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The U.S. unemployment rate and the long term unemployed dropping out of the labor market (2)- 2011-2013
12/12/2011
Ezra Klein points out that the real unemployment rate in November 2011 was 11%- when taking into account the long term unemployed dropping out of the labor market- not about 9%.
Linked Articles
Piecing Together the Job-Picture Puzzle
Wall Street Journal 03/12/2012
Wonkbook: The real unemployment rate is 11 percent - The Washington PostWashington Post 12/12/2011
The U.S. unemployment rate and the long term unemployed dropping out of the labor market (1)- 2010-2013
12/10/2011
Harvard labor economist Lawrence Katz says the long term unemployed who are dropping out of the labor market represent one of three job crises facing America. The other two are the effects of manufacturing automation reducing demand for workers in new plants, and the effects of foreclosures and debt.
Linked Articles
Piecing Together the Job-Picture Puzzle
Wall Street Journal 03/12/2012
The Next First (and Only) 100 DaysNew York Times 12/10/2011
Britain, the eurozone crisis and a mood shifting towards Britain's exit from the European Union
12/07/2011
A British mood moving away from the positive engagement its economy needs with its largest trading partner, the other nations of the European Union. A Opinion/Observer poll in Nov. 2012 shows a majority of people in Britain would vote yes on a referendum to leave the European Union.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/22/2012
Britain Suffers as a Bystander to Europe's CrisisNew York Times 12/07/2011
Expert opinion on the problem with German insistence on tough austerity measures in Greece, Italy and Spain and Portugal
11/28/2011
Without economic growth the problems of debt reduction become more difficult to tackle. Austerity measures may lead to shrinking economies in these countries creating larger deficits.
Linked Articles
New York Times 11/28/2011
Europe's Currency Road to NowhereWall Street Journal 11/29/2011
The rising middle class in Mexico with the growth of the economy 2012-2014
11/23/2011
Linked Articles
Mexico’s middle class is becoming its majority - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/18/2012
Mexico Economy Withstands Drug WarWall Street Journal 11/23/2011
The challenges facing Deutsche Bank as it struggles to meet new reserve capital requirements in 2012-2013
11/07/2011
Linked Articles
Deutsche Bank Lists Litany of Legal Risks
Wall Street Journal 03/21/2012
Old Debts Dog Europe's BanksWall Street Journal 11/07/2011
Unsustainable consumer credit booms in Turkey and S. Korea 2010-2013
10/27/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington PostWashington Post 07/09/2012
Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
The household credit boom in Turkey and unsustainable credit to GDP ratios in 2010-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
BusinessWeek 10/27/2011
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Stanford's John Taylor, Yale's Robert Shiller and other experts provide different proposals for U.S. job growth
09/06/2011
Proposals for reducing U.S. unemployment in 2012-2014 from experts with different perspectives of how the U.S. economy functions.
Linked Articles
Long-Term Unemployment Carries Risks for U.S.
New York Times 11/26/2011
Not More of the SameNew York Times 09/06/2011
Reviving the U.S. economy with reduced uncertainty and private investment (1)
09/06/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 09/06/2011
Stimulus and the Depression: The Untold StoryWall Street Journal 09/26/2011
Congressional Budget Office projections and difficult choices facing the U.S. in 2012-2013
08/25/2011
Linked Articles
Deficit Is Again Set to Top $1 Trillion
Wall Street Journal 02/01/2012
Forecast Clouds Debt-Cut OutlookWall Street Journal 08/25/2011
Alan Meltzer and Thomas Hoenig's criticism of Federal Reserve Bank chairman Bernake's failure to look at long term consequences of low rates
08/11/2011
Hoenig points to the Fed's lowered rates in 2003 after the burst of the dot com bubble and higher unemployment of 6.5% in 2003 and Meltzer which led to the mortgage meltdown of 2008. Meltzer points to QE II's $600 billion monetary easing in 2010 which failed to revive the economy or reduce unemployment in 2011. They emphasize the Fed's lack of attention to the long term consequences of their actions. Both question the role of the Fed in creating jobs and see the role of the Fed as a neutral player, as deeper structural changes such as ashift to export driven economy, lower consumption take time and are only delayed by a continuation of old policies.
Linked Articles
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional Wisdom
New York Times 08/13/2011
The Folly of Economic Short-TermismWall Street Journal 08/11/2011
Looking behind the unemployment numbers to better guage unemployment levels in the U.S. in 2011-2013
12/12/2011
Including the long term unemployed who quit working after months of furitless searching gives a better sense of the real level of unemployment in the U.S. Reconciling the Establishment Survey with the Household Survey using the third measure developed by the Labor Department which adjusts for multiple jobs held by one person and self employed farm workers, and adjusting for weather conditions, also helps give a better picture.
Linked Articles
Number of the Week: Did U.S. Actually Shed 195,000 Jobs in July?
Wall Street Journal 08/04/2012
Wonkbook: The real unemployment rate is 11 percent - The Washington PostWashington Post 12/12/2011
Reviving the U.S. economy with reduced uncertainty and private investment (2)
12/10/2011
Linked Articles
George Shultz: Memo to Romney — Expand the Pie
Wall Street Journal 07/14/2012
The Next First (and Only) 100 DaysNew York Times 12/10/2011
The importance of long term bond buyers to restoring confdence in Italian and Spanish government bonds in 2012-2013
12/02/2011
Large institutional buyers such as insurance companies and pension funds have exited the market for Italian and Spanish government bonds creating a great deal of instability in the market and pushing up yields as aresult fo the fear factor. The need for the ECB to take up large scale purchase of bonds to induce these longterm buyers to return to the market and restore a measure of confidence. The June 28 summit authorized the rescue fund, the European Stability Mechanism (ESM or EFSF) to make these purchases, but experts say it has only 248 billion euros and needs to go back to markets for additional funding.
Linked Articles
Return of Long-Term Bond Buyers Seen as Crucial to Europe
New York Times 06/29/2012
A Euro Crisis Deal EmergesWall Street Journal 12/02/2011
Slowing growth, high inflation and lack of foreign investment limit India's growth potential in 2012-2013
11/25/2011
A combination of higher inflation, muddled political leadership that is limiting foreign investment in retail and other sectors, and high energy costs is limiting economic growth in India to annual GDP growth of 7% in 2012-2013
Linked Articles
Stress on Economy Prompts India to Revive Controversial Plans
Wall Street Journal 12/01/2011
With Economy Slowing, the Indian Rupee TumblesNew York Times 11/25/2011
Need for balanced development, less inequality, and a policy shift in China to promote consumption based growth (1)- 2013-2018
11/20/2011
With a change in leadership to Xinping there comes the need for a change in economic policy. The DRC/World Bank Report outlined a new approach. Xuetong, dean at Tsinghua University in Beijing, calls on the leadership to make a shift that would be a first major shift since the opening to free markets in the 1980's
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 10/03/2012
How China Can Defeat AmericaNew York Times 11/20/2011
The growing economy of the U.S. state of N. Dakota
11/02/2011
Linked Articles
North Dakota’s booming economy gives the political dynamic a rarefied air - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/08/2012
Riding the Dakota Oil BoomWall Street Journal 11/02/2011
Declining prospects for emerging markets in 2012-2013.
09/22/2011
Brazil, India, China and Russia face slowing growth in 2012-2013.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Beware Building Up the BRICsWall Street Journal 09/22/2011
S. Korea and unsustainable levels of household debt to disposable income of 155% in 2012-2013
09/21/2011
Linked Articles
S. Korea tries to curb mounting debt and avert a crisis - The Washington Post
Washington Post 07/09/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Risks in emerging markets 2012-2013- Brazil
09/13/2011
A sea of liquidity undermines prospects in emerging markets such as Brazil and Turkey.
Linked Articles
Brazil's Economic Growth Falters
Wall Street Journal 03/07/2012
Dark Side of Brazil's RiseWall Street Journal 09/13/2011
The Romney plan for job creation in the U.S. through private investment in a climate of reduced uncertainty
09/06/2011
A new Romney administration would create 2.3 million jobs in 18 months according to Romney economc advisor Glenn Hubbard.
Linked Articles
Glenn Hubbard: The Romney Plan for Economic Recovery
Wall Street Journal 08/01/2012
Not More of the SameNew York Times 09/06/2011
Mexico's failures in introducing competition in the economy and addressing problems in education that restrict its growth potential 2011-2015
08/27/2011
The need for competition and other private sector involvement in sectors such as oil, telecom, airlines and other sectors, and the reform of labor laws that reduce GDP growth by an estimated 2.5%. The Mexican educational system suffers from a lack of trained teachers and change is blocked by a powerful union leading to poorly educated workers from the public educational system.
Linked Articles
Mexico’s economy: Making the desert bloom
Economist 08/27/2011
Mexico’s failing schools spell defeat for ruling party - The Washington PostWashington Post 06/09/2012
Obama economc advisor Cristina Romer and Kansas City Fed chairman Thomas Hoenig offer different perspectives on the U.S economy
08/13/2011
Different views on the role of the Fed, and the effectiveness or lack of effectiveness of monetary policy to create jobs. Romer and Krugman cite depression era events in 1933 and 1937 when the economy alternated between recovery and a pullback, Meltzer and Hoenig cite the bubbles that developed from loose monetary policy and say the Fed can't create jobs.
Linked Articles
From World War II, Economic Lessons for Today
New York Times 08/13/2011
Kansas City Fed President Defies Conventional WisdomNew York Times 08/13/2011
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