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The risks facing Spain in 2012 with austerity measures when unemployment is at 23%
03/06/2012
Finance Minister Luis de Guindos sees Spain loosing either way with spending cuts that worsen high unemployment and lower economic growth leading to a worsening debt to GDP ratio in 2012, and this situation in turn raising its borrowing costs on $86 billion in debt issuance for 2012. He estimates the debt to GDP ratio will increase under the 2012 budget of 27 billion euros in cuts and an economy shrinking by 1.7% in 2012, by 10% from 2011 to 78%. Markets are focussing on debt in Portugal and Spain in 2012, after focussing on Greece and Italy in 2011.
Linked Articles
Spain Faces Risks in Budget Refit
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Spain Struggles to Unite Regional Leaders on CutsNew York Times 03/06/2012
Tax increases on the wealthy in Japan by the Shinzo Abe government to go with an increase in the sales tax to 10%
03/04/2012
Linked Articles
Tokyo Set to Raise Levy on Wealthiest
Wall Street Journal 01/11/2013
Prime Minister Noda says tax hike essential for Japan's sustainability - The Washington PostWashington Post 03/04/2012
Xiaochuan, head of the PBOC, Liu He of the DRC think tank, and Zoellick, former head of the World Bank- driving China's new economic priorities in 2014
02/23/2012
Linked Articles
China's Central Banker Leads Push to Overhaul Economy
Wall Street Journal 11/05/2013
New Push for Reform in ChinaWall Street Journal 02/23/2012
Steadily growing automobile market in China in 2014-2015 (4)- the buyer preference for better quality of foreign carmakers hurts local carmakers Geely and Cherry
01/06/2012
Linked Articles
Chinese Car Makers Struggle to Lure Buyers
Wall Street Journal 04/21/2014
Car Makers Gauge Shift In China's Auto PolicyWall Street Journal 01/06/2012
The impact of large fuel subsidies on infrastructure development and economic growth - Venezuela and Nigeria in 2012-2014
01/03/2012
Linked Articles
Almost-Free Gas Comes at a High Cost
Wall Street Journal 04/12/2013
Nigeria Braces for Gas-Price ProtestsWall Street Journal 01/03/2012
Renewed warnings in 2013-2014 for the housing price bubble in China (2)- from the editors of Xinhua news agency and The Washington Post
12/24/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 07/17/2012
We all have a stake in China’s real estate bubble - The Washington PostWashington Post 12/24/2011
Feldstein and Krugman offer their views on China, the years of hypergrowth and the problems now facing China in 2013-2014
12/18/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/18/2011
China's Biggest Problems Are Political, Not EconomicWall Street Journal 08/02/2012
Question for Turkey- can it reduce its current account deficit of 10% in March 2011 to 6% before a sharp swing in capital inflows leads to a crisis?
09/21/2011
Only 25% of capital inflows to Turkey are direct foreign investment. The current account deficit of 10% is partly financed by foreign capital inflows. Any swings in consumer sentiment- especially as the eurozone crisis continues in 2012-2013- could mean rapid capital outflows leading to a crisis. The IMF's Warning Light Indicator in 2011 for countries with excessive credit growth to GDP ratios covers Turkey.
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/13/2012
A Warning Light to Alert the I.M.F.New York Times 09/21/2011
Stanford's John Taylor, Yale's Robert Shiller and other experts provide different proposals for U.S. job growth
09/06/2011
Proposals for reducing U.S. unemployment in 2012-2014 from experts with different perspectives of how the U.S. economy functions.
Linked Articles
Long-Term Unemployment Carries Risks for U.S.
New York Times 11/26/2011
Not More of the SameNew York Times 09/06/2011
Ford Motor Company's push to meet new fuel efficiency standards on the F-150 for 2014
07/27/2011
Ford plans to cut body weight on the F-150 pickup truck by 700 pounds, 15% of the body weight, by switching to aluminium from steel. This will enable a 25% increase in fuel efficiency.
Linked Articles
Ford's Trade-In: Truck to Use Aluminum in Place of Steel
Wall Street Journal 07/27/2012
Five Car Makers Back White House's Tougher Fuel Economy RulesWall Street Journal 07/27/2011
Declining demand for gold in China by 2014-2015 and the future for gold prices
06/14/2011
Linked Articles
Cooling Chinese Demand for Gold Adds to Metal’s Gloomy Global Outlook
Wall Street Journal 11/04/2014
Investors Going for the Gold in China May Want to ReconsiderWall Street Journal 06/14/2011
Angela Merkel's experience with the reunification of East and West Germany and her views of the eurozone crisis
01/30/2011
The perceptions of the eurozone crisis of ordinary Germans and of former East German Angela Merkel are colored by the period of reunification of the two Germany's. This was paid for with a"solidarity surcharge" tax paid by Germans amounting to $1.7 trillion and led in its early stages to 4 million unemployed in the eastern part and 20% unemployment. It took over a decade for East Germany to build new modernized industries in the larger cities of the east, but still leaves the rural parts of former East Germany in a neglected state as young peoplemoved out. During this period industry in the west also regained lost global competitiveness, especially in industries such as automobiles and advanced machinery, using wage restraint agreements with unions and increases in productivity. Germans see the need for eurozone countries in the southern part of Europe needing to make similiar sacrifices and see the tax evasion in Italy and Greece as unacceptable. The real estate bubble, the lack of transparency for banks bad loans, and out of control regional spending in Spain is also seen in a similiar light. Greece is seen as the most egregious offendor because of the bad financial accounting that grossly understated the extent of the bad loans. Less publicized in Germany is the role played in the bad loans through poor lending practices of German and French banks and that as experts have pointed out Germany was to some extent bailing out German banks when it was bailing out Greece- till German banks reduced their exposure to Greece in 2011.
Linked Articles
In former East Germany, anxious residents resent paying for Europe’s problems - The Washington Post
Washington Post 06/21/2012
Merkel's Defense of Euro Forged in East GermanyNew York Times 01/30/2011
Bringing peace to Kashmir- the elections in 2014 with a 70% turnout as ordinary Kashmiris turn to development and infrastructure building
01/01/2011
Weary of conflict a whole region turns to economic development and infrastructure building plans as the next step to a brighter future. South Asia makes a new beginning as it catches up with its neighbors in East Asia. A billion plus market extending from South Asia to Indonesia makes a new beginning in 2014. Even the Kashmir Valley hears the message- the synergy of technology, capital, human resources and good governance can pave the way to a better future that is within the reach of today's young generation of South Asians and Indonesians.
Linked Articles
Modi’s Campaign Stop in Kashmir Is Notable for Lack of Unrest
New York Times 12/08/2014
Kashmir's troubles: Shaking the mountainsEconomist 01/01/2011
Uncertain future for Australia's mining and commodities powered boom in 2012-2014
03/06/2012
The shift in China's economy towards consumption led growth from infrastructure development led growth is likely to affect mining commodity producing economies such as Australia, Brazil and Chile. The rapid appreciation of the Australian dollar and the real is also affecting the competitiveness of manufacturing in these countries.
Linked Articles
Australia Budget Turns Boom on Its Head
Wall Street Journal 05/09/2012
China Speeds Economic 'Transformation'Wall Street Journal 03/06/2012
Ford to double its manufacturing capacity in Chongqing, China by 2014, making it the largest outside of Michigan
02/27/2012
Ford plans to invest $600 million to more than double manufacturing capacity in Chongqing to 770,000 by 2014. This comes at a time of major slowdown in the market in China after years of hyper growth. Ford lags behing GM and VW in China and missed some of the spurt in growth.
Linked Articles
Ford Plans to Boost Production in China
Wall Street Journal 04/06/2012
Ford Faces China HurdlesWall Street Journal 02/27/2012
The risks to GM from its Opel European unit in 2013-2014
02/15/2012
Linked Articles
Europe Remains G.M.'s Weak Spot
New York Times 02/15/2012
GM Sees Expanded European LossesWall Street Journal 07/16/2012
The wide divergence between ADP jobs estimates and Labor Department BLS figures in 2010-2014
01/05/2012
Linked Articles
Jobs Data May Be Icing on America's Birthday Cake
Wall Street Journal 07/03/2014
Strong ADP Jobs Gain Needs Grain of SaltWall Street Journal 01/05/2012
The passage of the unpopular sales tax hike and political uncertainty in Japan
12/27/2011
Critics say the Democratic Party of Japan should have invested efforts in its election promises to cut wasteful spending. Polls show a majority of Japanese oppose the doubling of the sales tax to 10%.
Linked Articles
Vote Ensures Japan Will Double Sales Tax to 10%
Wall Street Journal 06/27/2012
Tokyo's Move to Raise Tax Hits SnagWall Street Journal 12/27/2011
Renewed warnings in 2013-2014 for the housing price bubble in China (1)- Krugman, Nomura's Zhang and Chen
12/18/2011
Linked Articles
New York Times 12/18/2011
Economists: China Mirrors U.S. on Eve of Financial CrisisWall Street Journal 03/18/2013
The rising middle class in Mexico with the growth of the economy 2012-2014
11/23/2011
Linked Articles
Mexico’s middle class is becoming its majority - The Washington Post
Washington Post 03/18/2012
Mexico Economy Withstands Drug WarWall Street Journal 11/23/2011
U.S. airlines (Delta, United Continental, American) capacity restraint 2010-2014 and U.S. Justice Department investigation for collusion
09/14/2011
Linked Articles
Justice Department Probes Airlines for Collusion
Wall Street Journal 07/02/2015
Carriers Keep Capacity in CheckWall Street Journal 09/14/2011
As Republican leaders shift strategy to allow debt limit increases in 2014 - (1) the Tea party position was not what it was thought to be
08/01/2011
Linked Articles
GOP Backs Off Fight on Debt Limit
Wall Street Journal 02/12/2014
That Monolithic Tea Party Just Wasnât ThereNew York Times 08/01/2011
Increasing domestic consumption in Saudi Arabia will diminish reserve supplies and put pressure on oil prices in 2012-2013
06/23/2011
Saudi domestic consumption increasing at 10% a year will diminsh the Saudi role as a reserve supplier. Estimates are for zero reserve supplies by 2020 and oil imports by 2038, so large is the effect of growing use of oil at home. The Arab Spring means subsidies and social spending will increase, supporting continuing use of oil at current levels for a rapidly growing population.
Linked Articles
The End of the Saudi Oil Reserve Margin
Wall Street Journal 04/03/2012
Rising Saudi Thirst for Oil Drives Plans to Go NuclearWall Street Journal 06/23/2011
Austerity measures and economic contraction in Portugal 2010-2013- the terms of the 2011 EU-IMF loan agreement with Portugal
05/05/2011
The forecasts of higher unemployment reaching 17% and economic contraction of 7% for 2011-2013 are widely diverging from the original estimates in 2011 by EU and IMF officials. This increases the urgency for reappraisal of the terms of the original agreement including borrowing rates, giving more time to achieve deficit targets, and other action to put Portugal back on the road to growth in 2014.
Linked Articles
Portugal to Seek New Bailout Terms
Wall Street Journal 03/04/2013
Government Sees Deep Recession Ahead for PortugalNew York Times 05/05/2011
Greece's Path Back (10)- Germany's and chancellor Merkel's view of the euro and the changes needed
01/30/2011
Linked Articles
Wall Street Journal 04/10/2013
Merkel's Defense of Euro Forged in East GermanyNew York Times 01/30/2011
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