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Dithering at the Top Turned EU Crisis to Global Threat

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An account by Journal reporters based on over 25 interviews with eurozone policymakers shows how the central players in the eurozone drama acted to defend their national interests during the period April to July 2011. On one side France's president Sarkozy, Frenchman Claude Trichet at the European Central Bank, arguing in favor of the banks not to take bondholder losses or haircuts on loans made to Greece. On the other side the Bundesbanks Axel Weber, and Jens Weidman, Jurgen Stark and German Finance Minister Schauble. The Germans argued strongly for bondholder losses to take responsibility for bad loan decisions by French and German banks. French banks had committed more loans to Greece than German banks and had more at stake. German public opinion was strongly against German taxpayers paying for the losses, making German politicians insistent that European banks take losses on their bad loan decisions, or Germany would not support additional loans to Greece. Throughout April to July the two sides were locked in an impasse. The French feared losses for their banks and a Lehman Brothers bankruptcy style situation. The Germans at the Bundesbank and the Finance Ministry were equally insistent. A July 2011 summit meeting did not settle the issue. The events not covered here from the July to the December summit of eurozone leaders resulted in bondholders taking 50% haircut on loans to Greece, reducing the debt burden in Greece after austerity measures led to popular protests. The French pushed hard for the ECB or the EFSF to be allowed to make large purchases of bonds of troubled eurozone countries in an effort to protect Spain and Italy from contagion through higher bond yields. The Netherlands and Finland supported Germany's position. German bankers Weber, Weidman at the Bundesbank and Finance Minister Schauble opposed large scale buying by the ECB of Italy's and Spain's bonds and Chancellor Merkel said about a common eurobond that "this is not going to happen." Governments changed in Greece, Italy, and Spain by Dec. 2011, which committed to austerity programs and spending cuts. Italian Mario Draghi was appointed with German support as new head of the ECB. In late December 2011 Draghi launched the Long Term Financing Operation for lending unlimited amounts at 1% for three year loans to European banks and relaxing the terms to accept government bonds and other debt as collateral for loans. The effect of this was to provide a large infusion of liquidity into the banking system in Europe and drastically bring down the yields on bonds issued by Italy and Spain.

Angela Merkel's handling of the financial crises in eurozone countries

04/29/2010

The German response to the debt crisis in the eurozone and the events in 2011-2012.

Grouped Articles

As Greek Drama Plays Out, Where Is Europe?

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Germany Clears Rescue for Greece

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Merkel Wins Big in German Election

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The ECB and buying of government bonds of troubled eurozone countries

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The purchases of Italian and Spanish bonds by the European Central Bank in addition to its holdings of 75 billion euros of Portuguese, Greek and Irish bonds creates additional balance sheet risk for the ECB. Losses in the value of collateral could wipe out the 10 billion euro capital base of the ECB. The pressing need to give resources and new powers to the European Financial Stability Facility so that this agency could do the bond buying in the place of the ECB.

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German Court to Weigh Bond Buying by E.C.B.

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Bond Buys a Risky Business

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Charles Dallara of the Institute of International Finance's assessment of the Greece and eurozone debt restructuring of July 2011 and the Greece bailout in 2015

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Grouped Articles

Personalities Clashing Over How to Handle New Greek Bailout

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Greek Bailout Negotiator Sees Benefits for Banks

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Some Bailout Providers May One Day Need Help Too

New York Times 07/24/2011

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In Greek Debt Deal, Clear Benefits for the Banks

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The logjam between the bondholders (mostly French and German banks) and the German government- 2010-2012

07/01/2011

The roots of the Eurozone financial crisis go back to the issue of who should pay for the excess lending of French and German banks. Will it be the German taxpayer or the banks that took excessive risks? German financial experts, the German government and parliament, German public opinion, are all adamantly opposed to letting the banks off without sharing at least 50% of the costs of a bailout. A review done by the European Commission in coordination witht he IMF and the ECB, shows that from May 2010 (the date for the inception of the aid program to Greece) to September 2011, $52 billion of the $91 billion loaned to Greece went to pay bondholders for bonds that came due. The July 2011 EU agreement for Greece called for 21% of losses to be allocated to the bondholders. The German government is pushing for 50% and German parlamentary leaders in Merkel's party are balking at anything less.

Grouped Articles

How to Save the Euro

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Most Greek bailout money has gone to pay off bondholders - The Washington Post

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Dexia’s Collapse in Europe Points to Global Risks

New York Times 10/22/2011

European Officials Shaping Greek Rescue and Effort to Aid Banks

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German Bundesbank president Jens Weidmann and views on the ECB's role in the eurozone crisis

04/19/2010

Jens Weidmann is the new president of the German central bank. Weidman sees two views colliding on how to respond to the eurozone crisis. He expresses the view of the Bundesbank about opposition to sovereign bond purchases by the European Central Bank to ease high bond yields for Spain and Italy. This is considered as overstepping the ECB's manadate for price stability. Weidmann is the German member of the ECB's Governing Council.

Grouped Articles

German Court to Weigh Bond Buying by E.C.B.

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Weber Sees Greece Needing More Aid

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Not Quite Checkmate for the Bundesbank

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Germany's Bundesbank Gets a New Inflation-Fighter

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Tensions Rise at EU Summit

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Leaders Grow Further Apart on Solutions

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The resignations of Jurgen Stark and the ECB's purchase of sovereign bonds of Portugal, Italy and Spain

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The resignations of German representatives on the ECB Executive Board, Axel Weber and Jurgen Stark, over ECB purchases of sovereign bonds. Concern about political risk and financial risk and exceeding the ECB's charter. The need for the governments to assume the critical role of far-reaching reforms of the mechanism for decisions and sanctions.

Grouped Articles

German Court to Weigh Bond Buying by E.C.B.

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Europe Bonds May Offer More Value

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Bonds of Italy, Spain Narrow Gap With U.S., German Yields

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As Bond Markets Twist, Investors Shout

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Banker's Exit Rattles Markets

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Stark Walked a Fine Line Between German and EU Monetary Cultures

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John Cochrane and other experts give a no-nonsense view of the bailouts and the financial crises facing Europe

12/02/2010

Insights that the real problem is short term debt financing. The need for the EU to insist on long tem debt financing for governments in Europe. The solution for this crisis is not in bailouts of Greece, Spain, Italy and so on, but to swap the short term debt for debt with longer term maturities, and for bondholders to take a haircut. Similiar to the Brady Plan for Latin America in the late 1980's. The bailout of Ireland in reality not a bailout of Ireland, as a bailout of German and British banks that made risky loans to Irish banks and the Irish government. The U.S. government's debt also tilted to short term debt and problems similar to European problems.

Grouped Articles

EU Dismisses IMF's Criticism On Greek Bailout

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Europe Needs to Apportion Pain

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Dutchman Bob Traa's mid-2009 IMF report on Greece and the warning light on Greece

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Analysts point to the lack of immediate action as the main reason the crisis is spiralling out of control. The IMF report in mid 2009 raised the alarm on Greece's financial situation. One estimate is for bondholders needing to take 85% haircut on loans to Greece, instead of the 50% agreed to under the EU plan in November 2011. The situation has worsened as ECB president Trichet and others in the EU pushed austerity plans on Greece without working out needed serious debt reduction of over half the debt in 2009. The idea of a default in the eurozone was considered unthinkable, leading to errors in judgement by decisionmakers.

Grouped Articles

Greek Debt Crisis: The Back Story

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A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.

New York Times 09/21/2011

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Past Rifts Over Greece Cloud Talks on Rescue

Wall Street Journal 10/07/2013

The twin problems of lack of growth under austerity plans and overvalued currencies of Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal

06/24/2011

The twin problems of lack of growth and overvalued currencies under the solutions of austerity plans without debt reduction and a single euro currency create impossible odds for a resolution of the eurozone financial crisis. Germany's insistence on tough austerity measures, European banks delaying restructuring of bad loans similar to the U.S. Brady plan, failure of politicians in Italy and Greece to take early action, and small steps by policymakers, are compounding the effects of the eurozone crisis.

Grouped Articles

German Election Overturns Political Order

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The 'Silent Austerity' in Banking

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Italy Central Banker Is Open to 'Bad Bank'

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Saying No to Austerity, Spain Unveils Tax Cuts

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Greece and prime minister Papandreou's Nov. 3, 2011 referendum proposal on the euro and austerity plans

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Why Not Give the Greeks Their Say?

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Call for Greek Vote Unsettles Europe

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An account of the events and the role of key players in the eurozone crisis of 2011-2012

05/13/2010

Grouped Articles

No going back

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Dithering at the Top Turned EU Crisis to Global Threat

Wall Street Journal 12/29/2011

Deepening Crisis Over Euro Pits Leader Against Leader

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European Leaders Agree to New Budget Discipline Measures

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Draghi Urges 'Growth Pact'

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E.C.B. Sees a Healing Euro Zone but Warns of Risks

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