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Euro Zone Death Trip

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Krugman is critical of ECB president Trichet's decision to raise interest rates in 2010, because of the way it affects Spain, Italy, and Portugal. Increase in interest rates by the ECB affect the entire eurozone and this means, he points out, that inflation in Germany would be extremely low -about 1% for the next five years- and the result being that inflation would be much lower in debtor countries like Spain. A decrease in interest rates with inflation at 3-4 % in Germany would be better for the debtor countries (Spain, Italy, Portugal, Ireland) as this would enable them to cut prices and costs relative to Germany and other creditor countries. The first step taken by the new ECB president, Mario Draghi, was a small increase in interest rates. Krugman asks if the private demand is affected negatively by the end of a debt financed boom in the debtor countries, and austerity programs reduce any growth in the public sector, then where are the new jobs supposed to come from? A policy that reduces the prices of the products of debtor countries relative to creditor countries like Germany- so that exports can generate necessary growth- is needed says Krugman.

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Higher German inflation would provide a safety valve in the absence of the ability of countries in the eurozone to devalue their currencies to improve competitiveness.

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Euro Zone Death Trip

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In Greece, a Brewer'€s Dream Runs Into Frustration

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Greek Premier Is Tested in Impasse Over Pay Cuts

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The sharp decline in imports and the improvement in exports in Ireland and Spain is providing a ray of hope for the needed rebalancing of economies in Europe. This would not put the entire burden of the rebalancing on falling wages. Greece is an exception because of falling imports and exports as a result of the widespread economic dislocation.

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Ireland Makes Moody's Less Blue

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Economists estimate the lower value of the euro against the dollar and other currencies will boost economc growth in the eurozone by half a percentage point. Ireland, Portugal, Spain and France will benefit from the lower exchange rate for the euro in 2012-2014.

Grouped Articles

Euro Zone Death Trip

New York Times 09/25/2011

After a Recession in Portugal, the Tiny Green Fruits of Success

New York Times 08/28/2013

Euro Displays Uncommon Strength

Wall Street Journal 12/06/2013

Weak Export Growth Raises Prospect of Currency Moves

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Dollar Surges to 11-Year High Against Biggest Rivals

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Weaker Euro Ripples Around World

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Grouped Articles

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Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal

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After a Recession in Portugal, the Tiny Green Fruits of Success

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Portugal's Shoemakers Bet on Quality

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Buoyed by Exports, Portugal Chooses Clean Exit From Bailout

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Portugal on Road to Recovery Post-Bailout, But Scars Remain

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Krugman on the economy in Spain and Italy

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Grouped Articles

How Righteousness Killed the World Economy

New York Times 10/12/2014

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Culture Built on Family Firms Tests Italy's Plan for Growth

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Election Is Unlikely to Cure Spain's Pain

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Spanish Vote Heralds More Austerity

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