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Government debt: Behold 2011, the year of sovereign shocks

Economist Original article ›

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Rising bond yields for the bonds of Germany, USA and Spain are seen for 2011. The absence of solutions for deficit reduction after the passing of Bush tax cuts in the US, and the debt crisis in Europe, create a situation with the potential for sovereign shocks in 2011.

Need to roll over short term debt of close to $4 trillion will limit growth in the U.S. and Europe.

07/11/2010

A trend to short term borrowing and the competing role of banks and sovereign governments in bond issuance, is likely to put additional stress on capital markets worldwide. This is true especially in Europe which has $2.6 trillion to roll over by 2012, according to analysts. The stress will ber greater on less healthy financial institutions in Europe.

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The financial crisis in the euro-zone and a similar situation that prevailed in Argentina in 2001. Experts from that period are convinced that euro-zone bondholders will have to accept securities offering less interest and maturing over a longer period.

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The Argentina Veterans Eye the Euro Warily

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Government debt: Behold 2011, the year of sovereign shocks

Economist 12/18/2010


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