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A Euro Crisis Deal Emerges

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Mario Draghi faces his first test as head of the European Central Bank as Italian bond yields approach 8%. Draghi has limited purchases of bonds of troubled EU countries to 5-10 billion euros each week. This has been sufficient to keep Italian bond yields from going out of control, but high enough to keep pressure on governments in Italy, Spain, Portugal and Greece to make necessary changes. France, Germany and other countries in the EU are working on new rules for making strict budget discipline legally binding, with enforcement sanctions by a EU budgetary authority. Germany is pushing for the new rules. France's Sarkozy with a legacy of Gaullist reluctance to surrender sovereignty in such matters had resisted such calls in the past, but is moving in the direction of convergence of fiscal policies as the only way to preserve the euro currency and the EU idea alive. Draghi is taking a flexible stance on inflation and lowering rates compared to his predecessor, Trichet. He sees signs of slowing manufacturing activity and credit tightening in Europe as signs that inflation will come down from above 3% to something closer to the 3% target set by the ECB. Economists expect him to lower interest rates for the eurozone to 1% from 1.25%, when the ECB meets in a week. The manufacturing purchasing manager's index went down to 46.4 in November, below the breakeven point of 50, which signals a contraction. Output and orders were down across all of Europe, including Germany. Economists say Draghi has left open the possibility of larger bond purchases if the new rules are made legally binding on eurozone members.

Mario Draghi, head of the ECB, and the eurozone crisis with Italian bond yields approaching 8% in Dec. 2011

11/10/2011

Draghi addresses the issue of large scale purchases of bonds of Italy and Spain to ease pressure on bond yields, by leaving open the possibility of action if the EU countries take the necessary steps for a strict budgetary framework.

Grouped Articles

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Grouped Articles

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Bailout of First Resort

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Amid crisis, Italy confronts a culture of tax evasion - The Washington Post

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The ECB and buying of government bonds of troubled eurozone countries

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The purchases of Italian and Spanish bonds by the European Central Bank in addition to its holdings of 75 billion euros of Portuguese, Greek and Irish bonds creates additional balance sheet risk for the ECB. Losses in the value of collateral could wipe out the 10 billion euro capital base of the ECB. The pressing need to give resources and new powers to the European Financial Stability Facility so that this agency could do the bond buying in the place of the ECB.

Grouped Articles

German Court to Weigh Bond Buying by E.C.B.

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The resignations of Jurgen Stark and the ECB's purchase of sovereign bonds of Portugal, Italy and Spain

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The resignations of German representatives on the ECB Executive Board, Axel Weber and Jurgen Stark, over ECB purchases of sovereign bonds. Concern about political risk and financial risk and exceeding the ECB's charter. The need for the governments to assume the critical role of far-reaching reforms of the mechanism for decisions and sanctions.

Grouped Articles

German Court to Weigh Bond Buying by E.C.B.

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Extension of the dollar-lending program beyond August 2, 2011 by the Fed as the eurozone faces the crisis in Greece.

Grouped Articles

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France's Finance Minister Lagarde on the discipline and coordination needed for the euro to work.

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This discipline and tight fiscal coordination would be imposed on eurozone countries as part of the effort to make the euro experiment work. Lagarde is interviewed by Carney and Jolis of the WSJ.

Grouped Articles

Europe's Original Sin

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Sarkozy: Euro Too Strong

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Europe’s Odd Couple: Sarkozy and Merkel

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