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U.S. Car Sales Set Record in 2015

Wall Street Journal Original article ›

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U.S. auto sales including cars and light trucks reached 17.5 million in 2015, a 5.7% increase over 2014. Larger vehicles including pickup tucks and SUV's account for about half of all auto sales in 2015, with gas prices below $2.00 a gallon in Jan 2016 in most parts of the U.S. The average transaction price was up to $34,428, according to Kelley Blue Book. Auto incentives were up to $3063 per vehicle compared to $2809 ten years earlier, according to Kelley Blue Book. Analysts say automakers will reduce margins to subsidize zero interest loans in 2016 to increase sales. Lower sales are forecast after 2017 as the market will have caught up with much of the pent up demand by then. A plus for the automakers is the lower cost of steel and other material costs, and the better cost structures after bankruptcy, and renegotiated lower union pay scales. Additional plus is new management at U.S. automakers and at Toyota, and the technological advances this management is pushing, including fuel efficiency. Ride sharing, and other services developed by Google, are seen as disrupting the traditional car model to a limited extent. Countering this new development are millenials who are accounting for a quarter of Toyota sales in the last quarter of 2015, according to a Toyota executive.

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Japanese automakers have sharply increased incentives to increase sales after the tsunami. This hits U.S. automakers in a double whammy. Ford, GM and Chrysler benefitted from the impact of reduced supply at dealers of Japanese automakers, now they have to deal with a reversal of that situation as well as higher incentives by the Japanese. About 38% of Toyota sales are at zero percent financing in 2012. U.S. automakers are reluctant to go too far down the incentives road as it has hurt them in the past. The result is higher dealer inventories for U.S. automakers in Dec. 2012, another problem that hurt automakers in the past.

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GM Chief: Industry Ill-Placed for Oil Shock

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