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Heavy Is the Crown for China's Land Kings
Keywords:
Average land prices in China in October 2011 are down 40% from the peak in Sept. 2009, when real estate companies purchased large amounts of land. This means large losses for companies that bought when prices peaked. When this happened in 2008 companies were rescued by the large Stimulus by the Chinese government. It is uncertain what will happen this time as a similiar Stimulus effort is not expected. Prices nationwide for residential land were down 8% in October from the prior year, and transaction volumes were down 37%, according to property firm Soufun. In October and November 2011, land auctions at a number of major cities in China failed, with either no bidders or low bids. According to CLSA property analysts, China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd. and Longfor Group have reduced prices of homes by 20% -25% for projects in Shanghai.
China's real estate bubble and risks of a hard landing in 2012-2014
01/14/2010
Decline in housing prices in China and the impact on retail sales and the economy.
Grouped Articles
Global property markets: Boom and gloom
Economist 05/27/2013
China’s Economic Problems Unlike Those Elsewhere
New York Times 05/28/2013
Buyers Dodge Homeowner Limits in China
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Growing Risks for the Chinese Economy going into 2010-2014
01/14/2010
One is a concern that China may like Japan in the 1980's is getting into a property and asset price bubble after aperiod of rapid industrialization and shifting of rural population to the cities. The risks of an overheating economy were growing with a 22% jump in a broad measure of money supply in March 2010.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
Economist 01/14/2010
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Fear Pervades China's Stocks As Market's Gains Disappear
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2010
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
Real estate speculation and land prices in China 2011-2014
09/26/2011
Grouped Articles
Global property markets: Boom and gloom
Economist 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 09/26/2011
Hard to Construct a Case for China Property Rebuild
Wall Street Journal 04/04/2014
Heavy Is the Crown for China's Land Kings
Wall Street Journal 11/25/2011
Land Dispute in China Town Sparks Revolt
Wall Street Journal 12/15/2011
New York Times 12/18/2011
China- inflation, the currency, and economic mismanagement, the situation in 2010-2012
01/07/2010
Efforts to strengthen the currency are being resisted by export interests. Inflation is hurting consumers who are limited to earning 2.75% interest on savings, with the interest rate spread designed to help banks earn their way through bad loans made during the stimulus lending binge. A massive reallocation of resources away from consumers and towards lending to state-owned companies which create overcapacity in industries and engage in real estate speculation. Far from rebalancing the world economy this will affect internal growth in China.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
China Inflation Rises to a 19-Month High
New York Times 06/11/2010
Wall Street Journal 09/04/2010
An Accord (and Lessons) to Remember
Wall Street Journal 09/21/2010
World Bank Deletes Critical Passage on China
Wall Street Journal 07/05/2015
New York Times 01/20/2011
China's difficult political-economic choices in the post 2010 period.
01/06/2008
The difficult choices in the new environment- transition to a new leadership, how to change the export model without serious disruptions, how to deal with western demands for balanced global growth, dealing with the inequality and corruption generated in the kind of growth China experienced (by the fiat of the State), opening up freedom of expression to curb corruption and to provide representation for hitherto blocked out voices, transition to freedom of expression and democratic processes without serious disruption to thegrowth needed for employment and improvements in the standard of living across all parts of society and regions, reducing or channelling to constructive ends prevailing nationalistic, anti-western or anti-Japanese sentiment. The new leadership of Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang is expected to be more outward looking than than of Hu Jintao and Wen Biao and comes at atime when China needs to make some difficult choices about future direction.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2013
The Slowing of Two Economic Giants
New York Times 07/14/2013
Wall Street Journal 07/15/2013
How China Lost Its Mojo: One Town's Story
Wall Street Journal 09/16/2013
Chinaâs Economy, Back on Track
New York Times 10/04/2013
Xia Yeliang: The China Americans Don't See
Wall Street Journal 10/26/2013
Off-balance sheet shadow lending by Chinese banks.
01/12/2010
Even after the efforts to restrain lending in 2010 in China following heightened stimulus lending in 2009, the level of bank lending has exceeded 10.5 trillion yuan and is at the same level as 2009. This includes the lending through trusts and other mechanisms according to Fitch Ratings. This explains the inflationary pressures and property bubble.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
Housing prices in China- 2010-2014
01/21/2010
Grouped Articles
China’s Economic Problems Unlike Those Elsewhere
New York Times 05/28/2013
Buyers Dodge Homeowner Limits in China
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
In China, Sobering Signs of Slower Growth
New York Times 03/05/2012
China's property market: Protecting the middle class
Economist 02/05/2011
Beijing Directs More Funds Toward Affordable Housing
Wall Street Journal 03/10/2011
China: Subsidized, Not Subprime
Wall Street Journal 03/26/2011
China's banking system in 2010-2015
01/12/2010
The effects of the stimulus spending binge and speculative behaviours of local governments and state owned companies, on the loans made by state owned banks.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
China imbalances in runaway growth-corruption, pollution, overbuilding, misallocation
06/27/2005
Grouped Articles
Pollution Is Radically Changing Childhood in Chinaâs Cities
New York Times 04/22/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2013
Air Pollution From Coal Use Cuts Lifespans in China, Study Shows
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2013
New York Times 07/30/2013
Bo Trial Gives Insight Into Life of Top Officials
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
Industrial use of agricultural land and pressure on agricultural production in China
04/28/2011
Till 1995 China was self sufficient in soyabeans. Now it imports 57 million tons of soyabeans. Increasing imports from China are increasing pressure on grain prices.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 09/26/2011
Chinaâs Great Uprooting: Moving 250 Million Into Cities
New York Times 06/15/2013
Beijing to Make It Easier to Bet the Farm
Wall Street Journal 11/22/2013
BusinessWeek 04/28/2011
China's Hunger for Corn Turns Market on Ear
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2011
China's Food-Price Indigestion
Wall Street Journal 09/22/2011
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