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The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Keywords:
Tags: Current Focus, United States,
Seib points out why the current political landscape with the popularity of Trump and Sanders reflects demographic, economc and social changes in America compared to when Geroge H.W. Bush won the election in 1988 and Bill Clinton won in 1992. The Republican party is more populist, with older Americans, more Southern and conservative, making it harder for Jeb Bush or Wall Street backed candidates. The Democratic Party more liberal, more popular on both the east and west coast of the U.S., with younger Americans, diverse demographic groups, making it harder for Hillary Clinton as an establishment candidate. A Journal/NBC poll of Oct. 2015 shows 28% of Republicans describing their views as very conservative, and 26% of Democrats saying they are very liberal. Yet there is another aspect that will show up once the primaries are over. And this is the steady group of somewhat conservative and moderate combined in the Republican Party of 64%, and the steady group of somewhat liberal and moderate in the Democratic Party of 62% in the 2015 Journal/NBC poll. The moderates are up from 26% in the above 1990 poll to 31% in the 2015 poll for the Republican Party, and from 26% to 33% in the Democratic Party. So that one sees about a quarter of people polled in each party pushing for fringe views and a countervailing trend for moderate or close to moderate views with about two thirds support in the 2015 Journal/NBC poll for each party.
How changes in the Republican and Democratic parties in 2015-2016 reflect demographic, economic and other changes in America since 1990
10/13/2015
Grouped Articles
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Bernie Sanders: Democrats Need to Wake Up
The New York Times 06/28/2016
Emerging Republican Platform Goes Far to the Right
The New York Times 07/12/2016
Why Hillary Clinton Might Win Georgia
The New York Times 08/22/2016
Bernie Sanders voters look for a path forward
CNN 10/21/2016
Republicans Rode Waves of Populism Until They Crashed the Party
WSJ 10/26/2016
A debate on upward economic mobility after wage stagnation under Republican and Democratic presidents 2002-2015
08/01/2015
Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush and Rick Perry present different proposals to address the lack of upward mobility in the U.S. since 2002, under Republican and Democratic administrations. This could be the reason for the popularity of fringe candidates in both parties Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump, with increasing public discontent with mainstream politicians.
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The Opportunity Debate Heats Up
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2015
Washington Post 08/09/2015
Similarities Aside, Bernie Sanders Isn’t Rerunning Howard Dean’s 2004 Race
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The Democrats’ Socialist Surge
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Wall Street Journal 09/10/2015
Jeb Bush Tax Plan Makes Forays Into Populism
New York Times 09/09/2015
Changes in the Republican Party 2014-2016
06/10/2014
The defeat in the Republican primary of Eric Cantor in Virgina by Brat, a professor of economics at Macon College. Brat faces another professor of Macon College in the election.
Grouped Articles
Eric Cantor Defeated by David Brat, Tea Party Challenger, in Primary Upset
New York Times 06/10/2014
Once Snubbed, David Brat Turns the Tables
New York Times 06/11/2014
David Brat and Jack Trammell show unease in the spotlight
New York Times 06/12/2014
Obama’s Odds With Congress: Bad to Worse
New York Times 06/12/2014
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Parties’ Divide on the Economy Widens
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David Brat and the upset win over Eric Cantor in the Republican primary in Virginia, June 2014
06/12/2014
Grouped Articles
David Brat and Jack Trammell show unease in the spotlight
New York Times 06/12/2014
Obama’s Odds With Congress: Bad to Worse
New York Times 06/12/2014
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
The struggle between business groups and the Tea Party in the Republican party
04/09/2014
Grouped Articles
Business Groups Counter Tea-Party Challenger in Idaho
Wall Street Journal 04/09/2014
Cruz’s Power to Disrupt Faces a Fresh Test
Wall Street Journal 12/08/2014
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Republicans Rode Waves of Populism Until They Crashed the Party
WSJ 10/26/2016
Millenials in the U.S. not attached to any party with over 50% saying they are political independents
11/11/2014
Over 50% of young people in the U.S. ages 18-29 said they were political independents in a Pew Research survey conducted in March 2014. About 30% said they saw little difference between Democrats and Republicans. The 2014 mid term U.S. Congressional and state governors elections confirmed this trend. Voters in this age bracket are about one sixth of the electorate and prefer to look at the individual candidate as a person.
Grouped Articles
Are Democrats Losing the Youth Vote?
New York Times 11/11/2014
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Republican Debate Defined by Trump-Cruz Clash
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2016
Millennial Wave Unsettles Presidential Race
Wall Street Journal 02/16/2016
The Daily 202: College-educated white women are Hillary Clinton’s firewall
Washington Post 11/03/2016
In Boomers’ Sunset, Election Reawakens an Old Divide
The New York Times 11/07/2016
The Tea Party movement and the Republican party in the U.S.
10/23/2010
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That Monolithic Tea Party Just Wasnât There
New York Times 08/01/2011
Boehner Urges G.O.P. Unity in âEpic Battleâ
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In Rural Iowa, Spending, Not the Shutdown, Raises Worry
New York Times 10/04/2013
Robert J. Samuelson - The dysfunction of American politics
Washington Post 10/25/2010
Cruz’s Power to Disrupt Faces a Fresh Test
Wall Street Journal 12/08/2014
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
The unimaginative and overly ideological solutions for renewing America of the Republicans and the Democrats in 2011-2014
10/25/2010
Views that say the best ideas from all sides of the political spectrum are a better way for renewing America than an unimaginative purely ideological way of thinking. This polarized mood has characterized both political parties in the U.S. Partisan politics and lack of moderate positions or policies in both parties.
Grouped Articles
Why we need a third party - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/26/2011
Robert J. Samuelson - The dysfunction of American politics
Washington Post 10/25/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2010
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Washington Post 02/25/2016
New York Times 06/13/2011
The candidacy of Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016
08/01/2015
Grouped Articles
What Voters See in Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2015
Donald Trump’s Allure: Ego as Ideology
New York Times 08/04/2015
GOP Candidates Hold Raucous Debate
Wall Street Journal 08/07/2015
It’s not just Trump: Voter anger fuels outsider candidates - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/13/2015
Jeb Bush attacks Donald Trump, calls him a long-term Democrat - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/20/2015
Test for Donald Trump: Turning Crowds Into Real Voters
New York Times 08/25/2015
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's campaign strategies
08/01/2015
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Clinton Opens Up on Health, Money
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The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Clinton, Sanders dominate Democrats’ first go on the debate stage - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/14/2015
Hillary Clinton invoked 9/11 to defend her ties to Wall Street. What? - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/15/2015
Clinton’s debate performance leaves trail of fodder for political adversaries - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/16/2015
Sanders: Unlike Clinton, I won’t seek ‘reckless adventures abroad’ - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/19/2015
How politics is changing in America in 2015-2016
10/13/2015
Grouped Articles
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Why Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton are facing a tough run in the 2015 primaries against Trump and Sanders- changes in the demographic, social and economic landscape of America
10/13/2015
Grouped Articles
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Clinton, judged winner of debate, holds big national lead over Sanders - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/20/2015
Biden’s decision boosts Clinton and sets up a two-way race with Sanders - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/21/2015
Donald Trump Forges New Blue-Collar Coalition Among Republicans
Wall Street Journal 12/05/2015
Donald Trump’s Plan on Muslims Is Opposed by Most Americans; GOP Is Split, WSJ/NBC Poll Finds
Wall Street Journal 12/11/2015
Wall Street Journal 01/15/2016
Calls for organizing U.S. public opinion for problem solving outside of the polarized and interest-group captive debate of both parties
10/25/2010
Expert opinion on the failure of Republicans and Democrats to do serious problem-solving because of the tendency to see and do everything for political and electoral advantage. Both parties beholden to interest groups reduce their ability for serious action for problem solving. Partisan positions in both parties and lack of moderate positions or policies.
Grouped Articles
Budget Discord Simmers Among Democrats
Wall Street Journal 10/21/2013
Robert J. Samuelson - The dysfunction of American politics
Washington Post 10/25/2010
Wall Street Journal 10/25/2010
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Why we need a third party - The Washington Post
Washington Post 09/26/2011
Washington Post 11/13/2011
Changes in the Republican party in 2010-2013
09/03/2010
Cantor, Ryan and others try to recast the party in a different light, by rejecting the old Republican politics and leaders from an earlier era.
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Congress Passes Debt, Budget Deal
Wall Street Journal 10/17/2013
Eric Cantor Defeated by David Brat, Tea Party Challenger, in Primary Upset
New York Times 06/10/2014
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Washington Post 02/25/2016
GOP 'Young Guns' attack Obama and former party leaders in new book
Washington Post 09/03/2010
New York Times 10/21/2010
Demographic changes in the U.S. and the U.S. presidential elections of 2008 and 2012
01/21/2009
Republican candidate Romney received onl 8% of the black vote, 25% of the Asian American vote, and 29% of the Hispanic vote. He received the vote of six out of ten seniors and a majority of the over 40 age vote, and did poorly with the 18-29 age group.
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Blacks, Obama and the Election
New York Times 11/02/2014
A Drive for Swing State Votes Has Colorado’s Latinos Listening
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The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Poll: Trump’s negatives among Hispanics rise; worst in GOP field - The Washington Post
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Obamaâs Victory Presents G.O.P. With Demographic Test
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Vote Data Show Changing Nation
Wall Street Journal 11/08/2012
Jeb Bush, U.S. presidential candidate for 2016, and the Republican primaries
06/15/2015
Grouped Articles
Jeb Bush’s Surprising Struggle With Moderates
New York Times 06/15/2015
What Jeb Bush Would Need to Do to Win
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New York Times 06/19/2015
Wall Street Journal 09/15/2015
WSJ Poll Shows Risks for GOP; Clinton Support Wanes
Wall Street Journal 09/29/2015
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Obama, the Republican party in 2014 with the upset win by David Brat over Cantor, and dimming hope for the legislative agenda, including immigration
06/12/2014
Hopes of achieving anything of significance in the rest of the Obama legislative agenda dim after the win by Prof. Brat in Virgina over Cantor in a Republican primary.
Grouped Articles
Obama’s Odds With Congress: Bad to Worse
New York Times 06/12/2014
Saving the GOP From Modern Know-Nothingism
Wall Street Journal 10/30/2014
Wall Street Journal 08/19/2015
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's election strategy to focus on core Democratic states
06/06/2015
The strategy means focussing on parts of the midwest such as Ohio and Wisconsin, the East and the West. It means ignoring deep red Republican states such as Kentucky, Tennessee, Louisiana, West Virginia. This suggests less attention would be paid to the independent voter on the basis of the increased polarization in the country, and risking everything on winning with women, Hispanic and younger voters, leaving vast parts of the white working class aside. This is unlike Hillary Clinton's campaign in 2008, and Bill Clinton's two winning presidential campaigns which appealed to centrist voters. This may also be because Hillary Clinton in 2015 is perceived as a polarizing candidate for right of centre voters, compared to Bill Clinton, and the failure of Republicans to change perceptions on issues such as immigration, on women's issues, and wages, keeping the core Democratic constituency together. This could change if a Republican candidate is able to appeal to voters on the left by staking out positions on immigration, wages and womens issues that are different from the Republican party's right wing, as shown by Jeb Bush of Florida.
Grouped Articles
Hillary Clinton Traces Friendly Path, Troubling Party
New York Times 06/06/2015
Hillary Needs More Than the Obama Coalition
Wall Street Journal 06/11/2015
Hillary Got It Right About Growth
Wall Street Journal 06/18/2015
Hillary Clinton’s Economic Agenda Aims at a Party Shifting Left
New York Times 07/09/2015
Hillary Clinton Offers Her Vision of a ‘Fairness Economy’ to Close the Income Gap
New York Times 07/13/2015
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
U.S. Republican party.
11/30/2009
Grouped Articles
The Two Parties Aren’t Crazy, Just Changed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2015
Washington Post 02/25/2016
Today's GOP is both united and divided
Washington Post 11/30/2009
New York Times 10/21/2010
Tea party antics could end up burning Republicans
Washington Post 10/28/2010
In Senate Races, New Republican Blood Is Mostly Old
New York Times 10/29/2010
Bernie Sanders campaign for the 2016 presidential election strikes a chord with seniors and young people
05/28/2015
Grouped Articles
Bernie Sanders’s Message Resonates With a Certain Age Group: His Own
New York Times 05/28/2015
Bernie Sanders’ Longshot Campaign Drawing Big Crowds
Wall Street Journal 06/16/2015
Bernie Sanders’s Revolutionary Roots Were Nurtured in ’60s Vermont
New York Times 07/03/2015
Bernie Sanders’s ‘100% Brooklyn’ Roots Are as Unshakable as His Accent
New York Times 07/24/2015
Washington Post 08/09/2015
Similarities Aside, Bernie Sanders Isn’t Rerunning Howard Dean’s 2004 Race
New York Times 08/09/2015
2016 U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton
03/11/2015
Grouped Articles
Democrats See No Choice but Hillary Clinton in 2016
New York Times 03/11/2015
Hillary Clinton and Democrats Aim to Buck History
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2015
Hillary Needs a Pro-Growth Plan
Wall Street Journal 04/15/2015
Wall Street Journal 04/15/2015
Hillary Clinton in 2016: What does Hillary stand for?
Economist 04/16/2015
America's presidential election: Hillary enters the race
Economist 04/16/2015
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