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Return of the Nervous Weekend
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Mohamed El-Erian, CEO of PIMCO, on the European crisis. Things he says to watch, whether the Greece problem is treated for what it is, which is a solvency not a liquidity problem. The current solution he says relies too much on fiscal cuts which can end up worsening the recession, and keeps Greece under a cloud that will further reduce new investment and lead to drops in GDP, and the increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio for Greece is likely. He calls defending Greece's high debt not something that can be defended with the actions taken to date. Other things to watch are whether ways can be found to limit the damage for European growth and the world economy, and whether serious steps can be taken to limit market swings that are a result of investors again overleveraging themselves. See other expert opinions Shiller, Grantham, Roubini. As in earlier comments he sees slower growth ahead.
Anticipating problems in the Global Economy and Stock markets- 2007-2012
01/04/2007
What problems could be anticipated in the global economy and stock markets, USA, Europe and Asia?
Grouped Articles
E.U. Predicts Anemic Growth and High Unemployment in 2014
New York Times 11/05/2013
Economist 01/04/2007
Beware the Crisis around the corner
Financial Times 01/04/2010
Beware a Bernanke-Fueled Market Bubble
BusinessWeek 05/13/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Debt, Bank Troubles Leave U.S. Trailing in Job Growth
Wall Street Journal 07/10/2010
The American economy in 2010-2012: Looking ahead the risks and possibilities.
10/01/2009
Housing, hiring, the strength of the stimulus and capital spending will determine what 2010-2012 looks like for the U.S. economy.
Grouped Articles
Michelin Issues Cautious Outlook
Wall Street Journal 10/01/2009
2010 Looks 'Highly Uncertain,' Zoellick Says
Wall Street Journal 10/02/2009
Economist 10/01/2009
Economist 10/01/2009
Economist 10/01/2009
Hiring, Business Investment and Other Big Variables That Will Drive 2010 Economy
Wall Street Journal 12/28/2009
Expert opinion on what the financial crisis of 2008 means for Europe and the USA.
10/01/2009
The Econmist's Simon Nixon and other experts present their conclusions about what is likely to follow the biggest financiall crisis since the great depression. 25 million jobs will be lost before all this is over in the 30 rich countries of the OECD.
Grouped Articles
Economist 10/01/2009
Economist 10/01/2009
Economist 10/01/2009
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Financial Crisis Was Avoidable, Inquiry Concludes
New York Times 01/25/2011
Long-term understanding of the U.S. economic crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/19/2012
Robert Shiller and risks in America's future.
03/02/2008
Grouped Articles
Robert Shiller: A Skeptic and a Nobel Winner
New York Times 10/19/2013
15 Economists Issue Crisis-Prevention Manual
New York Times 06/15/2010
How to Fix the Economy: An Expert Panel
BusinessWeek 09/16/2010
How a Bubble Stayed Under the Radar
New York Times 03/02/2008
Crisis Averted. What of the Next One?
New York Times 08/10/2008
To Build Confidence, Aim for Full Employment
New York Times 12/14/2008
Simon Johnson and other experts on the debt crisis in Europe.
04/15/2010
Simon Johnson, Peter Boone and other experts unravel the debt crisis in Greece and in other European countries to give a lucid explanation of what happened and what to expect.
Grouped Articles
New York Times 04/29/2010
Greece, the Latest and Greatest Bubble.
New York Times 04/29/2010
As Greek Drama Plays Out, Where Is Europe?
New York Times 04/29/2010
New York Times 04/30/2010
BusinessWeek 04/15/2010
Economist 04/29/2010
Growing Risks for the U.S. Economy in 2010-2012.
01/04/2010
Risks of another hit from losses on home equity loans to bank balance sheets in latter part of 2010. The situation with local and state governments in the USA cutting back significantly. The situation in Europe and an overheating Chinese economy.
Grouped Articles
The Home-Equity Hurt Ahead for Banks
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Beware a Bernanke-Fueled Market Bubble
BusinessWeek 05/13/2010
Don't Rule Out a Double Dip Recession
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
BusinessWeek 06/03/2010
Wall Street Journal 06/12/2010
Italy and the financial crisis contagion effect from Greece.
05/14/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Italy's Shot of Southern Discomfort
Wall Street Journal 06/03/2010
Wall Street Journal 12/02/2010
New Rescue Package for Greece Takes Shape
New York Times 05/31/2011
Italy the economy: For ever espresso
Economist 06/11/2011
German reaction to the debt crisis in Greece, Portugal, Spain and Italy.
04/09/2009
Germany said to be turning nationalistic in this crisis, seeing Germany's economic successes as its own, and not accepting the advantage of export markets in Europe in strengthening Germany's economic position.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2010
New York Times 11/03/2013
Germany's Surplus Isn't the Problem
Wall Street Journal 11/11/2013
How Italy's ENI Vastly Boosted Oil Output
BusinessWeek 04/09/2009
Greek Crisis Shows How Germany’s Power Polarizes Europe
Wall Street Journal 07/07/2015
New York Times 05/26/2010
Nouriel Roubini, the man the European Central Bank calls to know whats around the next corner.
01/24/2008
Nouriel Roubini, global nomad, thinking in ways outside of the ordinary and outside of the typical in the economics profession, studied under Jeffrey Sachs and worked with Shiller at Yale. He has his own blog and since 2005 has predicted just the kind of crisis in the economy we are facing.
Grouped Articles
New York Times 08/17/2008
The Real Mandate Is to Bridge the Wealth Gap
New York Times 11/09/2008
Treasury’s Got Bill Gross on Speed Dial
New York Times 06/21/2009
How the Fed Can Avoid the Next Bubble
Wall Street Journal 10/06/2009
Experts See Another Global Dip Ahead
Wall Street Journal 01/28/2010
Fear of a Double Dip Could Cause One
New York Times 05/14/2010
European Union Economic Recovery Plan
10/23/2009
Stimulus spending in the E.U.
Grouped Articles
In Saving Jobs, Mixed Efforts in E.U.
New York Times 10/23/2009
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Charlemagne: Germany’s euro question
Economist 09/10/2011
In Europe, new fears of German might - The Washington Post
Washington Post 10/23/2011
New York Times 01/11/2010
Greece, debt and the new austerity budgets 2011-2013
12/10/2009
Grouped Articles
Greek Draft Budget Sees Primary Surplus, Return to Growth
Wall Street Journal 10/14/2013
Greek Patience With Austerity Nears Its Limit
New York Times 12/29/2014
Greece’s new prime minister wants Germany to pay for Nazi war crimes - The Washington Post
Washington Post 01/26/2015
Greece Wanted to Reframe Europe’s Austerity Debate. It Failed.
New York Times 07/01/2015
Mirage of Economic Turnaround Masked New Greek Crisis in the Making
Wall Street Journal 07/05/2015
Greece: Austerity Budget Passed
New York Times 12/25/2009
Wall Street and the debt crisis in Greece.
02/10/2010
Grouped Articles
Wall St. Helped to Mask Debt Fueling Europe’s Crisis
New York Times 02/14/2010
Greece: How the Bond Vigilantes Left It in Ruins
BusinessWeek 02/10/2010
Wall Street Journal 03/03/2010
Strange Encounter: The IMF and Athens
BusinessWeek 04/22/2010
Euro Rises After I.M.F. Increases Aid Pledge to Greece
New York Times 04/29/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
The debt crisis that Portugal faces, after the crisis in Greece.
04/30/2010
Greece and Portugal are in much riskier shape than Argentina was when it defaulted in 2001, argues Simon Johnson.
Grouped Articles
Portugal Returns to Bond Market
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal
Wall Street Journal 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 02/11/2014
Greece Defaults on IMF Loan Despite New Push for Bailout Aid
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2015
Greece, Missing I.M.F. Payment, Is Called Effectively in Default
New York Times 06/30/2015
Portugal on Road to Recovery Post-Bailout, But Scars Remain
Wall Street Journal 07/20/2015
The 2010 austerity budget and the European financial crisis affecting Spain.
05/13/2010
The contagion effect affecting Spain after Greece and Portugal similar to the manner in which the Asian financial crisis spread during a prior decade.
Grouped Articles
New Spanish Budget Free of Austerity Measures
New York Times 09/27/2013
Saying No to Austerity, Spain Unveils Tax Cuts
New York Times 06/20/2014
Spain is simply shifting the problem
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2010
Amid Europe's challenges, citizens face lifestyle shifts
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2010
French Cracks Are Showing in Euro-Zone Core
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2010
The European Union and the financial crisis of 2010-2011
05/13/2010
The E.U. and the $1 trillion package to calm the panic in financial markets after the crisis in Greece. Efforts to prevent the contagion effects spreading to Spain and Portugal.
Grouped Articles
New York Times 05/22/2014
Economist 05/13/2010
Don't Rule Out a Double Dip Recession
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2010
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Luxembourg Foots a Big Piece of the Greek Tab
BusinessWeek 05/27/2010
ECB Chief Seeks Tighter Fiscal Union
Wall Street Journal 06/22/2010
El-Erian's sees further problems from Europe and the overleveraged investor in the USA.
05/14/2010
Shiker and El-Erian's views on the risks to gorwth.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2010
Fear of a Double Dip Could Cause One
New York Times 05/14/2010
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