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Why Hillary Clinton Might Win Georgia
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The shift of voters from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party in the South such as Georgia and South Carolina, and the Deep South such as Mississippi and Alabama, started in the sixties with the civil rights movement. Reagan tapped into it by making his first post convention trip to Alabama, where George Wallace had already worked up white southern voters on segregation in the way Trump is doing today on immigration. Strom Thurmond was one of the high profile southerners shifting from Dixiecrat Democrat to Republican in South Carolina. After Thurmond in the fifties the Republican formula was to mix cultural issues with economic conservatism, with Nixon, then Reagan, and then Bush. Reagan added religious conservatives to the cause. Now says Emory University Prof. Joseph Crespino, this is changing as the more educated college educated white collar professionals that Goldwater once appealed to shifting in 2016 to the Democratic Party in places like Georgia and South Carolina. This is a result of the rhetoric of Trump resembling that of George Wallace and Thurmond in the Deep South. With demographic changes there is also new infusion of people from the North to the South in major urban areas. The result in 2016 is that the South no longer appears the way it once was.
The U.S. Democratic party in the South and urban liberal moderates in 2016
08/22/2016
Urban liberal moderates such as in the urban centres of Georgia and South Carolina form the basis of a new Democratic party in the South in 2016. Trump's resemblance in rhetoric to Alabama governor George Wallace, immigration now and civil rights then, is creating a new dynamic in the Southern U.S. states with college educated voters in the suburbs, especially women, and some Republican women shifting away from Trump.
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