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China Tries to Shut Rising Income Gap

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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Efforts to boost the share of national income that goes to rural households and workers in China. The share of income taken by state owned enteprises and taxes paid by the enterprises would have to change for reducing the gap in incomes and reducing inequality in China.

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Orlik cites a study by a Chinese university which shows 10% of the households has over 80% of the wealth, and over 50% of the households have little or no savings. This suggests that there is not much room to increase consumer spending on education, healthcare, and consumer goods for these households as incomes are too low. This may account for the insecurity felt by a large majority of households about the future. It also shows that rebalancing the global economy would require rebalancing within China, reducing inequality and improving incomes for the middle class to increase consumer spending.

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Wu is not optimistic about the future because he says the crony capitalists and bureaucrats want to get richer and their is a widening income gap and other problems that remain hidden because of the lack of a free media.

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Feldstein says China has the economic problems of inflation, the effects of the large stimulus after the 2008 global financial crisis, and overdependence on exports, under control. The new five year plan gradually shifts the economy towards greater reliance on services and a shift away from export led growth. The smaller stimulus of 2012 is being guided to necessary infrastructure such as power development and towards low income housing. China has still to tackle problems with an aging population and its one-child policy, inequality and corruption in government. These will be challenges facing the new government.

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China's increased health care spending of $16 billion by the central government in each of the years 2009-2011 is clearly inadequate. Over 200 million are uninsured and the health care system jacks up the costs so much with expensive tests and pills that the poor tend to shun hospitals. The current plan puts off government financed health coverage for 90% of the population till 2020.

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'Rebalancing' is the idea that China will consumer more US goods and export less to the US, reducing the lopsided trade imbalance between the two countries. China's government continues its focus on exports and infrastructure in 2009-2011. China's banking system focusses on lending to state-owned companies and the system does not have the attitude, incentives or the mechanisms and experience to increase lending to consumers or small business. Experts say rebalancing is doubtful without serious changes in the banking system and government policy which are not likely.

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Wage increases of 20% at Hon Hai and upto 100% at Honda factories in China from wages that were kept low for the export market, are now the trend in China. The government policy is shifting to encourage such wage increases to promote domestic consumption and reduce an overreliance on export markets for growth. This is happening just as trade tensions are increasing with the USA.

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