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Portugal's Government Thrust Into Turmoil
Keywords:
Portugal's foreign minister, Paulo Portas, resigns in protest against continuity of austerity measures signalled by the selection of Ms. Albuquerque as the new finance minister. Portas's party is part of the coalition of centre right parties in the administration of prime minister, Pedro Passos Coelho. Cuts in public employee pay and spending on health and education, income and sales tax increases, have cut the deficit to 6.4% of GDP by 2013 from about 10% in 2010. The cost of this is an economy that is shrinking more than expected- by 4.8% in 2011 and 2012, and an additional 2.3% in 2013. Unemployment exceeds 17% in 2013. The loan terms negotiated for the 78 billion euro bailout with the IMF and E.U. in 2010, were renegotiated so that the 3% of GDP target for the deficit for 2013 was relaxed to 5.5%. Portas's party and other leaders are calling for a further renegotiation to take into account the economic conditions in Portugal and boost growth. Portas's party opposed the effort to cut labor costs of companies with a large increase in worker social security contributions, a measure seen as counterproductive even by business leaders that was later dropped. In financial markets the 10 year Portugal bond yield increased 0.22% to 6.615%.
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The terms of the loan deal and the problems negotiators faced in coming up with a deal that will give Portugal the breathing space to it needs. The economy is expected to contract 2% in 2011, and 2% in 2012. As a result the defict as a percentage of GDP target of 3% was set for the third year in the three year program, instead of earlier as originally planned. The IMF loan interest rate was set at 3.25% for the first 2 years. Portugal's weakness in competitiveness and in its educational system means Portugal badly needs this breathing space.
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The crisis facing the government of prime minister Coelho following three consecutive years of shrinking GDP and 17% unemployment 2010-2013
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Portugal's Government Thrust Into Turmoil
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2013
Portugalâs President Calls for Early Elections
New York Times 07/11/2013
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