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Demand Outlook Places Lid on Oil
Keywords:
Fears that the conflict in Syria might spill over and lead to a conflict with Iran pushed up oil prices. At the same time the new forecast by the International Energy Agency in early August 2012 showing a 20% decrease in demand growth in 2013, as a result of the economic slowdown in the U.S., Europe and China, acted to put a lid on oil price increases. Light sweet crude for September delivery was at $92.87 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange on August 10, 2012, and Brent crude was at $112.95 a barrel on the Intercontinental Exchange.
Oil prices in 2012 expected to be above $100 with higher social spending by Arab countries and threats by Iran
04/19/2011
Forecasts in Dec. 2011 show oil prices remaining above $100 a barrel in 2012. The threat of Iranian retaliation for increased sanctions in the Straits of Hormuz have embedded a $10-$20 premium in oil prices say some experts. Saudia Arabia and other oil states have increased social spending after the democracy protests in the Arab world, and would like to see higher prices to support this spending.
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Efforts in 2011-2012 to build China's strategic petroleum reserve from the existing 100 million barrels- or about 12 days supply- to a much larger reserve, will have an impact on world oil prices. This may push prices to triple digits in 2011-2012, say analysts.
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