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Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
Keywords: Ohio,
Tags: Current Focus, United States,
This report by Martin in the NYT points out that Ohio no longer plays a critical role in U.S. presidential elections. It was critical for a Bush win over Gore, and president Obama carried it by 2 points against Romney in 2012. It is critical for Trump to win. For Hillary Clinton other states are gaining importance as they better reflect the demographic changes in the U.S. and the mix with minorities- states such as Georgia, N. Carolina, Colorado and Florida. Ohio has not seen an influx of Hispanics as other states, and is now more white, more evangelical voters, and reflects a mix that was prevalent earlier.
The evangelical Christian vote in the U.S. and in states like Ohio in the 2012 U.S. presidential election
09/16/2010
The evangelical Christian vote helped president George W. Bush win Ohio in 2004 by 2 points, countering the Democratic vote in Cuyahoga county around Cleveland. McCain failed to connect with evangelicals in 2008. The evangelicals, and pastors like Jerry Falwell and Billy Graham, the head of the Southern Baptist Convention, and evangelical Christian organizer Ralph Reed are organizing support for Romney in 2012. Obama's support for gay marriage is one issue, another is alienating of Catholic communities in some aspects of Obama legislation. The selection of a conservative Catholc from Wisconsin, Paul Ryan, as running mate is also creating increased fervour among evangelicals.
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Charlie Rose Talks to Paul Ryan
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Bush (43) Shares Spotlight With Bush (41) as Tribute Book Is Published
New York Times 11/11/2014
In Ohio, John Boehner’s GOP Legacy Crumbles With the Rise of Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2016
Misreading the Trump-Evangelicals Link
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2016
Henninger: Romney's Secret Voting Bloc
Wall Street Journal 10/31/2012
Mitt Romney: A New Direction For America
Wall Street Journal 11/02/2012
Regional economies- Toledo, Ohio
11/02/2008
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In Blue-Collar Toledo, Ohio, a Windfall of Chinese Investments
New York Times 12/26/2013
Chrysler's Plans for Jeep Lift Toledo
Wall Street Journal 11/17/2011
In Toledo, the 'Glass City,' New Label: Made in China
Wall Street Journal 08/29/2010
A Splash of Green for the Rust Belt
New York Times 11/02/2008
Toledo Rallies to Remain Jeep’s Home
Wall Street Journal 12/19/2014
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
U.S. Republican 2016 National Convention in Cleveland, Ohio
07/09/2014
Grouped Articles
Republicans Pick Cleveland for 2016 Presidential Convention
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2014
Parties’ Divide on the Economy Widens
Wall Street Journal 11/16/2015
Wall Street Journal 03/23/2016
Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/25/2016
Washington Post 03/30/2016
Washington Post 03/30/2016
Life around a diner in Elyria, Ohio, U.S. - 2012
11/02/2008
Difficulties keeping a diner open in Elyria, Ohio.
Grouped Articles
Cities Adapt With Mixed Results
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
A Splash of Green for the Rust Belt
New York Times 11/02/2008
In Ohio, John Boehner’s GOP Legacy Crumbles With the Rise of Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2016
This Land: With a New Menu and a Makeover, a Pledge to Keep Going
New York Times 10/17/2012
Romney Team Goes All-Out in Buckeye State
Wall Street Journal 10/26/2012
In Ohio, 2 Campaigns Offer a Study in Contrasts
New York Times 11/03/2012
Donald Trump and traditional Democrats voting in open Republican primaries
03/26/2016
A NYT report shows that the support of traditional Democrats in Blue states such as Massachusetts and in the midwest has helped propel Trump to a series of wins in Republican primaries in Jan-March 2016. There is also some correlation with a higher degree of racism, according to this NYT report. This is how Trump was able to combine wins in Mississippi and Massachusetts. Conversely states with higher serious churchgoers such as Utah and Texas have supported Ted Cruz. This theory has exceptions because of John Kasich's win in Ohio, Cruz's win in Maine and his close contest with Trump in Louisiana and Missouri, showing that a number of factors are at work, including Trump's ability to appeal to voter sentiment on issues, the fragmentation of the Republican vote, and the lack of connection with voters on issues of terrorism, security, struggling middle and working class people issues, of the other candidates. The profiles of Trump voters from his rallies show these concerns listed by his supporters.
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Donald Trump’s Secret Weapon: Blue-State Voters
New York Times 03/26/2016
How the G.O.P. Elite Lost Its Voters to Donald Trump
New York Times 03/28/2016
Why Trump Can’t Break the G.O.P.
New York Times 04/02/2016
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
Trump's billionaire cabinet could be the wealthiest administration ever
The Guardian 12/02/2016
Seduced and Betrayed by Donald Trump
The New York Times 12/02/2016
The Trans Pacific Trade Agreement and trade issues dominating midwestern primaries in Michigan, Ohio and Illinois- loss of manufacturing jobs and Hillary Clinton's response
03/09/2016
Hillary Clinton puts more focus on loss of manufacturing jobs and opposition to trade agreements that hurts American workers following her narrow loss to Sanders in the Michigan primary of March 2016. Three fifths of Democratic voters in the Michigan primary saw this as a major issue, especially younger less educated workers who see their job prospects diminish and wages drop. Hillary Clinton has opposed the Trans Pacific Trade Agreement, yet supported this trade policy as part of the Obama administration. She was attacked on this same issue of trade during the primaries against Obama in 2008, at that time for support of Bill Clinton's NAFTA agreement with Mexico.
Grouped Articles
After Michigan Loss, Hillary Clinton Sharpens Message on Jobs and Trade
New York Times 03/09/2016
Trade and Jobs Key to Victory for Bernie Sanders
New York Times 03/09/2016
In Ohio, John Boehner’s GOP Legacy Crumbles With the Rise of Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2016
Simmering for Decades, Anger About Trade Boils Over in ’16 Election
New York Times 03/29/2016
Why Trade Critics Are Getting Traction
Wall Street Journal 03/30/2016
Barack Obama Endorses Hillary Clinton for President
WSJ 06/10/2016
The situation for key states in September 2016 for crossing the 270 Electoral College votes needed for Democrats and Republicans
08/24/2016
Key states are Colorado and Virginia. Republican states Utah, Georgia, and Arizona are up for grabs. Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Florida are states both parties are trying to win. Pennsylvania has a history of voting Democratic. Senator Keane, Democratic Vice Presidential candidate is from Virginia and is popular there. Demographic shifts are improving for Democrats in North Carolina.
Grouped Articles
Donald Trump Faces Narrow Path to White House Victory
WSJ 08/24/2016
Democratic Dream of Two Blue Coasts? Clinton Is in Striking Distance
The New York Times 08/25/2016
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
Republicans Rode Waves of Populism Until They Crashed the Party
WSJ 10/26/2016
U.S. Regional Economies- Ohio
11/02/2008
Grouped Articles
Cities Adapt With Mixed Results
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
A Splash of Green for the Rust Belt
New York Times 11/02/2008
Toledo Rallies to Remain Jeep’s Home
Wall Street Journal 12/19/2014
Ohio economy improving, but residents can’t feel it - The Washington Post
Washington Post 08/08/2012
Incomes Fell or Stagnated in Most States Last Year
Wall Street Journal 09/20/2012
In Ohio, 2 Campaigns Offer a Study in Contrasts
New York Times 11/03/2012
John Kasich, Ohio governor, U.S. presidential candidate for 2016
07/21/2015
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Then There Were 16: John Kasich to Enter GOP Fray
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Meet the Candidate: John Kasich
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John Kasich Enters 2016 Race, Hoping Centrist Appeal Sets Him Apart
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John Kasich Looks to Stand Out From Bigger Names in 2016 Race
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Karl Rove on the 2016 U.S. presidential election and the parallels to the 1896 election
11/20/2015
In his new book on President McKinley, Rove describes the election of 1896 in which McKinley won the election against a populist politician William Jennings Bryan. Rove sees the situation today with large immigration, new technology, and inequality, similiar to the situation McKinley faced. Rove says the continuing weak response of president Obama after Paris attacks provides an opening for Republicans. He also says Hillary Clinton is likely to distance herself from the policies of President Obama on the Middle East as voter opinion shifts after the Paris attacks in Nov. 2015. The 1896 election leads to a landslide for McKinley, who makes Teddy Roosevelt his running mate in 1900 leading to a long period of Republicans in the White House, and the U.S. emerging as a leader in world affairs. McKinley, a two time governor of Ohio fought the 1896 election on the platform of keeping the gold standard, and high tariffs to protect local industry. The electoral map looks the complete opposite of what it is today with the Republicans having the north, midwest and the west, and the Democrats having the Southern states. The foreign policy at the time was about the suppression of the Cuban independence movement by the Spanish, leading to the Spanish-American War and Spain ceding Cuba, Guam and the Philippines to the U.S. The U.S. later found itself suppressing a independence movement in the Philippines.
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Terrorism Becomes a Campaign Issue
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Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity
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How Hillary Clinton Became a Hawk
New York Times 04/21/2016
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
Ohio governor Kasich in the early Republican primaries for the 2016 presidential election
08/13/2015
Grouped Articles
John Kasich’s Appeal to Moderates Gains Traction in New Hampshire
New York Times 08/13/2015
The GOP’s working-class problem - The Washington Post
Washington Post 11/12/2015
Wall Street Journal 12/12/2015
Rivals Look to New Hampshire for a Shot at Breaking Donald Trump’s Stride
New York Times 02/02/2016
In Ohio, John Boehner’s GOP Legacy Crumbles With the Rise of Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2016
Ohio Is John Kasich’s Shot to Become a Lead Republican Contender
New York Times 03/11/2016
The Mahoning Valley in northeastern Ohio, and other parts of Ohio in the U.S. Presidential election of 2012.
11/02/2008
The Mahoning Valley with its auto plants and union voters in northeastern Ohio. Journal reporters talk to voters to gauge the mood of public opinion in a state that is key to the U.S. elections in 2012. They find a mood of pessimism and despondency about the future.
Grouped Articles
Cities Adapt With Mixed Results
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
A Splash of Green for the Rust Belt
New York Times 11/02/2008
Auto Makers Rebound as Buyers Go Big
Wall Street Journal 01/04/2014
Toledo Rallies to Remain Jeep’s Home
Wall Street Journal 12/19/2014
In Ohio, John Boehner’s GOP Legacy Crumbles With the Rise of Donald Trump
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2016
Voter Discontent Deepens Ahead of Obama Jobs Plan
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NAFTA, Trans Pacific Trade Agreement, and free trade- shifting sentiment of the working class in America against trade that leads to loss of manufacturing jobs
03/09/2016
The sentiment against loss of manufacturing jobs as a result of trade agreements and free trade is strongest in midwestern states such as Michigan, Ohio, Illinois, which have seen the loss of manufacturing jobs hurt their economy. Especially hurt are younger less educated workers who see their job prospects diminish and wages drop. Bernie Sanders narrowly won the Michigan primary against Hillary Clinton by bringing up this issue in a barrage of ads.
Grouped Articles
After Michigan Loss, Hillary Clinton Sharpens Message on Jobs and Trade
New York Times 03/09/2016
Trade and Jobs Key to Victory for Bernie Sanders
New York Times 03/09/2016
Simmering for Decades, Anger About Trade Boils Over in ’16 Election
New York Times 03/29/2016
Why Trade Critics Are Getting Traction
Wall Street Journal 03/30/2016
Donald Trump Lays Out Protectionist Views in Trade Speech
WSJ 06/28/2016
Bernie Sanders: Democrats Need to Wake Up
The New York Times 06/28/2016
American Cities- A growing divide in 2012-2013 based on the proportion of college graduates in the population
11/02/2008
Cities like Washington D.C., San Francisco, Raleigh, N.C., have high proportion of college graduates in the population- as high as 40% in Washigton D.C.- with resuliting lower unemployment of about 7.5% or less. Other cities like Dayton and Youngstown in Ohio and Bakersfield, California, have a low proportion of college graduates- 20% in Dayton- and high unemployment of about 10.5%
Grouped Articles
Cities Adapt With Mixed Results
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
New York Times 06/22/2013
Frayed Prospects, Despite a Degree
New York Times 07/19/2013
A Splash of Green for the Rust Belt
New York Times 11/02/2008
The ’1 Percent’ isn’t America’s biggest source of inequality. College is.
Washington Post 05/23/2014
The world economy: Wealth without workers, workers without wealth
Economist 10/06/2014
Lake Erie and high levels of microcystin in drinking water in 2014 for Toledo, Ohio
08/04/2014
Grouped Articles
Behind Toledo’s Water Crisis, a Long-Troubled Lake Erie
New York Times 08/04/2014
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
Regional U.S. Economies- Cleveland, Ohio
11/02/2008
Grouped Articles
Cities Adapt With Mixed Results
Wall Street Journal 09/27/2011
A Splash of Green for the Rust Belt
New York Times 11/02/2008
Ohio, Long a Bellwether, Is Fading on the Electoral Map
The New York Times 09/29/2016
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