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The Next Global Problem: Portugal
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Boone and Johnson point to the problems facing Portugal as being worse than that faced by Argentina when it defaulted on its debt in 2001. Portugal they say spent too much in recent years with the help of Euro-money letting debt rise to 78% of GDP compared to Greece's 114% of GDP and Argentina's 62% of GDP at default. The lack of the option for a necessary devaluation under the euro currency makes the situation worse. At this point the situation is simply being postponed as the European Central Bank will continue to let the governments issue bonds, which European commercial banks buy and deposit at the ECB as collateral for fresh printed money.
Deficits as a percentage of GDP for Spain, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Greece 2011-2013
04/30/2010
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German banks have large holdings of Greek bonds, and much larger holdings of bonds from the crisis affected countries of Greece, Portugal, Spain and Ireland.
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Euro Rises After I.M.F. Increases Aid Pledge to Greece
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As Greek Drama Plays Out, Where Is Europe?
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The Next Global Problem: Portugal
New York Times 04/30/2010
Portugal to cut wages, raise taxes
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Why Portugal is different from Greece in 2012-2013, and yet may find its debt unsustainable as the economy shrinks- the situation in 2012-2013
04/30/2010
Portugal is taking vigorous steps without social unrest, including spending cuts that will stabilize the deficit, labor reform, and increasing exports through trading links to Africa and Latin America. Portugal needs to borrow about 10 billion euros in 2012 and the ratings downgrade has hurt Portugal by raising rates on new borrowing to about 20%. The economy is expected to shrink by 3% in 2012.
Grouped Articles
Ratings Gag Is No Joking Matter
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Greece Gets New Bailout as U.S. Nears Brink
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Portugal Returns to Bond Market
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Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal
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Portugal Emerges From Recession
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The debt crisis that Portugal faces, after the crisis in Greece.
04/30/2010
Greece and Portugal are in much riskier shape than Argentina was when it defaulted in 2001, argues Simon Johnson.
Grouped Articles
Portugal Returns to Bond Market
Wall Street Journal 05/08/2013
Idea of Euro Exit Finds Currency in Portugal
Wall Street Journal 05/27/2013
Wall Street Journal 02/11/2014
Greece Defaults on IMF Loan Despite New Push for Bailout Aid
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2015
Greece, Missing I.M.F. Payment, Is Called Effectively in Default
New York Times 06/30/2015
Portugal on Road to Recovery Post-Bailout, But Scars Remain
Wall Street Journal 07/20/2015
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