned for Bush.
Grouped Articles
Barack Obama Endorses Hillary Clinton for President
WSJ 06/10/2016
Bernie Sanders Endorses Ex-Rival Hillary Clinton, Ending Democratic Primary Campaign
WSJ 07/12/2016
Championing Optimism, Obama Hails Clinton as His Political Heir
The New York Times 07/28/2016
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
Hillary Clinton Returns to Campaigning, Seeks to Refine Message
WSJ 09/15/2016
Obama Sees ‘Personal Insult’ if Blacks Don’t Rally for Hillary Clinton
The New York Times 09/19/2016
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's campaign strategies
08/01/2015
Grouped Articles
Clinton Opens Up on Health, Money
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2015
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Clinton, Sanders dominate Democrats’ first go on the debate stage - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/14/2015
Hillary Clinton invoked 9/11 to defend her ties to Wall Street. What? - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/15/2015
Clinton’s debate performance leaves trail of fodder for political adversaries - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/16/2015
Sanders: Unlike Clinton, I won’t seek ‘reckless adventures abroad’ - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/19/2015
Paul Ryan's decisive win in August 2016 with 84% of the vote for the Republican primary in his House seat of Janesville, Wisconsin, against a Trump type challenger
08/10/2016
The U.S House Speaker's very decisive win shows his style of leadership is what works as the national discourse deteriorates in 2016.
Grouped Articles
Rep. Paul Ryan Wins Wisconsin Republican Primary
WSJ 08/10/2016
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
From Trump to Brexit rhetoric: how today's politicians have got away with words
The Guardian 08/27/2016
Donald Trump has broken the Republican Party | Americas | DW.COM | 12.10.2016
DW.COM 10/12/2016
Hillary Clinton in a contest with Donald Trump for the presidential election of 2016- uncertain result with the negative perception of both candidates over 50%
03/28/2016
Grouped Articles
Yes, Donald Could Beat Hillary
Wall Street Journal 03/28/2016
Electoral Map Is a Reality Check to Donald Trump’s Bid
New York Times 04/02/2016
Hillary Clinton won New York, but her image is underwater - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/20/2016
Presidential Front-Runners Get Breathing Room After New York Vote
Wall Street Journal 04/20/2016
New York Times 04/23/2016
Barack Obama Endorses Hillary Clinton for President
WSJ 06/10/2016
Advertising campaign strategies and spending of the Clinton and Trump campaigns in 2016
08/09/2016
The campaign strategies of the Obama campaign in 2012 played a decisive role in the midwestern states such as Michigan and Ohio by emphasizing Obama's role in saving the auto industry after bankruptcies, and candidate Mitt Romney's opposition to a rescue effort. Early spending with this theme enabled the Obama campaign to put itself in the best light with voters.
Grouped Articles
Clinton Campaign Now Outspending Trump on Ads -- $52 Million to 0
NBC News 08/09/2016
Donald Trump, in Shake-Up, Hires Breitbart Executive for Top Campaign Post
The New York Times 08/17/2016
Donald Trump Overhauls Campaign, Adds GOP Pollster Kellyanne Conway and Breitbart’s Stephen Bannon
WSJ 08/17/2016
Steve Bannon: The "street fighter" who's now running Trump's campaign
CNNMoney 08/17/2016
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
The candidacy of Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016
08/01/2015
Grouped Articles
What Voters See in Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2015
Donald Trump’s Allure: Ego as Ideology
New York Times 08/04/2015
GOP Candidates Hold Raucous Debate
Wall Street Journal 08/07/2015
It’s not just Trump: Voter anger fuels outsider candidates - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/13/2015
Jeb Bush attacks Donald Trump, calls him a long-term Democrat - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/20/2015
Test for Donald Trump: Turning Crowds Into Real Voters
New York Times 08/25/2015
The Donald Trump presidential campaign for 2016- organization and strategies
08/25/2015
Grouped Articles
Test for Donald Trump: Turning Crowds Into Real Voters
New York Times 08/25/2015
The One-Man Roadshow of Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 09/14/2015
Donald Trump Forges New Blue-Collar Coalition Among Republicans
Wall Street Journal 12/05/2015
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee
Wall Street Journal 12/10/2015
Washington Post 12/25/2015
Washington Post 12/27/2015
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton
03/11/2015
Grouped Articles
Democrats See No Choice but Hillary Clinton in 2016
New York Times 03/11/2015
Hillary Clinton and Democrats Aim to Buck History
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2015
Hillary Needs a Pro-Growth Plan
Wall Street Journal 04/15/2015
Wall Street Journal 04/15/2015
Hillary Clinton in 2016: What does Hillary stand for?
Economist 04/16/2015
America's presidential election: Hillary enters the race
Economist 04/16/2015
Hillary Clinton's presidential bid and issues relating to women in 2016
12/12/2015
Grouped Articles
Moms and Daughters Debate Gender Factor in Hillary Clinton’s Bid
New York Times 12/12/2015
After New Hampshire, candidates face new ground amid reshuffled races - The Washington Post
Washington Post 02/10/2016
Washington Post 02/10/2016
Hillary Clinton’s Candidacy Reveals Generational Schism Among Women
New York Times 02/16/2016
Donald Trump’s Gender-Based Attacks on Hillary Clinton Have Calculated Risk
New York Times 04/28/2016
Hillary Clinton’s Long, Grueling Quest
The New York Times 06/08/2016
U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's election strategy to focus on core Democratic states
06/06/2015
The strategy means focussing on parts of the midwest such as Ohio and Wisconsin, the East and the West. It means ignoring deep red Republican states such as Kentucky, Tennessee, Louisiana, West Virginia. This suggests less attention would be paid to the independent voter on the basis of the increased polarization in the country, and risking everything on winning with women, Hispanic and younger voters, leaving vast parts of the white working class aside. This is unlike Hillary Clinton's campaign in 2008, and Bill Clinton's two winning presidential campaigns which appealed to centrist voters. This may also be because Hillary Clinton in 2015 is perceived as a polarizing candidate for right of centre voters, compared to Bill Clinton, and the failure of Republicans to change perceptions on issues such as immigration, on women's issues, and wages, keeping the core Democratic constituency together. This could change if a Republican candidate is able to appeal to voters on the left by staking out positions on immigration, wages and womens issues that are different from the Republican party's right wing, as shown by Jeb Bush of Florida.
Grouped Articles
Hillary Clinton Traces Friendly Path, Troubling Party
New York Times 06/06/2015
Hillary Needs More Than the Obama Coalition
Wall Street Journal 06/11/2015
Hillary Got It Right About Growth
Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015
Hillary Clinton’s Economic Agenda Aims at a Party Shifting Left
New York Times 07/09/2015
Hillary Clinton Offers Her Vision of a ‘Fairness Economy’ to Close the Income Gap
New York Times 07/13/2015
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Hillary Clinton recovers lost ground after the first Democratic television debate in October 2015, with polls showing 64% support among Democrats
10/20/2015
Grouped Articles
Clinton, judged winner of debate, holds big national lead over Sanders - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/20/2015
Biden’s decision boosts Clinton and sets up a two-way race with Sanders - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/21/2015
Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race
Wall Street Journal 10/22/2015
Clinton’s debate performance leaves trail of fodder for political adversaries - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/16/2015
Hillary Clinton Confidently Embraces Bill Clinton’s Economic Record
New York Times 12/22/2015
Hillary Clinton Wins California, Bolstering Claim to Nomination
The New York Times 06/08/2016
The Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, New York Times editorials on Trump and the Republican Party
02/25/2016
Grouped Articles
GOP leaders, you must do everything in your power to stop Trump - The Washington Post
Washington Post 02/25/2016
Wall Street Journal 02/25/2016
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2016
Democratic Fictions About the GOP and Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2016
In defense of the GOP - The Washington Post
Washington Post 04/15/2016
Wall Street Journal 04/19/2016
Donald Trump's campaign financing, advertising, and organizational preparation for a general election campaign compared to that of Hillary Clinton in April-August 2016
04/22/2016
Grouped Articles
Trump’s Campaign Spending on the Rise
Wall Street Journal 04/22/2016
Donald Trump Fires Corey Lewandowski, His Campaign Manager
The New York Times 06/20/2016
Donald Trump Starts Summer Push With Crippling Money Deficit
The New York Times 06/20/2016
Fueled by Small Donations, Donald Trump Makes Up Major Financial Ground
The New York Times 08/03/2016
Clinton Campaign Now Outspending Trump on Ads -- $52 Million to 0
NBC News 08/09/2016
Donald Trump, in Shake-Up, Hires Breitbart Executive for Top Campaign Post
The New York Times 08/17/2016
U.S. president Obama's legacy and the 2016 presidential election with Hillary Clinton as the nominee of the Democratic Party
06/10/2016
U.S. president Obama's popularity ratings are at 51% in 2016 similar to Reagan's in his last year. In June 2016 he announced his endorsement of Hillary and efforts to unite the Democratic Party behind Clinton, including bringing Sanders supporters behind the nominee. This is also an effort to preserve his legacy. For Hillary Obama's and Sander's support is needed to improve support among younger women, and others who supported Obama in 2008 and 2012, especially with the wide differences with Republican nominee Trump.
Grouped Articles
WSJ 06/15/2016
Bernie Sanders: Democrats Need to Wake Up
The New York Times 06/28/2016
Bernie Sanders Endorses Ex-Rival Hillary Clinton, Ending Democratic Primary Campaign
WSJ 07/12/2016
Championing Optimism, Obama Hails Clinton as His Political Heir
The New York Times 07/28/2016
Obama Rallies Democrats Behind Hillary Clinton at Convention
WSJ 07/28/2016
Business Economists Say Hillary Clinton Is Best for the Economy
WSJ 08/22/2016
Views on Donald Trump and his campaign as U.S. presidential candidate in 2016
01/27/2016
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 01/27/2016
Donald Trump’s surprisingly un-Trump Iowa concession speech - The Washington Post
Washington Post 02/02/2016
How Both Parties Lost the White Middle Class
New York Times 02/01/2016
Donald Trump’s Campaign Blueprint: His Own Book
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2016
Democratic Fictions About the GOP and Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2016
Wall Street Journal 03/08/2016
Donald Trump and the Republican Party
12/12/2015
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2015
Wall Street Journal 12/22/2015
Washington Post 12/27/2015
Here’s what a conservative policy agenda should look like in the Trump era - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/27/2016
Wall Street Journal 01/27/2016
Trump spurns a powerful player in GOP politics in falling-out with Fox - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/28/2016
The U.S. Democratic party in the South and urban liberal moderates in 2016
08/22/2016
Urban liberal moderates such as in the urban centres of Georgia and South Carolina form the basis of a new Democratic party in the South in 2016. Trump's resemblance in rhetoric to Alabama governor George Wallace, immigration now and civil rights then, is creating a new dynamic in the Southern U.S. states with college educated voters in the suburbs, especially women, and some Republican women shifting away from Trump.
Grouped Articles
Why Hillary Clinton Might Win Georgia
The New York Times 08/22/2016
In Clinton vs. Trump, the Overlooked Impact of Asian-Americans
WSJ 08/22/2016
In Clinton vs. Trump, the Overlooked Impact of Asian-Americans
WSJ 08/22/2016
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
Democratic Dream of Two Blue Coasts? Clinton Is in Striking Distance
The New York Times 08/25/2016
From Trump to Brexit rhetoric: how today's politicians have got away with words
The Guardian 08/27/2016
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