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Portugal Needs the Luck of the Irish
Keywords:
Ireland and Portugal both have debt to GDP ratios of more than 100%. Still Ireland is better positioned to weather the eurozone crisis. Foreign investment attracted by low taxes and an educated labor force gives Ireland signficant advantages to return to growth. Citigroup forecasts show a 5.5% decline in GDP for Portugal in 2012, and large probabilities that the deficit will overshoot. Ireland expects 0.5% growth in 2012. Ireland's exports are 60% of GDP, compared to 24% for Portugal. Yields on Portuguese bonds due 2020 are at 13%, compared to less than 7% for Ireland. But funding Portugal through the end of 2015 is expected to cost 40 billion euros, according to Capital Economics estimates, or only 0.4% of eurozone GDP, making the problem in Portugal very manageable for the EU.
Portugal- economy in 2010-2015
10/23/2010
Grouped Articles
Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal
Wall Street Journal 05/27/2013
Portugalâs President Calls for Early Elections
New York Times 07/11/2013
Portugal Emerges From Recession
Wall Street Journal 08/15/2013
After a Recession in Portugal, the Tiny Green Fruits of Success
New York Times 08/28/2013
Portugal Unveils Toughest Austerity Budget Yet
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2013
Portugal's public finances: The apology of Sócrates
Economist 10/23/2010
Portugal's austerity measures and the financial crisis 2010-2015
09/27/2010
Collapse of the government in Portugal in 2011, after failing to win support for further austerity measures.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/03/2013
Portugal Returns to Bond Market
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Portugal Plans Cuts in Spending
Wall Street Journal 05/30/2013
Portugal's Government Thrust Into Turmoil
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
Lisbon Cabinet Shuffle Buoys Junior Coalition Party Leader
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Portugalâs President Calls for Early Elections
New York Times 07/11/2013
The loan deal Portugal negotiated with the EU and the IMF in May 2011.
09/27/2010
The terms of the loan deal and the problems negotiators faced in coming up with a deal that will give Portugal the breathing space to it needs. The economy is expected to contract 2% in 2011, and 2% in 2012. As a result the defict as a percentage of GDP target of 3% was set for the third year in the three year program, instead of earlier as originally planned. The IMF loan interest rate was set at 3.25% for the first 2 years. Portugal's weakness in competitiveness and in its educational system means Portugal badly needs this breathing space.
Grouped Articles
Portugal's Government Thrust Into Turmoil
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
Lisbon Cabinet Shuffle Buoys Junior Coalition Party Leader
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Portugalâs President Calls for Early Elections
New York Times 07/11/2013
Portugal Unveils Toughest Austerity Budget Yet
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2013
Economic Report Supports Socialistsâ Policy in Portugal
New York Times 09/27/2010
Portugal's public finances: The apology of Sócrates
Economist 10/23/2010
The twin problems of lack of growth under austerity plans and overvalued currencies of Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal
06/24/2011
The twin problems of lack of growth and overvalued currencies under the solutions of austerity plans without debt reduction and a single euro currency create impossible odds for a resolution of the eurozone financial crisis. Germany's insistence on tough austerity measures, European banks delaying restructuring of bad loans similar to the U.S. Brady plan, failure of politicians in Italy and Greece to take early action, and small steps by policymakers, are compounding the effects of the eurozone crisis.
Grouped Articles
German Election Overturns Political Order
Wall Street Journal 09/23/2013
New York Times 11/03/2013
Germany's Surplus Isn't the Problem
Wall Street Journal 11/11/2013
The 'Silent Austerity' in Banking
Wall Street Journal 01/21/2014
Italy Central Banker Is Open to 'Bad Bank'
Wall Street Journal 02/10/2014
Saying No to Austerity, Spain Unveils Tax Cuts
New York Times 06/20/2014
EU's bailout of Ireland
11/17/2010
Grouped Articles
In Ireland, Hope of Retroactive Relief
Wall Street Journal 06/29/2012
Greece Gets New Bailout as U.S. Nears Brink
Wall Street Journal 07/22/2011
Ireland's Bailout Balancing Act
Wall Street Journal 11/23/2010
Irish government, seeking bailout, unveils $20 billion in spending cuts, taxes
Washington Post 11/24/2010
BusinessWeek 11/17/2010
EU Outlines Bond Restructuring Plan
Wall Street Journal 11/28/2010
Ireland and its low corporate tax rate of 12.5% in the E.U. bailout negotiations
01/08/2009
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 05/22/2013
New York Times 05/23/2013
Ireland to Phase Out ‘Double Irish’ Tax Break Used by Tech Giants
New York Times 10/14/2014
Battered Ireland Clings to Its Low Taxes
BusinessWeek 11/24/2010
Portugal Needs the Luck of the Irish
Wall Street Journal 02/29/2012
Ireland becomes a test for E.U. crisis remedy - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/01/2012
The economy of Ireland in 2011-2013
01/08/2009
Grouped Articles
In Ireland, Hope of Retroactive Relief
Wall Street Journal 06/29/2012
The New Generation Leaving Ireland
BusinessWeek 02/11/2010
Ireland Makes Moody's Less Blue
Wall Street Journal 09/23/2013
Setting Pace, Ireland Predicts December Exit From Bailout
New York Times 10/13/2013
Ireland Faces Seventh Year of Austerity
Wall Street Journal 10/16/2013
Hardships Linger for a Mending Ireland
New York Times 12/11/2013
Portugal- government debt, ratings and borrowing costs
10/23/2010
Grouped Articles
Ratings Gag Is No Joking Matter
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2011
Return of Long-Term Bond Buyers Seen as Crucial to Europe
New York Times 06/29/2012
Greece Gets New Bailout as U.S. Nears Brink
Wall Street Journal 07/22/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/07/2013
Portugal Returns to Bond Market
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Portugal's Government Thrust Into Turmoil
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
The debt crisis that Portugal faces, after the crisis in Greece.
04/30/2010
Greece and Portugal are in much riskier shape than Argentina was when it defaulted in 2001, argues Simon Johnson.
Grouped Articles
Portugal Returns to Bond Market
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal
Wall Street Journal 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 02/11/2014
Greece Defaults on IMF Loan Despite New Push for Bailout Aid
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2015
Greece, Missing I.M.F. Payment, Is Called Effectively in Default
New York Times 06/30/2015
Portugal on Road to Recovery Post-Bailout, But Scars Remain
Wall Street Journal 07/20/2015
The focus on competitiveness by economists, credit ratings agencies, and European leaders as austerity measures alone won't work
02/05/2011
Mario Monti focusses on the need for investing in the economy in an interview with German newspaper Die Welt during a January 2011 visit to Berlin. S&P economists and Nobel winner Stiglitz also emphasize this after a downgrade of France's credit rating- the need for improved competitiveness for the economies of France, Spain Portugal and Italy.
Grouped Articles
New York Times 09/25/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/29/2013
The Next First (and Only) 100 Days
New York Times 12/10/2011
A Proud Nation Ponders How to Halt Its Slow Decline
New York Times 08/24/2013
After a Recession in Portugal, the Tiny Green Fruits of Success
New York Times 08/28/2013
France Says It Will Miss Budget Deficit Targets
Wall Street Journal 09/12/2013
Why Portugal is different from Greece in 2012-2013, and yet may find its debt unsustainable as the economy shrinks- the situation in 2012-2013
04/30/2010
Portugal is taking vigorous steps without social unrest, including spending cuts that will stabilize the deficit, labor reform, and increasing exports through trading links to Africa and Latin America. Portugal needs to borrow about 10 billion euros in 2012 and the ratings downgrade has hurt Portugal by raising rates on new borrowing to about 20%. The economy is expected to shrink by 3% in 2012.
Grouped Articles
Ratings Gag Is No Joking Matter
Wall Street Journal 07/12/2011
Greece Gets New Bailout as U.S. Nears Brink
Wall Street Journal 07/22/2011
Portugal Returns to Bond Market
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal
Wall Street Journal 05/27/2013
The Next Global Problem: Portugal
New York Times 04/30/2010
Portugal Emerges From Recession
Wall Street Journal 08/15/2013
How Greece's and Ireland's debt crisis affects Germany, France, Portugal and Spain.
04/28/2010
German banks have large holdings of Greek bonds, and much larger holdings of bonds from the crisis affected countries of Greece, Portugal, Spain and Ireland.
Grouped Articles
Already Holding Junk, Germany Hesitates
New York Times 04/28/2010
Euro Rises After I.M.F. Increases Aid Pledge to Greece
New York Times 04/29/2010
As Greek Drama Plays Out, Where Is Europe?
New York Times 04/29/2010
Europe Acts Swiftly on Long-Delayed Greek Bailout
New York Times 04/29/2010
The Next Global Problem: Portugal
New York Times 04/30/2010
Portugal to cut wages, raise taxes
Wall Street Journal 05/14/2010
Similarities between the experience of Argentina in 2001 and the experience of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain in 2010-2012
12/09/2010
The financial crisis in the euro-zone and a similar situation that prevailed in Argentina in 2001. Experts from that period are convinced that euro-zone bondholders will have to accept securities offering less interest and maturing over a longer period.
Grouped Articles
Greek Government Bonds Pay Off Big for Fund Managers
Wall Street Journal 10/28/2013
Argentine Farmers Reap Discontent
Wall Street Journal 05/29/2014
What Greece Faces if It Defaults
New York Times 04/29/2015
If Greece Defaults, Imagine Argentina, but Much Worse
New York Times 06/25/2015
The Argentina Veterans Eye the Euro Warily
BusinessWeek 12/09/2010
Government debt: Behold 2011, the year of sovereign shocks
Economist 12/18/2010
Xi Jinping's visit to Ireland
02/20/2012
An unusual visit to Ireland and a dairy farm in the country by Jinping. Xi showed keen interest in how Ireland was able to attract many pharmaceutical and computer companies to build manufacturing operations there. Ireland takes on the presidency of the EU in 2013.
Grouped Articles
Ireland Hails Xi's Visit as a Vote of Confidence
Wall Street Journal 02/20/2012
Is China's Next CEO Good for Business?
Wall Street Journal 02/21/2012
Wall Street Journal 02/23/2012
State-Run Firms Are the Giants of China's Economy
Wall Street Journal 02/23/2012
China Urged to Continue Reforms for Growth
New York Times 02/23/2012
Canada's Carney, Ahead of G-20, Presses China and Europe to Step Up
Wall Street Journal 02/25/2012
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