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Is the U.S. Economy Turning Japanese?

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Similiarities with Japan are in the exploding monetary base growth by the Fed, just as bank lending is dropping. And as in post bubble Japan of the 1990's, all of the behaviour says Wood invites legitimate comparisons with Japan. The government has lent, spent or guaranteed about $11 trillion to the financial sector broadly defined, because of letting financial institutions remain "too big to fail," whether Fannie Mae, AIG or Citigroup. None of them have been broken up. And this is similiar to the lack of bank cleanup in Japan with regulatory forbearance for years after the bubble. He thinks there is evidence that America is already in a Japanese style "liquidity trap."

The lack of action in the "too big to fail" and systemically important financial institutions area one year into the Obama administration.

04/21/2009

Regulatory reform proposals and other actions taken in the first 6 months still leave many banking and financial nstitutions that are too big to fail. Consolidations of banks have actually increasd their size. The dangers in additional bailout assistance if banks suffer huge losses.

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Volcker in the USA and Mervyn King in England both agree that speculative and utility banking should be separated, and too big to fail banks broken up. Regulation to prevent a future banking crisis they agree is something of an illusion.

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Allan Melzer was co-founder an co-chairman of the Shadow Open Market Committee for over two decades, advisor to Presidents Kennedy and Reagan, and one of the foremost experts on the Federal Reserve System. He calls for the U.S. Federal Reserve to adopt an early exit strategy from loose monetary policies.

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Is the U.S. Economy Turning Japanese?

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Liquidity Trap in Japan and the U.S.

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With the demand curve for money horizontal further increases in the money supply do little to lower interest rates, or as in the current situation where the interest rates in the US are virtually at zero so that further increases in the money supply do little to stimulate the economy. As unemployment is growing and the financial sector weak, Bernanke and the Fed see other ways in which quantitative easing helps a recovery. Here Chritopher Woods compares today's situation in America to that of postbubble Japan. He says America is already in a liquidity trap. And the regulatory forbearance to cleanup the banking mess is similiar to that in postbubble Japan when it took the government years to get up the will and strength to straighten out the mess including breaking up the banks that are too big to fail.

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Is the U.S. Economy Turning Japanese?

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