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Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
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Over the last ten years average growth in real per capita income has averaged 1.6%, with declines only in two years of the last twenty years, 2008 with the global financial crisis, and in 1991 a year before President George H.W. Bush lost the election to Clinton. A forecast by Mark Zandl of Moody's Economy.com shows real disposable income per capita is expected to increase by 0.4% by the end of the third quarter of 2010 from a year earlier. This will show up in consumer spending and will weaken the recovery. It is also likely to be reflected in elections in the latter part of 2010.
The shrinking U.S. middle class and what this may mean for consumption in the years ahead.
02/26/2008
If only 1.9 million hourly workers earned more than $20 per hour in April 2008, when the deep downturn that hit in October 2008 had not ocurred and the shift to part time employment and lower auto related wages was just underway, what would the numbers look like by 2010? And what does that mean for consumption? Does it prolong the downturn with demand slow to pick up? What does it mean for exports from China?
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The mood is anti incumbent, generally showing adistrust of government and showing a significant shift towards Republicans among independent voters.
Grouped Articles
Real Disposable Income: Bad News for Democrats?
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