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China's Looming Real-Estate Bubble
Keywords:
The huge risks the misallocated stimulus capital from real estate speculation poses for the Chinese economy. China's government rapidly expanded lending after the 2008 global financial crisis. One estimate is that about 10 trillion yuan in new loans were made in 2009, over twice the amount of 2008, expanding the loan portfolio and money supply by one third. A major problem is vacant homes as Chinese put their money in second homes as an investment. Chinese are not investing in the stock market because of the volatility, and with the low yields in bonds and banks money is going into real estate. According to a Morgan Stanley economist, about 25-30% of private commercial and housing space is vacant. This happens just as middle class Chinese are being priced out of the housing market. Prices went up by 12% in the housing market this year according to the China National Bureau of Statistics. Couples wanting to leave their parent's homes find it difficult to do so. It was the topic for a Chinese TV series "Dwelling Narrowness."
Growing Risks for the Chinese Economy going into 2010-2014
01/14/2010
One is a concern that China may like Japan in the 1980's is getting into a property and asset price bubble after aperiod of rapid industrialization and shifting of rural population to the cities. The risks of an overheating economy were growing with a 22% jump in a broad measure of money supply in March 2010.
Grouped Articles
Wall Street Journal 07/01/2013
I.M.F. Tells China of Urgent Need for Economic Change
New York Times 07/17/2013
Economist 01/14/2010
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Fear Pervades China's Stocks As Market's Gains Disappear
Wall Street Journal 05/13/2010
Europeâs Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow Over China
New York Times 05/17/2010
China Stimulus Spending and investment in infrastructure- 2008-2011
08/02/2008
China's efforts to revive its economy with a large Stimulus Spending Plan.
Grouped Articles
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
Fixing a Perception Gap for the Underappreciated G-20
Wall Street Journal 08/27/2013
New York Times 04/03/2009
Chinese debt: The great hole of China
Economist 10/17/2014
Wall Street Journal 08/25/2015
China Lets Banks Lend 5% More This Year
Wall Street Journal 08/02/2008
Bubbles developing in many countries in 2010-2013
01/17/2009
China being the largest bubble developing in mid 2010. The other bubbles developing in Brazil, Canada, India, and Australia.
Grouped Articles
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
Mom-and-Pop Investors Bolt Emerging Markets
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
New York Times 08/22/2013
Recognizing Bubbles But Still Cautious About Deflating Them
New York Times 09/10/2014
Canada Grapples With Housing Bubble Risk
Wall Street Journal 01/20/2016
Where Will the Next Financial Bubble Be?
BusinessWeek 05/06/2010
China's banking system in 2010-2015
01/12/2010
The effects of the stimulus spending binge and speculative behaviours of local governments and state owned companies, on the loans made by state owned banks.
Grouped Articles
Asia Goes on a Debt Binge as Much of World Sobers Up
Wall Street Journal 05/24/2013
China's 'Shadow Banks' Fan Debt-Bubble Fears
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
China's Silver Linings Playbook
Wall Street Journal 06/24/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
China Central Bank Warns Banks on Liquidity
Wall Street Journal 06/25/2013
Credit Warnings Offer World a Peek Into Chinaâs Secretive Banks
New York Times 06/24/2013
The economy of China in 2010-2012
12/30/2009
Hazards and prospects.
Grouped Articles
Three Hurdles for China in the Year of the Tiger
New York Times 12/30/2009
Why the Chinese don’t spend : The New Yorker
New Yorker 01/04/2010
China Dethrones Germany as Top Goods Exporter
Wall Street Journal 01/06/2010
China Aims to Transform a Nation of Savers Into Spenders
Wall Street Journal 01/07/2010
China Sees Growth Engine in a Web of Fast Trains
New York Times 02/13/2010
BusinessWeek 04/14/2010
China in the global financial crisis of 2008.
10/20/2008
The impact of the global slowdown on China's economy and the impact of China's slowdown on the USA, Germany, Japan and South Korea and other countries.
Grouped Articles
Chinese Bank Regulator Warns of Loan Risks
Wall Street Journal 06/17/2010
Trade Losses Rise in China, Threatening Jobs
New York Times 01/14/2009
South Korean Exports Take Massive Hit
Wall Street Journal 02/02/2009
Tax Cut Spurs 25% Rise in Chinese Auto Sales
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2009
As Factories Fail, China's Business Law Does, Too
BusinessWeek 04/02/2009
New York Times 04/03/2009
2010 high Inflation and asset price bubbles in in India and China, and low or no inflation in Europe, Japan and the USA.
01/14/2010
Wide divergence in conditions and the prospects of tightening credit in Asia affecting export prospects of the USA which depends on exports for half the growth generated in 2009 and early 2010 according to Commerce Department figures.
Grouped Articles
Japanese Economic Data Give Abe a Lift
Wall Street Journal 06/10/2013
Central Bankers Hone Tools to Pop Bubbles
Wall Street Journal 07/08/2013
India's Central Banker Lobbies Fed
Wall Street Journal 10/13/2013
Staying Away from Indian Bonds
Wall Street Journal 12/18/2013
Corrosive Inflation Eats at Developing World
Wall Street Journal 02/11/2014
Japan and China: Edging closer
Economist 10/06/2014
China imbalances in runaway growth-corruption, pollution, overbuilding, misallocation
06/27/2005
Grouped Articles
Pollution Is Radically Changing Childhood in Chinaâs Cities
New York Times 04/22/2013
Wall Street Journal 06/06/2013
Air Pollution From Coal Use Cuts Lifespans in China, Study Shows
Wall Street Journal 07/09/2013
New York Times 07/30/2013
Bo Trial Gives Insight Into Life of Top Officials
Wall Street Journal 08/22/2013
Xi Faces Test Over China's Local Debt
Wall Street Journal 12/31/2013
China's policy actions to address impact of global financial crisis 2008-2012
08/14/2008
Policy actions taken by China to address the global economic crisis's impact on Chinese growth rate including land policy for farmers and export rebates.
Grouped Articles
Trade Losses Rise in China, Threatening Jobs
New York Times 01/14/2009
Global Trade Posts Sharp Decline
Wall Street Journal 01/14/2009
Economist 01/15/2009
Tax Cut Spurs 25% Rise in Chinese Auto Sales
Wall Street Journal 03/11/2009
China's Economic Torch Won't Outlast Olympics
BusinessWeek 08/14/2008
New York Times 08/24/2008
The gap between stimulus money infrastructure spending timelines in the U.S. and China and France- 2009-2012
01/22/2009
China moved the fastest, the USA very slowly, with two different political systems and sense of crisis, and infrastructure project speed capabilities. The French also moved quickly. Of $37 billion in spending for infrastructure stimulus, about 75% will be completed in 2009. India is slow but France's experience shows democratic governments or political systems are not necessarily the cause of slow execution.
Grouped Articles
New York Times 09/06/2011
Wall Street Journal 05/29/2013
Economist 05/07/2009
France, Unlike U.S., Is Deep Into Stimulus Projects
New York Times 07/07/2009
Lots of Stimulus Money and Concerns About Where to Put It to Work
New York Times 10/23/2009
China Sees Growth Engine in a Web of Fast Trains
New York Times 02/13/2010
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