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Oil's Rise Threatens Economic Growth
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The International Energy Agency estimates that a price of $100 a barrel would mean U.S. imports of oil at $385 billion, and European Union imports of $375 billion. This is $80 billion in addition spending on oil imports for the U.S. and $76 billion for the E.U., compared to 2010. The impact of a $20 increase in the price of a barrel of oil translates into a 50 cent increase in price per gallon at the gasoline pump. Economic estimates show a drop of 0.5% in GDP growth for the U.S. resulting from such a price increase of $20 per barrel.
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With 2.9 million barrels a day of oil passing through the Suez Canal and the Sumed pipeline, and only 2.5 million barrels a day of global spare capacity, the 3% of oil moving through Egypt does impact oil prices. The demands for democracy and free expression also have an impact across the region in other Arab and African countries, and in China which also has six decades of one-party rule.
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