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Fall in Oil Prices Poses a Problem for Russia, Iraq and Others

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The calculations of the Saudis, Russia, Iran and Iraq, Venezuela, and other OPEC members as oil prices decline in Oct.-Dec. 2014

10/15/2014

Each side the Saudis, the Russia, and Iran is looking at the drop in oil prices and how much it can absorb using sovereign reserves as lower prices leads to budget deficits in 2015-2016. Russia and Iran face greater problems with western sanctions, and falling currency values exacerbating rising inflation. Other OPEC countries such as Venezuela and Nigeria face a crisis from falling revenues. In the U.S. this will affect shale oil production as less efficient producers shut down plants, with the overall outlook of lower oil prices being positive.

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Fall in Oil Prices Poses a Problem for Russia, Iraq and Others

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The Reserve Fund, Russia's sovereign wealth fund, is now down to $26 billion. This would only cover about half of the 2011 budget deficit. The need for foreign investment to pursue economic growth, meet development needs, and for oil exploration in the Arctic.

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The disastrous policies pursued under president Ahmadinejad led to serious contraction in the economy and decline in crude oil output in 2012-2013. The effort to reverse this under president Rouhani in 2014-2015 with easing of sanctions and improved investor sentiment.

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Oil, Auto Companies Make Plans to Invest in Iran if Sanctions Ease

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